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United Super Markets Holdings, Inc. (3222) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3222

United Super Markets Holdings, Inc.

(TSE/TYO:3222)

Select Model
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:JPY 764.00▼(-1.67% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

The score is held back primarily by deteriorating profitability (including a 2026 net loss) and uneven free cash flow, despite steady operating cash generation and moderate leverage. Technicals are also weak with the stock below major moving averages and a negative MACD. Valuation is mixed: the dividend yield helps, but a negative P/E driven by losses adds risk.

Positive Factors
Revenue GrowthRecent revenue expansion indicates the business is maintaining or growing its sales base despite profitability pressure. Continued top-line progress can support operating leverage and provide a foundation for recovery if the company improves margins and cost discipline over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Net Loss and Thin MarginsThe deterioration from earlier profitability to a 2026 net loss weakens earnings quality and reduces the company’s ability to fund growth through retained profits. Thin, compressed operating margins also leave limited protection if costs rise or revenue growth moderates.

United Super Markets Holdings, Inc. (3222) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:3222-7.51%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 161.81B
Dividend Yield
2.06%
Average Volume (3M)
586.81K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-24.0
Beta (1Y)
0.08
Revenue Growth
10.71%
EPS Growth
-523.13%
Country
Japan
Employees
9,349
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Department Stores

United Super Markets Holdings, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

United Super Markets Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, manages supermarket business in Japan. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is based in Chiyoda, Japan.

United Super Markets Holdings, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue has improved recently, but profitability has weakened materially, culminating in a net loss in 2026. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage and solid equity support, while operating cash flow is consistently positive; however, free cash flow has been volatile, limiting overall quality of earnings.

Income Statement

44Neutral

Balance Sheet

66Positive

Cash Flow

58Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMFeb 2026Feb 2025Feb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.03T963.76B811.27B706.66B708.69B716.41B
Gross Profit308.92B289.13B247.19B214.51B212.46B216.27B
EBITDA17.20B20.01B24.54B18.55B18.18B23.65B
Net Income-6.62B-3.19B810.00M1.01B1.34B5.37B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets408.38B379.21B382.60B287.53B280.07B282.22B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments37.57B32.41B35.74B21.14B25.63B32.50B
Total Debt61.43B54.02B63.31B44.88B43.24B40.56B
Total Liabilities205.17B178.54B179.27B137.27B130.04B129.98B
Stockholders Equity203.21B200.67B203.33B150.25B150.02B151.69B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow05.76B-8.19B562.00M-2.64B-5.18B
Operating Cash Flow025.60B14.48B21.50B15.21B16.02B
Investing Cash Flow0-16.63B-16.26B-25.55B-22.80B-24.32B
Financing Cash Flow0-12.29B6.94B-442.00M495.00M2.39B

United Super Markets Holdings, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price777.00

Price Trends

50DMA798.70Negative
100DMA802.43Negative
200DMA839.93Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-4.41Negative
RSI50.22Neutral
STOCH80.48Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3222, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 777.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 761.15, below the 50-day MA of 798.70, and below the 200-day MA of 839.93, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -4.41 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.48 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:3222.

United Super Markets Holdings, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:3222 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:2659JP:265979OutperformJPY 206.24B18.297.39%3.81%6.09%-0.75%
JP:9956JP:995670OutperformJPY 200.01B8.77―3.81%9.04%13.87%
JP:8278JP:827858NeutralJPY 177.44B20.34―1.49%-1.47%119.37%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:8267JP:826753NeutralJPY 3.55T41.226.82%1.09%10.69%179.63%
JP:3222JP:322251NeutralJPY 162.13B-24.05―2.06%10.71%-523.13%
JP:8273JP:827348NeutralJPY 210.08B12.00―3.10%0.92%46.70%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-40%-20%0%20%JP:3222JP:8267JP:2659JP:8273JP:8278JP:9956Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:3222 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:3222United Super Markets Holdings, Inc.777.00-66.00-7.83%
JP:8267AEON Co 1248.00-1180.96-48.62%
JP:2659SAN-A CO 3315.00586.3221.49%
JP:8273Izumi Co., Ltd.967.0021.612.29%
JP:8278Fuji Co., Ltd.2019.0042.042.13%
JP:9956Valor Holdings Co., Ltd.1561.0094.236.42%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026