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Pack Corporation (3950) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3950

Pack Corporation

(TSE/TYO:3950)

Select Model
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:JPY 1,683.00â–²(11.09% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/08/26

Overall score is driven primarily by strong financial fundamentals—especially the very low-leverage balance sheet and multi-year profitability improvement—partly tempered by inconsistent free cash flow conversion. Technical signals are neutral-to-positive with limited short-term momentum, while valuation is supportive with a moderate P/E and a solid dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Revenue and Profitability GrowthMulti-year revenue expansion combined with a substantial increase in net margin indicates improving operating economics and broader earnings capacity. If retained, this progress can support internal reinvestment and provide a stronger foundation for sustainable profitability over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Uneven Free Cash Flow ConversionUneven conversion of accounting profit into free cash flow reduces confidence in the timing and quality of internally generated funds. Working-capital or capital-spending swings may continue to make cash available for investment, dividends, or other uses less predictable.

Pack Corporation (3950) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%JP:3950+23.90%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 80.77B
Dividend Yield
2.57%
Average Volume (3M)
87.26K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
14.9
Beta (1Y)
0.43
Revenue Growth
5.15%
EPS Growth
5.91%
Country
Japan
Employees
1,223
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Packaging & Containers

Pack Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in 1878 and headquartered in Osaka, Japan, The Pack Corporation is a global provider specializing in a broad spectrum of packaging solutions. Their extensive product line includes various bags, such as paper, plastic, parcel, sewn, and ga...

Pack Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong multi-year revenue growth with improved profitability over 2020–2025 and stable gross margins. Balance sheet is exceptionally conservative with near-zero leverage and steadily growing equity. Main offset is uneven cash conversion (FCF volatility, including negative FCF in 2023 and FCF often below net income).

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

92Very Positive

Cash Flow

64Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue105.87B103.13B101.46B97.71B89.06B79.69B
Gross Profit25.40B25.45B25.03B24.30B21.25B18.63B
EBITDA10.28B10.16B10.43B9.83B7.96B6.17B
Net Income5.63B6.02B6.32B5.65B4.06B2.82B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets98.52B104.21B103.29B98.85B94.36B87.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments22.00B26.06B23.67B24.42B28.66B27.08B
Total Debt393.00M462.00M116.00M68.00M136.00M210.00M
Total Liabilities21.02B27.21B28.80B27.69B28.99B25.39B
Stockholders Equity77.51B77.00B74.48B71.16B65.37B62.02B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow04.07B2.33B-1.14B2.27B4.00B
Operating Cash Flow06.86B7.10B4.44B5.38B7.22B
Investing Cash Flow03.51B-5.44B-3.96B-3.76B-3.46B
Financing Cash Flow0-3.55B-3.04B-1.41B-1.12B-1.03B

Pack Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price1515.00

Price Trends

50DMA1473.68Positive
100DMA1442.39Positive
200DMA1371.63Positive

Market Momentum

MACD13.37Negative
RSI55.43Neutral
STOCH56.51Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3950, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1515.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1493.65, above the 50-day MA of 1473.68, and above the 200-day MA of 1371.63, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 13.37 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3950.

Pack Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:3950 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:3950JP:395078OutperformJPY 89.49B14.87―2.57%5.15%5.91%
JP:7942JP:794278OutperformJPY 75.41B8.03―3.45%14.19%90.30%
JP:7864JP:786477OutperformJPY 188.89B8.7213.51%2.59%7.02%32.46%
JP:5901JP:590173OutperformJPY 607.20B12.747.89%3.74%7.00%13.00%
JP:4248JP:424871OutperformJPY 10.76B13.06―4.29%4.51%11.57%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
JP:7917JP:791758NeutralJPY 101.79B11.508.74%2.85%7.89%26.59%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%JP:3950JP:7917JP:7864JP:5901JP:4248JP:7942Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:3950 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:3950Pack Corporation1515.00306.8425.40%
JP:7917Fujimori Kogyo Co 1335.00275.2125.97%
JP:7864Fuji Seal International 3435.00588.2720.66%
JP:5901Toyo Seikan Group Holdings 4487.00905.1925.27%
JP:4248Takemoto Yohki Co.Ltd.863.0054.496.74%
JP:7942JSP Corporation3105.001053.7651.37%

Pack Corporation Corporate Events

The Pack Corporation Nears Completion of ¥2 Billion Share Buyback Program

Sep 3, 2026

The Pack Corporation has completed a share repurchase as part of its previously approved treasury stock buyback program, acquiring 6,700 common shares on September 1, 2026, through market purchases on the Tokyo Stock Exchange for a total of ¥10,185,1...

The Pack Corporation Nears Completion of Aggressive Share Buyback Program

Sep 2, 2026

The Pack Corporation announced that it repurchased 491,100 shares of its common stock on the Tokyo Stock Exchange between August 1 and August 31, 2026, at a total cost of 724,543,200 yen. These buybacks form part of a broader share repurchase program...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026