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Tokai Holdings Corporation (3167) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3167

Tokai Holdings Corporation

(TSE/TYO:3167)

Select Model
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:JPY 1,380.00â–²(5.02% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/13/26

The overall score reflects a company with strong and improving fundamentals, offset by weak near-term technical momentum. The financial health is the primary driver, with robust balance sheet improvement and expanding margins. However, the stock is under short-term selling pressure, trading below key moving averages with negative MACD. The attractive valuation and dividend yield provide a cushion, but the technical weakness prevents a higher score.

Positive Factors
Improving profitability and steady revenueRevenue reached 250.4B in TTM and operating performance improved, with operating margin around 7.4% and EBITDA margin around 14.6%. This combination indicates the diversified service base is producing steady scale and better operating leverage, supporting earnings durability over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Thin net profitabilityNet margin is only about 4.7% TTM despite improved profitability, leaving a relatively narrow earnings cushion. Thin bottom-line profitability can make results more sensitive to cost increases or softer demand and may limit the pace at which cash earnings compound.

Tokai Holdings Corporation (3167) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%JP:3167+28.76%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 167.04B
Dividend Yield
2.89%
Average Volume (3M)
416.31K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
14.4
Beta (1Y)
0.42
Revenue Growth
1.43%
EPS Growth
13.99%
Country
Japan
Employees
5,033
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Conglomerates

Tokai Holdings Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

TOKAI Holdings Corporation, established in 1950 and headquartered in Shizuoka, Japan, operates as a diversified conglomerate with a significant presence both domestically and internationally. Its core business activities span energy, information and...

How the Company Makes Money

Tokai Holdings primarily generates revenue by selling recurring and usage-based services to households and businesses across multiple operating segments. In its energy-related business, the company earns money from supplying LP gas (and related energ...

Tokai Holdings Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is solid and improving. Revenue growth has accelerated, margins are expanding, and the balance sheet shows strong deleveraging. Cash flow is healthy but has historical volatility. The overall trend is decidedly positive, though thin net profit margins remain a watchpoint.

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

68Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue250.38B244.84B243.48B231.51B230.19B210.69B
Gross Profit98.53B96.63B93.74B89.95B86.06B85.21B
EBITDA36.53B34.65B33.15B30.84B28.38B31.19B
Net Income11.80B10.75B9.22B8.48B6.46B8.97B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets224.82B219.59B214.90B209.12B193.34B184.47B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.44B5.41B5.64B5.76B4.36B4.74B
Total Debt54.80B66.83B65.09B65.53B64.91B61.25B
Total Liabilities118.18B115.12B119.04B117.82B111.03B105.52B
Stockholders Equity104.02B101.92B93.47B89.08B80.22B77.24B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow12.56B9.45B11.43B13.09B6.97B7.25B
Operating Cash Flow27.91B27.22B25.80B30.08B21.23B20.84B
Investing Cash Flow-17.11B-17.41B-15.83B-19.15B-14.46B-14.90B
Financing Cash Flow-9.47B-10.07B-10.13B-9.36B-7.19B-6.63B

Tokai Holdings Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price1314.00

Price Trends

50DMA1324.44Negative
100DMA1243.10Positive
200DMA1187.04Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-10.57Positive
RSI50.83Neutral
STOCH50.62Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3167, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1314.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1319.80, below the 50-day MA of 1324.44, and above the 200-day MA of 1187.04, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -10.57 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3167.

Tokai Holdings Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

JP:3167 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:3106JP:310680OutperformJPY 184.95B11.36―9.34%1.96%32.98%
JP:4206JP:420679OutperformJPY 271.44B13.66―3.52%11.84%7.92%
JP:7224JP:722469NeutralJPY 121.20B9.2310.55%3.20%11.78%51.66%
JP:3105JP:310567NeutralJPY 311.81B10.999.06%1.85%3.85%34.29%
JP:5331JP:533164NeutralJPY 170.18B9.969.77%3.66%12.25%39.22%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
JP:3167JP:316762NeutralJPY 168.16B14.43―2.89%1.43%13.99%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%JP:3167JP:3105JP:7224JP:5331JP:3106JP:4206Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:3167 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:3167Tokai Holdings Corporation1314.00294.4328.88%
JP:3105Nisshinbo Holdings 1941.00735.3460.99%
JP:7224Shinmaywa Industries,Ltd.1814.0012.590.70%
JP:5331Noritake Co.,Limited3005.00549.7522.39%
JP:3106KURABO INDUSTRIES LTD.2133.00778.4157.46%
JP:4206Aica Kogyo Company, Limited4094.00785.0523.72%

Tokai Holdings Corporation Corporate Events

TOKAI Holdings Details M&A Policy for Three Growth Businesses

Nov 5, 2026

TOKAI Holdings Corporation operates across the energy, information and communications, and cable television industries, with the latter two areas including corporate services and CATV operations. The company has identified these three businesses as p...

TOKAI Holdings Reports Stronger First-Half Earnings

Nov 5, 2026

TOKAI Holdings Corporation reported consolidated net sales of ¥120.0 billion for the six months ended September 30, 2026, up 4.8% year on year, while operating profit rose 23.5% to ¥7.7 billion and profit attributable to owners increased 29.0% to ¥4....

Tokai Holdings Posts Record First-Half Profit as Customer Base Expands

Nov 5, 2026

Tokai Holdings reported record results for the six months ended September 30, 2026, with net sales rising 4.8% year on year to ¥120.0 billion. Operating profit increased 23.5% to ¥7.7 billion, ordinary profit rose 24.5% to ¥8.1 billion, and profit at...

Tokai Holdings Corrects Cumulative Share Repurchase Disclosure

Nov 4, 2026

Tokai Holdings Corporation corrected its disclosure on the status of stock repurchases, revising cumulative shares bought through October 31, 2026, from 3,000,400 to 3,004,000. The company repurchased 1,117,200 shares during October for ¥1.496 billio...

TOKAI Holdings Repurchases 1.12 Million Shares in October

Nov 2, 2026

TOKAI Holdings Corporation disclosed that it repurchased 1,117,200 of its common shares on the Tokyo Stock Exchange during October, spending ¥1.496 billion. The purchases were conducted under a board-approved program authorizing buybacks of up to 5 m...

Tokai Holdings Advances Share Buyback Under ¥5 Billion Program

Oct 1, 2026

Tokai Holdings Corporation has disclosed the progress of its ongoing share buyback program authorized by the board in August 2026, aimed at repurchasing up to 5 million shares, or 3.88% of its issued stock excluding treasury shares, for a maximum of...

Tokai Holdings Delays Philippines Hydroenergy Share Acquisition Timeline

Sep 16, 2026

Tokai Holdings Corporation has been strengthening its portfolio through overseas energy infrastructure investments, using its wholly owned subsidiary Tokai Corporation to execute strategic share acquisitions. The move to convert Philippine-based Taft...

Tokai Holdings Reports Progress on ¥5 Billion Share Buyback Program

Sep 1, 2026

Tokai Holdings has disclosed the initial results of a board-approved share repurchase program, buying back 773,300 common shares on the Tokyo Stock Exchange between August 7 and August 31, 2026, at a total cost of ¥967.39 million. The buyback is part...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2026