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cotta Co., Ltd. (3359) AI Stock Analysis

JP:3359

cotta Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:3359)

Select Model
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:JPY 558.00â–²(16.74% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:12/11/25

The below-average score primarily stems from financial risks, including declining margins and sharply increased leverage. While cash flow generation is robust and valuation is moderate, bearish technical momentum further weighs on the outlook. Debt management and margin recovery are critical for improvement.

Positive Factors
Revenue growthSustained revenue growth of 12.22% indicates expanding demand for Cotta's confectionery and bakery supplies, supporting scale benefits and longer-term distribution or product investments. Over 2-6 months this underpins durable top-line momentum and expands potential operating leverage.
Negative Factors
Low net marginA 3.20% net margin limits retained earnings and buffers against cost shocks. For a supplier business, thin net profitability constrains reinvestment and makes returns sensitive to input cost inflation or pricing pressure, posing a durable earnings vulnerability.

cotta Co., Ltd. (3359) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%JP:3359-3.84%EWJ+17.00%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 5.04B
Dividend Yield
2.11%
Average Volume (3M)
35.75K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
11.2
Beta (1Y)
0.61
Revenue Growth
27.11%
EPS Growth
6.57%
Country
Japan
Employees
163
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Packaging & Containers

cotta Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Operating both domestically in Japan and across international markets, cotta CO.,LTD specializes in the production and distribution of ingredients for confectionery and various food packaging solutions. Their product portfolio encompasses packaging i...

How the Company Makes Money

Cotta generates revenue primarily by selling confectionery- and bakery-related supplies to customers involved in producing or selling sweets and baked goods. Key revenue streams include (1) sales of ingredients/materials used in confectionery and bak...

cotta Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mixed performance: Strong revenue growth (12.2%) and exceptional cash flow (FCF up 267.6%) are offset by margin compression (gross margin down to 29.7%) and high leverage (debt-to-equity up to 0.90).

Income Statement

55Neutral

Balance Sheet

40Negative

Cash Flow

80Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.49B13.68B8.95B8.62B8.84B9.26B
Gross Profit4.52B4.06B2.82B2.93B2.74B3.88B
EBITDA1.24B1.09B665.03M964.94M724.22M623.25M
Net Income449.99M437.12M341.30M570.91M399.98M324.64M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.74B10.29B6.40B6.42B6.00B5.85B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.68B2.54B1.83B1.93B1.80B1.62B
Total Debt3.52B3.97B1.20B1.43B1.48B1.44B
Total Liabilities5.81B5.80B2.24B2.52B2.64B2.74B
Stockholders Equity4.83B4.44B4.16B3.91B3.35B3.11B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow778.95M778.95M211.91M395.89M320.81M-317.16M
Operating Cash Flow868.91M868.91M280.47M445.58M447.04M-106.97M
Investing Cash Flow-2.60B-2.60B7.01M-242.57M-136.72M-223.84M
Financing Cash Flow2.44B2.44B-387.21M-78.04M-130.74M-27.12M

cotta Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price478.00

Price Trends

50DMA502.23Negative
100DMA503.80Negative
200DMA505.82Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-5.76Positive
RSI33.87Neutral
STOCH20.84Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3359, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 478.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 489.00, below the 50-day MA of 502.23, and below the 200-day MA of 505.82, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -5.76 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.84 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3359.

cotta Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:3359 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:3950JP:395085OutperformJPY 88.60B14.96―2.59%3.57%-1.12%
JP:3954JP:395476OutperformJPY 13.36B8.94―1.83%2.39%21.14%
JP:5901JP:590173OutperformJPY 602.22B12.537.89%3.75%6.21%108.07%
JP:7864JP:786472OutperformJPY 192.18B8.8013.51%2.54%3.89%67.10%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
JP:7917JP:791758NeutralJPY 94.95B11.408.26%2.91%5.99%22.32%
JP:3359JP:335956NeutralJPY 5.16B11.16―2.11%27.11%6.57%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%JP:3359JP:7917JP:7864JP:5901JP:3950JP:3954Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:3359 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:3359cotta Co., Ltd.475.00-21.92-4.41%
JP:7917Fujimori Kogyo Co 1235.00196.6018.93%
JP:7864Fuji Seal International 3510.00856.2932.27%
JP:5901Toyo Seikan Group Holdings 4475.001202.1536.73%
JP:3950Pack Corporation1507.00332.8328.35%
JP:3954SHOWA PAXXS CORP.3010.00171.336.04%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 04, 2026