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Medius Holdings Co., Ltd. (3154) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3154

Medius Holdings Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:3154)

Select Model
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:JPY 721.00â–¼(-0.69% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/17/26

Medius Holdings receives a neutral overall score heavily weighed down by deteriorating profitability and negative free cash flows, despite consistent revenue expansion. Weak technical indicators suggest continued bearish momentum, though a reasonable valuation and a 2.56% dividend yield offer a buffer. Management's ability to improve operating margins and cash conversion will be critical for a more positive outlook.

Positive Factors
Steady Revenue GrowthRevenue expansion from 2023 through 2026, including a rebound after the 2022 decline, indicates that Medius is participating in a durable healthcare distribution demand base. Continued sales growth can support scale, customer relationships, and investment in its medical supply capabilities over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Profitability CompressionSevere net-margin compression and lower ROE show that revenue growth is producing less earnings for each yen of sales and shareholder capital. This weakens the durability of returns, limits internally generated investment capacity, and leaves less room to absorb cost increases.

Medius Holdings Co., Ltd. (3154) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%JP:3154-7.36%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 16.14B
Dividend Yield
2.75%
Average Volume (3M)
26.59K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
15.2
Beta (1Y)
0.58
Revenue Growth
5.05%
EPS Growth
-24.77%
Country
Japan
Employees
2,716
Sector
Healthcare
Sector Strength
51
Industry
Medical - Distribution

Medius Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Medius Holdings Co., Ltd. is a Japanese enterprise deeply embedded in the healthcare sector. The company's operations involve the distribution of a diverse range of medical devices, encompassing fundamental consumables such as syringes and gauze, as...

How the Company Makes Money

Medius Holdings primarily makes money through the sale and distribution of medical devices and related medical consumables to healthcare providers (e.g., hospitals and clinics). Revenue is generated when the company procures products from manufacture...

Medius Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

The company shows robust top-line revenue growth and maintains a conservative balance sheet with decreasing debt levels. However, this is significantly offset by systemic profitability issues, declining net income, razor-thin profit margins, and a recent shift to negative free cash flow.

Income Statement

45Neutral

Balance Sheet

65Positive

Cash Flow

40Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue306.44B302.34B288.69B259.79B239.05B221.69B
Gross Profit35.59B35.82B33.30B31.09B29.31B27.42B
EBITDA4.34B4.01B4.77B3.86B4.27B3.80B
Net Income1.06B944.09M1.38B1.12B1.50B1.87B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets117.60B112.59B113.54B115.34B97.73B93.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.91B10.05B14.33B13.64B10.33B9.11B
Total Debt23.93B18.39B21.89B24.57B19.70B17.98B
Total Liabilities96.91B91.85B93.06B95.60B79.15B75.84B
Stockholders Equity20.67B20.74B20.48B19.74B18.57B17.31B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-373.71M5.26B261.12M300.65M-8.49B
Operating Cash Flow0374.23M7.01B1.92B1.22B-3.90B
Investing Cash Flow0-1.26B-2.51B-2.67B-862.94M-4.82B
Financing Cash Flow0-3.40B-3.47B4.01B862.90M5.21B

Medius Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price726.00

Price Trends

50DMA764.40Negative
100DMA781.44Negative
200DMA794.39Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-14.92Negative
RSI41.00Neutral
STOCH46.67Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3154, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 726.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 736.50, below the 50-day MA of 764.40, and below the 200-day MA of 794.39, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -14.92 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3154.

Medius Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)

Financial Indicators

JP:3154 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:7730JP:773079OutperformJPY 148.76B20.32―2.75%10.18%55.86%
JP:7747JP:774772OutperformJPY 1.02T31.6019.88%1.25%22.57%138.10%
JP:7979JP:797966NeutralJPY 80.75B12.86―2.70%8.74%36.76%
JP:7716JP:771660NeutralJPY 246.40B102.711.89%2.04%17.25%-40.40%
JP:7702JP:770256NeutralJPY 10.53B-12.45―3.92%-3.10%-645.12%
Sector *51Neutral$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
JP:3154JP:315450NeutralJPY 16.03B15.22―2.75%5.05%-24.77%

* Healthcare Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%JP:3154JP:7747JP:7716JP:7702JP:7730JP:7979Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:3154 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:3154Medius Holdings Co., Ltd.726.00-66.48-8.39%
JP:7747Asahi Intecc Co 3811.001165.7144.07%
JP:7716Nakanishi 1419.00389.5137.84%
JP:7702JMS Co., Ltd.434.0018.074.34%
JP:7730Mani, Inc.1493.0086.986.19%
JP:7979Shofu Inc.2250.00468.0526.27%

Medius Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Medius Holdings Reports Strong First-Quarter Profit Growth

Nov 9, 2026

Medius Holdings Co., Ltd., listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s Prime Market, reported consolidated net sales of ¥76.273 billion for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. The release does not specify the company’s industry, primary products, or servi...

Medius Holdings Issues Correction to First-Quarter Results

Nov 9, 2026

Medius Holdings Co., Ltd., listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s Prime Market, announced a correction to its consolidated financial results for the first quarter ended September 30, 2025. The company said certain items in its previously disclosed resu...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026