Skip to main content
TipRanks
Go Ultimate75% OFF

Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corp. (3463) AI Stock Analysis

3 Followers
JP:3463

Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corp.

(TSE/TYO:3463)

Select Model
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:JPY 104,448.00▼(-1.00% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/05/26

The score is primarily held back by weaker financial quality signals (notably inconsistent/negative free cash flow and a sharp 2026 revenue decline) and bearish technical momentum (price below key moving averages with negative MACD). These are partially offset by comparatively attractive valuation characteristics, led by a high dividend yield and a moderate P/E.

Positive Factors
Strong ProfitabilityHealthy gross and net margins show that the hotel portfolio has generated substantial profit from its revenue base. This profitability provides an operating buffer, supports cash generation, and can help the REIT preserve distributions and reinvest in properties over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Sharp Revenue DeclineThe steep 2026 revenue contraction interrupts the prior multi-year rebound and raises concern about the durability of hotel demand, occupancy, or the portfolio’s revenue base. If weakness persists, lower revenue could pressure margins, cash distributions, and asset-level returns.

Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corp. (3463) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:3463-15.50%EWJ+13.61%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 35.01B
Dividend Yield
7.49%
Average Volume (3M)
983
Price to Earnings (P/E)
13.4
Beta (1Y)
0.36
Revenue Growth
-26.94%
EPS Growth
-44.90%
Country
Japan
Employees
―
Sector
Real Estate
Sector Strength
65
Industry
REIT - Hotel & Motel

Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corp. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corporation, known as Ichigo Hotel REIT, commenced trading on the J-REIT section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange on November 30, 2015. Its distinctive name, "Ichigo," draws inspiration from the venerable Japanese proverb "Ich...

Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corp. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement strength (62) is supported by strong recent margins and a multi-year rebound through 2025, but 2026 revenue fell sharply (-26.8%) and margins cooled. Balance sheet is workable (58) but leverage increased (debt-to-equity ~0.93 vs ~0.75). Cash flow is the main drag (44) due to volatile and recently negative free cash flow, limiting financial flexibility.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

58Neutral

Cash Flow

44Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJul 2025Jul 2024Jul 2023Jul 2023Jul 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.64B6.07B7.67B3.33B4.72B2.37B
Gross Profit2.11B4.22B7.67B2.18B3.29B1.27B
EBITDA4.36B4.41B10.84B2.26B3.22B1.64B
Net Income2.59B2.73B4.31B1.29B1.97B704.49M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets80.81B81.29B78.37B59.04B74.94B59.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.92B7.11B6.05B1.65B1.55B4.58B
Total Debt38.02B38.02B32.47B25.47B32.47B26.34B
Total Liabilities39.88B40.24B35.36B26.72B34.24B27.40B
Stockholders Equity40.93B41.05B43.01B32.32B40.69B31.96B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-315.93M-2.63B10.10B-840.15M-13.09B411.75M
Operating Cash Flow5.45B10.67B10.10B2.21B2.42B1.54B
Investing Cash Flow-5.80B-13.29B-3.20B-3.03B-15.30B-1.16B
Financing Cash Flow-732.16M862.05M-1.97B-931.68M13.38B-611.61M

Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corp. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price105500.00

Price Trends

50DMA105844.00Negative
100DMA109701.61Negative
200DMA111389.20Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-387.51Negative
RSI55.51Neutral
STOCH79.50Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3463, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 105500.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 103330.00, below the 50-day MA of 105844.00, and below the 200-day MA of 111389.20, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -387.51 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:3463.

Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corp. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

JP:3463 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:3479JP:347981OutperformJPY 90.55B6.12――50.70%364.91%
JP:8985JP:898580OutperformJPY 506.32B17.388.24%5.91%14.90%5.75%
JP:3287JP:328769NeutralJPY 129.88B17.36―6.27%44.46%34.92%
Sector *65Neutral$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
JP:3463JP:346355NeutralJPY 34.39B13.36―7.49%-26.94%-44.90%

* Real Estate Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%JP:3463JP:8985JP:3287JP:3290JP:3472JP:3479Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:3463 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:3463Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corp.105500.00-20849.97-16.50%
JP:8985Japan Hotel Reit Investment Corporation85600.00-678.63-0.79%
JP:3287Hoshino Resorts REIT, Inc.223900.00-23468.11-9.49%
JP:3290One REIT. Inc.71500.00-14392.53-16.76%
JP:3472Nippon Hotel & Residential Investment Corporation68000.00-10006.97-12.83%
JP:3479TKP Corp2102.00377.0021.86%

Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corp. Corporate Events

Ichigo Hotel REIT Posts Double-Digit Revenue and RevPAR Growth in September 2026

Oct 26, 2026

Ichigo Hotel REIT reported strong operating metrics for September 2026, with portfolio revenue rising around 19–22% year on year and key indicators such as RevPAR, occupancy, and ADR improving across both variable and fixed rent hotels. The robust gr...

