TipRanks
Go Ultimate55% OFF

Nihon M&A Center (2127) AI Stock Analysis

JP:2127

Nihon M&A Center

(TSE/TYO:2127)

Select Model
Rating:73.6Outperform
Price Target:JPY 693.00â–²(11.86% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/01/26

The company's fundamental strength is the primary driver of the score, with an exceptionally healthy balance sheet, high profitability, and strong cash flows. An attractive valuation and high dividend yield further support the investment case. However, these positives are tempered by a weak technical trend, as the stock is in a clear downtrend across all major moving averages with bearish momentum.

Positive Factors
Strong ProfitabilityHigh and consistent margins indicate that Nihon M&A Center’s advisory model converts transaction activity into substantial operating and net earnings. This profitability provides internal funding for growth, supports resilience through deal-cycle variation, and reinforces the company’s ability to sustain returns.
Negative Factors
Margin CompressionAlthough margins remain robust, the decline from earlier peaks suggests that incremental revenue is not converting into profit at the same rate as before. If this moderation persists, it could constrain earnings growth, reduce operating leverage, and weaken the durability of historical returns.

Nihon M&A Center (2127) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:2127-11.26%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 1.27B
Dividend Yield
3.98%
Average Volume (3M)
2.67M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
15.1
Beta (1Y)
0.94
Revenue Growth
4.56%
EPS Growth
-1.97%
Country
Japan
Employees
1,062
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Financial - Capital Markets

Nihon M&A Center Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Nihon M&A Center Holdings Inc. specializes in providing comprehensive merger and acquisition (M&A) services, operating both within Japan and on an international scale. The company particularly aids small and medium-sized enterprises with critical M&A...

How the Company Makes Money

The company primarily makes money by earning fees related to M&A transactions it intermediates and advises on. Its core revenue stream is success-based compensation (success fees) recognized when an M&A deal closes; these fees are typically calculate...

Nihon M&A Center Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:0.15%|Next Earnings Date:Jan 28, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was predominantly positive, supported by double-digit sales growth, stronger ordinary profit, increased transaction volume and value, improved cost and SG&A ratios, progress toward full-year targets, and a sharp reduction in timing-delayed projects. The main challenges were declining new mandates and negotiations, elevated turnover, a higher referral and outsourcing expense ratio, and uncertainty around future dividend continuation. Management expressed confidence in recovering mandate numbers and delivering solid second-half results.

Positive Updates

Sales and Ordinary Profit Growth
Sales stood at JPY 22.5 billion, increasing 21.5% year-on-year. Ordinary profit was JPY 8.1 billion, up 43.1% year-on-year, resulting in an upward revision to the forecast for the first half.

Negative Updates

Decline in New Mandates and Negotiations
New sell-side mandates were 327, down 15.9% year-on-year. New buy-side mandates were 388, down 4%, and new transaction negotiations were 297, down 4.8%. The company attributed the declines to its focus on growing sales and closing transactions, as well as stricter screening of new mandate opportunities.

Company Guidance

The company said it is not waiting until the fourth quarter to acquire mandates, has launched a campaign to acquire at least 3 mandates starting from October, and is hoping to have a new mandate number recovery from the third quarter while creating pipelines for closures in the next fiscal year after. It is trying to achieve double-digit growth, with minimum must targets of at least 7% to even higher than 10% growth, and will try to exceed these targets. The dividend forecast remains JPY 29 per share for the current fiscal year, equivalent to a dividend payout ratio of 83.6%, with a policy of dividend payout ratio of 60% or more during the midterm management plan period; ROE is planned to be 22.9%. The company also said it would deliver solid results in the second half, while the amount of the project that experienced a time lag was JPY 150 million, compared with JPY 560 million in the second quarter last year.

Nihon M&A Center Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Nihon M&A Center demonstrates excellent financial health. The income statement shows robust revenue growth and high profitability, the balance sheet is exceptionally strong with minimal debt and high ROE, and cash flow generation is robust with near 100% conversion of net income. Overall, the company combines high profitability, a conservative capital structure, and consistent cash generation.

