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Sakai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. (4078) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4078

Sakai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:4078)

Select Model
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:JPY 3,348.00â–¼(-0.06% Downside)
Action:downgraded
Date:09/26/26

Sakai Chemical Industry Co. offers a solid fundamental foundation driven by robust cash flow, declining debt, and a highly attractive dividend yield. However, the stock's overall score is constrained by strong bearish technical trends and ongoing challenges in generating top-line revenue growth.

Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheetFalling leverage and a substantial equity base improve financial resilience and reduce pressure on operating cash flow. This gives Sakai greater flexibility to withstand weaker industry conditions, maintain investment, and pursue opportunities without relying heavily on additional borrowing.
Negative Factors
Earnings volatility and thin marginsThe return to positive operating and net margins is encouraging, but thin current profitability leaves less protection against cost inflation or weaker demand. Repeated earnings swings can constrain retained cash, make planning less predictable, and delay a full normalization of returns.

Sakai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. (4078) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%JP:4078+18.62%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 54.70B
Dividend Yield
4.78%
Average Volume (3M)
168.01K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
21.7
Beta (1Y)
1.29
Revenue Growth
1.45%
EPS Growth
-60.28%
Country
Japan
Employees
1,942
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Chemicals - Specialty

Sakai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Sakai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd., a Japanese enterprise, manufactures and distributes a broad spectrum of chemical products. Its extensive portfolio encompasses titanium dioxide, employed in diverse applications including paints, printer inks, paper...

How the Company Makes Money

Sakai Chemical Industry makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling chemical materials to business customers. Key revenue streams include: (1) Pigments/materials sales—most notably titanium dioxide, which is sold as a white pigment and opacity...

Sakai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial fundamentals are anchored by exceptional cash flow generation and a conservatively managed, deleveraging balance sheet. However, the score is tempered by stagnant top-line revenue growth and low return on equity.

Income Statement

55Neutral

Balance Sheet

80Positive

Cash Flow

88Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue84.09B81.45B84.41B82.11B83.86B80.14B
Gross Profit21.16B20.70B20.17B16.73B18.34B21.05B
EBITDA10.51B10.19B9.85B7.42B8.96B11.96B
Net Income2.35B2.75B5.01B-7.09B2.34B6.75B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets117.64B117.22B123.32B125.44B128.02B123.92B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments15.06B15.50B16.42B16.71B12.41B10.88B
Total Debt16.24B16.00B21.92B27.04B21.64B16.96B
Total Liabilities39.07B38.29B43.93B49.98B43.30B41.21B
Stockholders Equity77.33B77.71B78.29B74.39B80.49B78.85B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow08.41B5.06B2.84B-1.89B1.50B
Operating Cash Flow014.48B12.01B6.87B773.00M6.57B
Investing Cash Flow0-4.64B-5.71B-3.96B-2.62B-1.65B
Financing Cash Flow0-10.59B-6.88B1.26B3.28B-5.65B

Sakai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price3350.00

Price Trends

50DMA3543.65Negative
100DMA3818.91Negative
200DMA3779.63Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-82.77Negative
RSI45.26Neutral
STOCH64.31Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4078, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3350.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3390.00, below the 50-day MA of 3543.65, and below the 200-day MA of 3779.63, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -82.77 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4078.

Sakai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:4078 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:4008JP:400877OutperformJPY 87.84B11.51―4.34%5.36%39.63%
JP:4362JP:436277OutperformJPY 55.87B11.86―4.10%-4.92%2.95%
JP:4187JP:418773OutperformJPY 95.92B9.9316.64%1.94%17.54%90.80%
JP:4078JP:407866NeutralJPY 61.60B21.68―4.78%1.45%-60.28%
JP:4410JP:441062NeutralJPY 35.06B7.93―3.34%9.51%320.92%
JP:4109JP:410961NeutralJPY 55.26B21.726.68%4.18%8.81%5.97%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%JP:4078JP:4109JP:4187JP:4008JP:4362JP:4410Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:4078 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4078Sakai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.3350.00505.6517.78%
JP:4109Stella Chemifa Corporation4425.00453.6011.42%
JP:4187Osaka Organic Chemical Industry Ltd.4285.00477.7312.55%
JP:4008Sumitomo Seika Chemicals Co., Ltd.1359.00337.3833.02%
JP:4362Nippon Fine Chemical Co., Ltd.2515.00-93.02-3.57%
JP:4410Harima Chemicals Group, Inc.1377.00559.1068.36%

Sakai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Sakai Chemical Raises Fiscal 2027 Sales and Profit Forecasts

Nov 9, 2026

Sakai Chemical Industry raised its fiscal 2027 consolidated forecast, lifting projected net sales to ¥85.0 billion, operating profit to ¥6.5 billion, ordinary profit to ¥6.5 billion and profit attributable to owners of the parent to ¥4.6 billion. Str...

Sakai Chemical Reports Higher Sales and Operating Profit

Nov 9, 2026

Sakai Chemical Industry reported consolidated net sales of ¥43.0 billion for the six months ended September 2026, up 6.6% year on year, while operating profit increased 6.3% to ¥3.489 billion and ordinary profit rose 9.3% to ¥3.572 billion. Profit at...

Sakai Chemical Completes Stock Rights Exercise, Raises ¥2.0 Billion for M&A

Oct 26, 2026

Sakai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. has reported the full exercise of its fourth series stock acquisition rights, originally issued in June 2023 and allotted to SH1, L.P., resulting in the issuance of 1,012,600 new shares and raising 1,999,885,000 yen....

Sakai Chemical Completes ¥6.07 Billion Share Buyback and Plans Cancellation

Sep 8, 2026

Sakai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. has completed a previously authorized share buyback program conducted under Article 459, paragraph (1) of the Companies Act and its Articles of Incorporation. The latest tranche, executed between September 1 and Sept...

Sakai Chemical Advances Share Buyback, Plans Cancellation of Treasury Stock

Sep 1, 2026

Sakai Chemical Industry has reported the results of its ongoing share buyback program authorized under its Articles of Incorporation and Japan’s Companies Act. Between August 1 and August 31, 2026, the company repurchased 734,700 common shares throug...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 26, 2026