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KI-Star Real Estate Co., Ltd. (3465) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3465

KI-Star Real Estate Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:3465)

Select Model
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:JPY 3,332.00▲(8.01% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/17/26

The score is held back primarily by weak cash conversion (multi-year negative operating/free cash flow) and elevated leverage, despite strong revenue growth and decent reported profitability. Offsetting these risks are favorable technical momentum (price above key moving averages with positive MACD) and attractive valuation (low P/E plus ~3% dividend yield).

Positive Factors
Strong Revenue GrowthStrong multi-year revenue expansion indicates that KI-Star has continued to grow its business base and generate demand despite changing conditions. Sustained top-line growth can support operating scale, broaden market reach, and provide a foundation for future earnings development over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Persistent Negative Cash FlowPersistent negative operating and free cash flow indicates that reported earnings have not consistently translated into cash available to the company. This weakens earnings quality, increases reliance on external funding or asset transactions, and can constrain flexibility if cash demands remain elevated.

KI-Star Real Estate Co., Ltd. (3465) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%JP:3465+15.27%EWJ+14.42%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 95.31B
Dividend Yield
4.62%
Average Volume (3M)
167.83K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
5.4
Beta (1Y)
0.80
Revenue Growth
14.60%
EPS Growth
77.73%
Country
Japan
Employees
2,897
Sector
Real Estate
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Real Estate - Services

KI-Star Real Estate Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Ki-Star Real Estate Co.,Ltd operates as a property development and management firm based in Japan. The company's core activities encompass the construction and sale of various residential properties, including condominiums, detached houses, and custo...

KI-Star Real Estate Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement strength (score 74) shows solid revenue growth and a 2026 earnings rebound, but profitability has compressed materially (gross and net margins down vs. 2022). Balance sheet risk (score 52) is elevated due to rising leverage (debt-to-equity ~3.05x in 2026). Cash flow is the key weakness (score 28) with operating and free cash flow negative across 2022–2026, reducing earnings quality and increasing risk alongside higher debt.

Income Statement

74Positive

Balance Sheet

52Neutral

Cash Flow

28Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue393.90B393.90B342.55B283.08B241.88B184.39B
Gross Profit55.62B55.46B41.99B32.58B37.66B40.04B
EBITDA28.85B29.20B18.41B12.52B20.14B24.23B
Net Income15.36B15.36B8.86B6.74B11.85B14.75B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets355.62B355.62B294.55B246.05B199.46B163.24B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments76.03B76.03B71.91B56.05B47.86B43.04B
Total Debt223.40B223.40B184.00B154.36B113.67B86.10B
Total Liabilities272.63B272.63B225.75B184.91B142.93B114.20B
Stockholders Equity73.33B73.33B60.14B54.51B50.99B44.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-27.85B-1.04B-16.09B-17.01B-21.51B
Operating Cash Flow0-27.48B-626.00M-15.28B-16.39B-20.71B
Investing Cash Flow0-4.05B-7.54B-4.89B-2.48B-3.11B
Financing Cash Flow035.31B22.21B27.07B22.39B36.56B

KI-Star Real Estate Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price3085.00

Price Trends

50DMA3184.94Negative
100DMA3404.26Negative
200DMA3361.53Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-21.88Negative
RSI45.95Neutral
STOCH19.48Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3465, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3085.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3137.25, below the 50-day MA of 3184.94, and below the 200-day MA of 3361.53, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -21.88 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.48 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3465.

KI-Star Real Estate Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

JP:3465 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:8877JP:887776OutperformJPY 79.46B6.19―4.93%49.56%42.33%
JP:8934JP:893472OutperformJPY 133.03B7.2513.71%3.35%9.20%-16.20%
JP:3252JP:325270OutperformJPY 63.78B6.08―4.31%87.05%146.41%
JP:3465JP:346566NeutralJPY 98.42B5.38―4.62%14.60%77.73%
Sector *65Neutral$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
JP:8848JP:884861NeutralJPY 313.88B14.9056.22%1.01%3.31%72.40%
JP:2980JP:298049NeutralJPY 36.19B10.52―0.82%56.17%170.46%

* Real Estate Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%60%JP:3465JP:8848JP:8934JP:2980JP:3252JP:8877Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:3465 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:3465KI-Star Real Estate Co., Ltd.3085.00375.1613.84%
JP:8848Leopalace21 Corporation988.00328.9949.92%
JP:8934Sun Frontier Fudousan Co 2326.0033.201.45%
JP:2980SRE Holdings Corp.2201.00-810.07-26.90%
JP:3252JINUSHI Co.,Ltd.2898.0095.133.39%
JP:8877ESLEAD CORPORATION5170.00-797.14-13.36%

KI-Star Real Estate Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

KI-STAR REAL ESTATE: First-Half FY3/27 Financial Results

Nov 12, 2026

KI-STAR REAL ESTATE CO., LTD. is presented as a real estate company, but the release does not describe specific products, services, or market focus. The company states its purpose as “house ownership for everyone” and its vision as delivering enrichi...

KI-STAR REAL ESTATE Reports Six-Month Results Through September 2026

Nov 12, 2026

KI-STAR REAL ESTATE Co., Ltd., listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, reported consolidated results under Japanese GAAP for the six months ended September 30, 2026. Net sales rose 17.2% year on year to ¥212,383 million, while operating profit increased...

KI-Star Real Estate Announces New Medium-Term Management Plan

Nov 12, 2026

The company announced a new Medium-Term Management Plan through FY3/30, citing margin improvements and business diversification as the context for its formulation. It said these developments have reinforced and diversified the Group’s earnings base.T...

KI-Star Real Estate Revises FY3/2027 Dividend Forecast, Announces Anniversary Benefit

Nov 12, 2026

KI-Star Real Estate Co., Ltd., listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s Prime Market under securities code 3465, announced an upward revision to its FY3/2027 year-end dividend forecast, raising it from ¥75 to ¥95 per share. The revised annual dividend fo...

KI-Star Real Estate Boosts Bank Overdraft Limits to Fund Land Acquisition

Sep 25, 2026

KI-Star Real Estate has revised its loan arrangements with Mizuho Bank and MUFG Bank to significantly increase overdraft limits, securing additional credit to fund land purchases for its homebuilding and sales operations. The new facilities, totaling...

KI-Star Real Estate Ties Q1 FY3/27 Results to Mission of Expanding Homeownership

Aug 13, 2026

KI-Star Real Estate has released its financial results for the first quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2027, framing the disclosure within its broader corporate purpose. The company emphasizes its mission of “house ownership for everyone” and i...

KI-STAR Real Estate Lifts Earnings and Dividend Outlook on Firm Housing Demand

Aug 13, 2026

KI-STAR REAL ESTATE has raised its consolidated full-year forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, projecting net sales of ¥460 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent of ¥19.3 billion, reflecting around 10% growth in key profi...

KI-STAR REAL ESTATE Doubles Quarterly Profit and Lifts Full-Year Outlook

Aug 13, 2026

KI-STAR REAL ESTATE reported strong first-quarter results for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, with net sales rising 21.5% year on year to ¥102.7 billion and operating profit surging 85.7% to ¥8.4 billion. Profit attributable to owners of the p...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026