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Soiken Holdings Inc. (2385) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:2385

Soiken Holdings Inc.

(TSE/TYO:2385)

Select Model
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:JPY 197.00â–¼(-6.64% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/26/26

Soiken Holdings scores below average, driven primarily by a steep multi-year revenue contraction of nearly 60% and two consecutive years of losses, only partially offset by a projected return to profitability in FY2026. The key strength is an exceptionally conservative, debt-free balance sheet with a large equity cushion that provides resilience and time to execute a turnaround, alongside recovering free cash flow. Technicals are neutral, with the price above short-term moving averages but still beneath the 100- and 200-day lines, signalling a longer-term downtrend that has yet to reverse. Valuation is a modest drag, as a P/E of 27.5 looks demanding against shrinking revenue, though the 4.48% dividend yield offers meaningful income support. Investors should look for evidence of revenue stabilisation and sustained profitability before the outlook improves materially.

Positive Factors
Debt-free balance sheetThe debt-free structure and substantial equity base provide financial resilience through operating downturns. Low leverage reduces refinancing exposure and preserves flexibility to fund operations or strategic initiatives without the burden of significant interest obligations.
Negative Factors
Multi-year revenue contractionRepeated revenue contraction is a durable pressure on the business because it limits operating leverage and reduces the scale available to support fixed costs. Continued top-line weakness could make recent profit and cash-flow improvements difficult to sustain.

Soiken Holdings Inc. (2385) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%40%JP:2385-5.18%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 5.52B
Dividend Yield
4.74%
Average Volume (3M)
290.25K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
32.6
Beta (1Y)
0.93
Revenue Growth
-33.44%
EPS Growth
3.65%
Country
Japan
Employees
45
Sector
Healthcare
Sector Strength
51
Industry
Biotechnology

Soiken Holdings Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Founded in 1994 and headquartered in Toyonaka, Japan, Soiken Holdings Inc. primarily focuses on the advancement of biomarkers. The company’s operations span a diverse range of health and wellness sectors. It is actively involved in the creation and c...

Soiken Holdings Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial results are mixed and lean negative. Revenue has collapsed roughly 59% from ¥9.35bn in FY2022 to an estimated ¥3.87bn in FY2026, including a projected -20% decline in FY2026 alone, and the company posted operating and net losses in FY2024 and FY2025 (income statement score 30). The standout strength is a debt-free balance sheet with ~89% equity-to-assets and stable equity of ¥6–7bn, offering strong downside protection, though ROE remains thin at a projected 3.5% (balance sheet score 75). Cash flow has been erratic, swinging from ¥2.14bn operating cash flow in FY2022 to -¥881m in FY2024 before recovering to ¥558m in FY2025 and a projected ¥415m in FY2026 (cash flow score 45). The projected return to profitability and positive free cash flow are encouraging, but on a much smaller revenue base that raises questions about structural competitiveness.

Income Statement

30Negative

Balance Sheet

75Positive

Cash Flow

45Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.85B3.87B4.85B5.16B8.08B9.35B
Gross Profit2.41B1.87B2.41B2.48B3.72B4.26B
EBITDA-192.48M287.51M-201.93M-583.21M750.07M1.23B
Net Income-210.41M212.29M-210.70M-662.20M451.85M809.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.81B6.85B6.81B6.96B8.24B8.49B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.26B5.65B5.26B4.79B5.95B6.22B
Total Debt000000
Total Liabilities775.16M742.48M775.16M708.58M1.07B1.64B
Stockholders Equity6.02B6.11B6.02B6.23B6.97B6.65B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0377.20M521.19M-895.42M-141.08M2.09B
Operating Cash Flow0415.15M557.96M-880.82M-101.55M2.14B
Investing Cash Flow0119.10M-389.41M-14.29M160.37M-244.58M
Financing Cash Flow0-139.80M-214.00K-260.71M-130.21M-129.94M

Soiken Holdings Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price211.00

Price Trends

50DMA216.08Negative
100DMA217.36Negative
200DMA228.58Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-3.62Positive
RSI49.46Neutral
STOCH56.54Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2385, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 211.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 211.55, below the 50-day MA of 216.08, and below the 200-day MA of 228.58, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.62 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:2385.

Soiken Holdings Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)

Financial Indicators

JP:2385 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:4891JP:489156NeutralJPY 6.49B-6.18――――
Sector *51Neutral$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
JP:2385JP:238551NeutralJPY 5.52B32.56―4.74%-33.44%3.65%
JP:2183JP:218350NeutralJPY 4.38B-1.16―4.12%-21.55%-497.97%
JP:2342JP:234244NeutralJPY 3.42B105.84――8.53%97.93%
JP:206AJP:206A41NeutralJPY 3.96B-4.51――84.23%33.14%
JP:2370JP:237040UnderperformJPY 4.84B-4.19――1.41%1.12%

* Healthcare Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%JP:2385JP:2183JP:2342JP:2370JP:4891JP:206ADec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:2385 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:2385Soiken Holdings Inc.211.00-10.57-4.77%
JP:2183Linical Co., Ltd.194.00-99.92-34.00%
JP:2342Trans Genic Inc.203.006.003.05%
JP:2370MEDINET Co., Ltd.17.00-14.00-45.16%
JP:4891TMS Co., Ltd.134.00-7.00-4.96%
JP:206APRISM BioLab Co. LTD107.00-94.00-46.77%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 26, 2026