Ichigo Hotel REIT Wins Shareholder Backing for Governance Changes and Director Slate

Oct 25, 2026

Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corporation, a Tokyo-based real estate investment trust specializing in hotel properties across Japan, is managed by Ichigo Investment Advisors and provides investors with access to the domestic hospitality real estate ma...

Ichigo Hotel REIT Switches Property Manager at Sapporo Nest Hotel

Oct 16, 2026

Ichigo Hotel REIT is shifting property management of the Nest hotel alt. Sapporo Odori to Daiwa House Realty Mgt., replacing Tokyo Capital Management as part of an ongoing review of operating partners. The new manager was chosen after evaluating mult...

Ichigo Hotel REIT August Revenue and RevPAR Decline Amid Renovations

Sep 25, 2026

Ichigo Hotel REIT reported weaker operating metrics for August 2026, with portfolio revenue from 23 operating hotels falling 3.9% year-on-year to JPY 1,056.9 million and RevPAR down 4.3%. Occupancy slipped to 84.9% and average daily room rates eased...

Ichigo Hotel REIT Extends Nationwide Shareholder Hotel Discount Program

Sep 17, 2026

Ichigo Hotel REIT is extending its shareholder hotel discount program, reaffirming its strategy of engaging investors while supporting Japan’s hotel industry. The program targets all shareholders on the July 31, 2026 registry, with benefits tied to s...

Ichigo Hotel REIT to Update Articles and Retain Board Ahead of Seventh Shareholder Meeting

Sep 17, 2026

Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corporation plans to amend its Articles of Incorporation to better align auditor compensation timing with the actual progress of audit procedures and to incorporate recent legal and regulatory changes. The revisions refle...

Ichigo Hotel REIT Tops July 2026 Earnings Forecasts on Strong Domestic Demand

Sep 17, 2026

Ichigo Hotel REIT reported that its July 2026 fiscal period earnings modestly exceeded its already revised forecast, supported by stronger-than-expected hotel performance. Operating revenue rose to JPY 2,902 million and net income reached JPY 1,231 m...

Ichigo Hotel REIT Highlights Sustainability Focus in July 2026 Presentation

Sep 17, 2026

Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corporation has released its corporate presentation for the July 2026 fiscal period, outlining its latest status and performance as a listed hotel-focused REIT. The disclosure underscores the company’s alignment with Ichi...

Ichigo Hotel REIT Sees Profit Decline but Keeps Payouts Steady

Sep 17, 2026

Ichigo Hotel REIT reported July 2026 fiscal period operating revenue of JPY 2,902 million, down 7.8% from the prior period, with net income falling 9.1% to JPY 1,231 million and net income per share at JPY 3,760. Despite the earnings decline, the REI...

Ichigo Hotel REIT Names OneFive Hotels as Specified Related Corporation After New Lease Deal

Aug 31, 2026

Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corporation has designated OneFive Hotels Inc. as a specified related corporation following a new lease agreement for HOTEL THE KNOT YOKOHAMA, effective October 15, 2026. The change stems from expected lease compensation...

Ichigo Hotel REIT Picks New Operator and Ups Guaranteed Rent at Yokohama Knot Hotel

Aug 31, 2026

Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corporation will change the operator of HOTEL THE KNOT YOKOHAMA to OneFive Hotels Inc. after the previous lease ended in March 2026, with the property undergoing renovations and scheduled to reopen as THE KNOT YOKOHAMA on...

Ichigo Hotel REIT Sees Softer 2026 Metrics Amid Renovation-Related Drag

Aug 25, 2026

Ichigo Hotel REIT reported largely flat year-on-year performance for July 2026 on its core operating portfolio of 22 hotels, with total revenue down 0.8% to JPY 938 million and slight declines in RevPAR, occupancy, and ADR. Variable-rent hotels showe...

Ichigo Hotel REIT Sets Rates on JPY 8.2 Billion in New Loans

Aug 21, 2026

Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corporation has set initial interest rates on new loans totaling JPY 8.2 billion, splitting JPY 4.05 billion into floating-rate tranches and JPY 4.15 billion into fixed-rate tranches with maturities ranging from roughly 2...

Ichigo Hotel REIT Secures ¥8.2 Billion Refinancing to Extend Debt Maturities

Aug 19, 2026

Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corporation has arranged JPY 8.2 billion in new bank loans with a syndicate of major Japanese lenders, including SMBC, Mizuho Bank, MUFG Bank as a new participant, SBI Shinsei Bank, Resona Bank, Aozora Bank, and The Bank...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026