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Pasona Group (2168) AI Stock Analysis

JP:2168

Pasona Group

(TSE/TYO:2168)

Select Model
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:JPY 1,424.00â–¼(-1.32% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/16/26

The overall score is heavily weighed down by deteriorating financial performance, including operating losses and negative free cash flow, which is the most significant risk. Technical indicators confirm a strong bearish trend with the stock trading well below key moving averages. The negative P/E ratio underscores the lack of current earnings, while the modest dividend yield offers limited support. The relatively strong balance sheet provides some mitigation but is not enough to offset the operational and market headwinds.

Positive Factors
Manageable LeverageLow-to-moderate leverage relative to equity gives Pasona a comparatively sturdier financial foundation despite earnings volatility. A sizable equity base can help absorb operating weakness and preserve flexibility for essential investment or restructuring over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Declining RevenueA sustained revenue decline, culminating in a sharp latest-year contraction, signals weakening demand, reduced activity, or unfavorable service mix. Continued top-line pressure can limit operating leverage, constrain reinvestment, and make recovery dependent on successfully restoring client volumes.

Pasona Group (2168) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:2168-21.82%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 54.32B
Dividend Yield
1.04%
Average Volume (3M)
157.82K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-23.6
Beta (1Y)
0.68
Revenue Growth
0.31%
EPS Growth
70.47%
Country
Japan
Employees
9,028
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Staffing & Employment Services

Pasona Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Pasona Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of human resources consulting, recruitment, temporary staffing, education, training, and contracting and outsourcing services in Japan. The company offers HR and BPO solution...

How the Company Makes Money

Pasona Group primarily makes money by delivering HR services to corporate and public-sector clients and charging fees tied to the provision and management of labor and outsourced operations. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Staffing/tempora...

Pasona Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue has declined for three consecutive years and core operations have swung to losses, with negative net income in FY2025 and FY2026. The balance sheet remains a relative strength with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.31, but equity is eroding. Operating cash flow is positive but declining, and persistent negative free cash flow raises sustainability concerns. Overall financial health is under significant pressure.

Income Statement

25Negative

Balance Sheet

75Positive

Cash Flow

35Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMay 2025May 2024May 2024May 2023May 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue309.83B308.50B356.73B309.24B372.58B366.10B
Gross Profit69.02B70.07B84.83B67.96B91.53B89.67B
EBITDA-395.00M1.79B113.01B-2.40B23.01B27.71B
Net Income-5.52B-3.39B95.89B-8.66B6.10B8.62B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets237.13B235.48B302.52B266.78B279.09B205.95B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments97.40B92.78B192.28B139.27B123.07B66.95B
Total Debt39.73B38.95B42.34B32.68B58.33B53.16B
Total Liabilities102.26B102.55B147.85B125.64B207.46B138.80B
Stockholders Equity129.05B126.89B148.49B134.94B54.00B49.99B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-15.17B-12.75B-14.00B-7.66B-6.20B
Operating Cash Flow02.90B7.40B4.33B5.96B10.12B
Investing Cash Flow0-27.01B94.81B-47.60B-12.50B-29.62B
Financing Cash Flow0-173.00M-13.44B-15.05B-2.29B23.54B

Pasona Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1443.00

Price Trends

50DMA1557.48Negative
100DMA1547.34Negative
200DMA1678.24Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-30.63Positive
RSI39.90Neutral
STOCH16.77Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2168, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1443.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1465.00, below the 50-day MA of 1557.48, and below the 200-day MA of 1678.24, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -30.63 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.77 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:2168.

Pasona Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

JP:2168 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:6098JP:609882OutperformJPY 26.61T46.6236.23%0.13%9.31%43.87%
JP:2181JP:218176OutperformJPY 661.69B14.6020.63%4.29%9.70%30.96%
JP:2124JP:212473OutperformJPY 180.33B19.29―5.02%12.35%28.70%
JP:2146JP:214667NeutralJPY 147.91B17.71―5.40%-12.99%45.36%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
JP:4848JP:484857NeutralJPY 64.63B13.84―3.45%32.94%-2.29%
JP:2168JP:216844NeutralJPY 54.32B-23.64-1.80%1.04%0.31%70.47%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%JP:2168JP:6098JP:2181JP:2124JP:2146JP:4848Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:2168 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:2168Pasona Group 1443.00-383.58-21.00%
JP:6098Recruit Holdings Co 19200.0011512.86149.77%
JP:2181PERSOL HOLDINGS CO 291.2047.4719.48%
JP:2124JAC Recruitment Co., Ltd.1096.00135.1214.06%
JP:2146UT Group Co.,Ltd.242.0070.5341.13%
JP:4848Fullcast Holdings Co., Ltd.1854.00228.6914.07%

Pasona Group Corporate Events

Pasona Group Returns to Quarterly Profit but Full-Year Net Loss Still Forecast

Oct 15, 2026

Pasona Group reported consolidated net sales of ¥79.3 billion for the three months ended August 31, 2026, a 3.1% year-on-year increase, with operating profit returning to positive territory at ¥93 million and profit attributable to owners o...

Pasona Group to Grant Treasury Shares as Restricted Stock to Executives

Sep 24, 2026

Pasona Group Inc. has approved the disposal of 26,000 treasury shares as restricted stock compensation for directors and executive officers under its existing incentive plan, with a disposal price of ¥1,556 per share and a total value of ¥4...

Pasona Group Confirms Board Lineup and Audit Committee Structure

Aug 28, 2026

Pasona Group Inc. has confirmed its director lineup following its August 28, 2026 General Meeting of Shareholders, reappointing key executives including Representative Director, Chairperson and CEO Hirotaka Wakamoto and Representative Director, Presi...

Pasona Board Rejects Buyback Proposal Targeting Founding Family Shares

Jul 22, 2026

Pasona Group Inc. has disclosed that it received a shareholder proposal from Mercury AIFLNP V C.I.C Ltd. ahead of its 19th Ordinary General Meeting scheduled for 28 August 2026, seeking the acquisition of treasury shares from specific founding family...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 16, 2026