Hokkaido Coca-Cola Bottling Co., Ltd. (2573) AI Stock Analysis

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Hokkaido Coca-Cola Bottling Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:2573)

Select Model

Rating:57Neutral

Price Target:JPY 4,212.00▲(4.00% Upside)

Action:reiterated

Date:11/05/26

The score is primarily supported by improving profitability and a very conservative balance sheet with minimal leverage. Offsetting this, free cash flow weakened materially in 2025, and the stock screens expensive on P/E with a low dividend yield; technical indicators also point to subdued near-term momentum.

Positive Factors

Improving profitabilityThe sustained improvement in gross and operating margins indicates better profitability than in 2022, supporting stronger earnings quality. If maintained, this progress can provide greater resilience against operating costs and create more internal capacity for reinvestment over the next several quarters.

Negative Factors

Sharp free cash flow deteriorationThe sharp decline in free cash flow weakens the quality of recent earnings and reduces cash available for dividends, reinvestment, or balance-sheet strengthening. Unless cash conversion improves, heavier investment needs or working-capital demands could constrain financial flexibility despite solid operating cash flow.

Hokkaido Coca-Cola Bottling Co., Ltd. (2573) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Market Cap: JPY 55.18B
Dividend Yield: 0.74%
Average Volume (3M): 4,435
Price to Earnings (P/E): 41.6
Beta (1Y): 0.21
Revenue Growth: 2.67%
EPS Growth: -9.16%
Country: Japan
Employees: 1,173
Sector: Consumer Defensive
Sector Strength: 62
Industry: Beverages - Non-Alcoholic

Hokkaido Coca-Cola Bottling Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Hokkaido Coca-Cola Bottling Co., Ltd. specializes in the production and sale of non-alcoholic beverages throughout the Hokkaido region of Japan. This enterprise, established in 1940, maintains its primary offices in Sapporo, Japan. It functions as a...

Hokkaido Coca-Cola Bottling Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Profitability has improved (gross margin ~31.8% and EBIT margin ~4.3% in 2025 vs. much lower levels in 2022) and revenue is modestly growing, supported by an exceptionally low-leverage balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.026). The key drawback is weaker cash-flow quality: free cash flow fell sharply in 2025 (~¥0.26B) and conversion to FCF dropped to ~8% of net income.

Income Statement

66Positive

Balance Sheet

86Very Positive

Cash Flow

52Neutral

Financial statement breakdown
Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	59.99B	59.09B	56.86B	56.37B	51.60B	52.00B
Gross Profit	18.61B	18.78B	18.12B	17.17B	15.25B	17.79B
EBITDA	4.42B	4.69B	4.18B	3.86B	2.95B	3.12B
Net Income	1.43B	1.67B	1.54B	1.31B	556.00M	632.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	54.72B	54.25B	51.91B	51.07B	48.40B	49.27B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	7.44B	9.57B	10.25B	9.38B	8.75B	9.47B
Total Debt	1.19B	1.12B	1.09B	1.07B	1.03B	941.00M
Total Liabilities	11.10B	10.88B	9.79B	10.22B	8.56B	8.83B
Stockholders Equity	43.62B	43.37B	42.12B	40.85B	39.83B	40.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0	256.00M	1.43B	820.00M	-53.00M	1.42B
Operating Cash Flow	0	3.24B	3.60B	3.25B	2.00B	3.13B
Investing Cash Flow	0	-3.22B	-2.03B	-1.95B	-2.03B	-2.05B
Financing Cash Flow	0	-696.00M	-700.00M	-684.00M	-675.00M	-2.79B

Hokkaido Coca-Cola Bottling Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative

Last Price4050.00

Price Trends

50DMA4084.70Negative

100DMA4045.17Positive

200DMA4083.54Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-12.40Positive

RSI41.38Neutral

STOCH53.19Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2573, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4050.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4083.50, below the 50-day MA of 4084.70, and below the 200-day MA of 4083.54, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -12.40 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:2573.

Hokkaido Coca-Cola Bottling Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (62)

Financial Indicators

JP:2573 against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
JP:2267	79Outperform	JPY 817.01B	17.74	7.87%	2.60%	-0.67%	10.63%
JP:2579	64Neutral	JPY 696.07B	41.39	4.75%	1.50%	-1.71%	―
Sector *	62Neutral	$20.33B	14.63	-3.31%	3.23%	1.93%	-12.26%
JP:2573	57Neutral	JPY 53.89B	41.62	―	0.74%	2.67%	-9.16%
JP:2585	56Neutral	JPY 69.28B	18.50	―	1.10%	21.31%	1.17%
JP:2593	55Neutral	JPY 341.00B	88.89	2.43%	1.51%	4.94%	-71.82%
JP:2590	54Neutral	JPY 100.33B	-3.71	―	0.98%	2.65%	-960.54%

* Consumer Defensive Sector Average

Performance Comparison

JP:2573 and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
JP:2573	Hokkaido Coca-Cola Bottling Co., Ltd.	4050.00	49.57	1.24%
JP:2579	Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan	4466.00	1835.24	69.76%
JP:2593	ITO EN	3301.00	147.91	4.69%
JP:2267	Yakult Honsha Co	2810.50	163.69	6.18%
JP:2585	LIFEDRINK COMPANY INC.	1274.00	-766.50	-37.56%
JP:2590	DyDo Group Holdings, Inc.	3060.00	645.34	26.73%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026

Hokkaido Coca-Cola Bottling Co., Ltd. AI Stock Analysis