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Nippon Soda Co., Ltd. (4041) AI Stock Analysis

JP:4041

Nippon Soda Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:4041)

Select Model
Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:JPY 4,545.00â–²(26.96% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/17/26

Nippon Soda earns a score of 81, reflecting its strong financial foundation, positive technical momentum, and attractive valuation. The company's low debt and solid cash flow generation are key strengths, while the recent revenue decline warrants monitoring. Overall, the stock presents a favorable investment profile with a margin of safety.

Positive Factors
Diversified specialty-chemical portfolioExposure to multiple specialty-chemical markets reduces reliance on one product category. Value-added formulations, intermediates, and functional materials can support customer qualification, product differentiation, and longer-term commercial relationships.
Negative Factors
Uneven revenue trajectoryRepeated changes in revenue direction point to inconsistent demand, product mix, or market penetration. Even with resilient margins, an unstable top line can limit operating leverage and make sustained earnings growth harder to achieve.

Nippon Soda Co., Ltd. (4041) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%JP:4041+10.59%EWJ+16.91%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 192.97B
Dividend Yield
4.75%
Average Volume (3M)
114.62K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
10.5
Beta (1Y)
0.58
Revenue Growth
-1.25%
EPS Growth
34.70%
Country
Japan
Employees
2,407
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Chemicals

Nippon Soda Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Operating both domestically in Japan and across global markets, Nippon Soda Co., Ltd. is involved in the entire lifecycle of various products, from development and manufacturing to distribution and export, focusing primarily on chemicals and agrochem...

How the Company Makes Money

Nippon Soda makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling chemical products to business and agricultural customers. Its key revenue streams include: (1) Agricultural chemicals: revenue from the sale of crop protection products (e.g., insecticide...

Nippon Soda Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Nippon Soda demonstrates solid financial health with a strong balance sheet (score 85), good profitability (75), and improving cash flows (70). The company maintains low debt and robust margins, though revenue decline over recent years remains a concern.

Income Statement

75Positive

Balance Sheet

85Very Positive

Cash Flow

70Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue153.70B152.09B155.20B154.43B172.81B152.54B
Gross Profit45.97B45.00B44.94B42.70B49.28B42.11B
EBITDA32.58B33.58B28.55B29.49B33.62B26.34B
Net Income18.34B18.27B15.01B16.61B16.69B12.68B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets320.23B307.31B288.10B290.49B251.35B245.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments23.77B24.63B22.24B22.21B18.51B17.95B
Total Debt55.85B52.27B50.30B48.99B32.38B39.91B
Total Liabilities107.65B101.21B99.99B101.02B80.39B87.28B
Stockholders Equity211.28B204.78B186.78B188.05B169.26B155.94B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow08.43B3.58B-5.20B3.21B2.91B
Operating Cash Flow021.59B22.64B5.73B15.59B14.54B
Investing Cash Flow0-10.80B-17.56B-9.59B-4.86B-11.62B
Financing Cash Flow0-11.27B-5.39B6.69B-10.44B-4.80B

Nippon Soda Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price3580.00

Price Trends

50DMA3749.09Negative
100DMA3679.39Negative
200DMA3636.87Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-43.80Positive
RSI40.65Neutral
STOCH35.36Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4041, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3580.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3646.50, below the 50-day MA of 3749.09, and below the 200-day MA of 3636.87, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -43.80 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.36 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4041.

Nippon Soda Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:4041 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:4041JP:404181OutperformJPY 195.64B10.54―4.75%-1.25%34.70%
JP:4114JP:411475OutperformJPY 382.15B16.71―5.19%3.57%35.54%
JP:4042JP:404275OutperformJPY 807.46B14.566.64%3.92%-0.63%15.92%
JP:4272JP:427274OutperformJPY 292.88B11.489.59%3.44%13.77%54.31%
JP:4021JP:402167NeutralJPY 1.04T19.5821.36%2.63%9.89%18.20%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
JP:4061JP:406149NeutralJPY 263.27B19.514.48%3.26%-2.99%―

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%25%50%75%100%JP:4041JP:4061JP:4021JP:4272JP:4042JP:4114Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:4041 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4041Nippon Soda Co., Ltd.3580.00318.829.78%
JP:4061Denka Co 3064.00895.8941.32%
JP:4021Nissan Chemical Corporation7672.002684.5753.83%
JP:4272Nippon Kayaku Co 2008.50649.7347.82%
JP:4042Tosoh Corporation2549.50404.5318.86%
JP:4114Nippon Shokubai Co., Ltd.2565.00883.9852.59%

Nippon Soda Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Nippon Soda Keeps First-Half Forecast Unchanged as It Reports Q1 FY2027 Results

Aug 7, 2026

Nippon Soda Co., Ltd. reported its financial results summary for the first quarter of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, outlining performance by segment, including chemical materials and agri-business operations. The release also provided variou...

Nippon Soda Lifts Q1 Profits but Sees Flat Sales, Lower Margins Ahead

Aug 7, 2026

Nippon Soda reported consolidated net sales of ¥34.25 billion for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, a 4.9% year‑on‑year increase, with operating profit up 18.3% and ordinary profit up 23.2%. Profit attributable to owners of parent edg...

Nippon Soda Completes Restricted Share Remuneration Using Treasury Stock

Jul 24, 2026

Nippon Soda Co., Ltd. completed the payment process for the disposal of 15,600 treasury shares used as restricted share remuneration, following a board resolution adopted earlier in July 2026. The shares, priced at 3,615 yen each for a total of 56.39...

Nippon Soda to Buy Treasury Shares from Untraceable Shareholders

Jul 3, 2026

Nippon Soda Co., Ltd. has resolved to purchase as treasury stock the shares held by untraceable shareholders, following an earlier announcement regarding the planned sale of such shares. The board decision, made under provisions of the Companies Act...

Nippon Soda Grants Restricted Treasury Shares to Align Management with Shareholders

Jul 3, 2026

Nippon Soda has approved the disposal of 15,600 treasury shares as restricted share remuneration for four directors and eleven executive officers, with a total value of ¥56.39 million at ¥3,615 per share. The move is part of a shift from a...

Nippon Soda to Cut ¥6 Billion Capital Reserve to Boost Financial Flexibility

May 22, 2026

Nippon Soda Co., Ltd. has resolved at its board meeting to reduce its capital reserve by ¥6 billion and transfer the same amount to other capital surplus, a move aimed at enhancing agility and flexibility in future capital policies under Article...

Nippon Soda Lifts Year-End Dividend and Reaffirms Progressive Payout Policy

May 22, 2026

Nippon Soda Co., Ltd. has resolved at its board meeting to pay a year-end dividend of ¥90 per share for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, bringing the annual dividend to ¥160 per share. The dividend, with a total payout of ¥4,831 m...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026