Income Statement

92Very Positive

Balance Sheet

95Very Positive

Cash Flow

90Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue51.97B44.08B50.26B44.14B41.32B40.40B
Gross Profit31.85B24.78B30.28B24.64B23.51B24.14B
EBITDA21.97B17.12B18.95B16.71B15.70B16.83B
Net Income14.17B10.96B12.49B10.73B9.84B11.44B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets60.01B61.79B66.22B58.64B65.95B59.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments37.49B39.21B40.45B37.44B45.58B47.30B
Total Debt4.00B5.40B4.00B6.30B00
Total Liabilities11.75B14.20B15.58B14.67B11.23B8.13B
Stockholders Equity47.81B47.17B50.19B43.91B54.45B50.76B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow013.05B16.08B10.42B7.99B10.85B
Operating Cash Flow013.12B16.33B10.55B8.30B11.10B
Investing Cash Flow011.98B-5.08B-18.22B-4.15B270.48M
Financing Cash Flow0-8.75B-10.60B-15.23B-6.09B-5.94B

Nihon M&A Center Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price619.50

Price Trends

50DMA633.12Negative
100DMA636.73Negative
200DMA646.14Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-2.41Negative
RSI46.06Neutral
STOCH40.62Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2127, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 619.50 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 620.78, below the 50-day MA of 633.12, and below the 200-day MA of 646.14, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.41 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:2127.

Nihon M&A Center Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

JP:2127 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:6080JP:608076OutperformJPY 133.40B16.88―1.73%12.21%23.48%
JP:6196JP:619676OutperformJPY 81.08B15.44―4.60%33.29%51.26%
JP:2127JP:212774OutperformJPY 205.01B15.1225.19%3.98%4.56%-1.97%
JP:8609JP:860972OutperformJPY 223.43B7.53―3.96%35.90%141.44%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
JP:8698JP:869864NeutralJPY 155.30B14.198.82%4.97%16.13%―
JP:8604JP:860463NeutralJPY 4.30T10.5311.08%1.80%11.75%13.33%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%25%50%75%JP:2127JP:8698JP:8604JP:6080JP:6196JP:8609Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:2127 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:2127Nihon M&A Center 619.50-74.63-10.75%
JP:8698Monex Group 620.00-59.72-8.79%
JP:8604Nomura Holdings 1496.00433.3740.78%
JP:6080M&A Capital Partners Co. Ltd.4195.001290.5744.43%
JP:6196Strike Co., Ltd.1413.00203.2616.80%
JP:8609Okasan Securities Group Inc.1011.00357.5354.71%

Nihon M&A Center Corporate Events

Nihon M&A Center Posts Flat Sales, Lower Profits but Keeps Guidance and Dividend

Oct 30, 2026

Nihon M&A Center Holdings reported consolidated net sales of ¥22.6 billion for the six months ended September 30, 2026, essentially flat year-on-year, while operating and ordinary profit declined 6.0% and 8.0% respectively. Profit attributab...

Nihon M&A Center Probes Illegal Dividends, Moves to Strengthen Governance

Oct 30, 2026

Nihon M&A Center Holdings has disclosed the findings of a Special Investigation Committee into interim dividends paid in December 2024 and December 2025 that exceeded legally distributable amounts under Japan’s Companies Act. The company ha...

Nihon M&A Center Strengthens Subsidiary HR Leadership with New Corporate Officer

Oct 21, 2026

Nihon M&A Center Holdings Inc. has strengthened the management structure of its core subsidiary, Nihon M&A Center Inc., by appointing Tomoyuki Kamata as Corporate Officer and Head of the HR Department at Corporate Headquarters, effective Nove...

Nihon M&A Center Sets Up Independent Panel Over Excess Dividends

Oct 8, 2026

Nihon M&A Center Holdings has established a special investigation committee after discovering that interim dividends paid in December 2024 and December 2025 exceeded legally distributable amounts under the Companies Act and related regulations. T...

Nihon M&A Center Admits Past Interim Dividends Exceeded Legal Limit

Oct 5, 2026

Nihon M&A Center Holdings has disclosed that interim dividends paid in December 2024 and December 2025 exceeded the legally distributable amount under Japan’s Companies Act, due primarily to inappropriate calculation and verification of the...

Nihon M&A Center Names First Chief Digital Officer in Digital Transformation Push

Sep 18, 2026

Nihon M&A Center Holdings has created a new Chief Digital Officer role and appointed Dai Yamamura to the post from October 1, 2026, underscoring its push to drive AI and digital transformation across the group. The company positions this move as...

Nihon M&A Center to Make AI Brain Partners a Wholly Owned Subsidiary to Drive AI-Led M&A Productivity

Sep 18, 2026

Nihon M&A Center Holdings will acquire AI Brain Partners and convert it into a wholly owned subsidiary through a simplified share exchange, after first taking a partial stake. The move follows the group’s early achievement of its medium-ter...

Nihon M&A Center Unveils Trust-Based Stock Incentive Plans for Directors and Employees

Aug 4, 2026

Nihon M&A Center Holdings Inc. has approved the disposal of 3,577,200 treasury shares as part of new stock compensation and incentive plans for directors and employees across the group. The shares, to be allotted via trust accounts managed by The...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2026