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Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd. (2004) AI Stock Analysis

JP:2004

Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:2004)

Select Model
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:JPY 4,388.00â–²(7.16% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/17/26

Showa Sangyo scores a moderate 63, reflecting a balance of strengths and weaknesses. The most favorable factor is its undemanding valuation at 11x P/E with a 3.2% dividend yield, providing income appeal and downside protection. Technical indicators are supportive, with the stock trading above all major moving averages and momentum indicators in healthy ranges. However, financial performance is the primary constraint — thin net margins (~3.5%), declining earnings trajectory into FY2026, and volatile cash flow generation (free cash flow converting less than half of net income) limit enthusiasm. The improving balance sheet with consistent deleveraging is a positive, but insufficient to offset the earnings and cash flow concerns. The stock is best characterized as a defensive, income-oriented holding with limited growth catalysts.

Positive Factors
Strengthening Balance SheetLower debt and steadily rising equity indicate a stronger capital base and improved financial flexibility. This gives Showa Sangyo more capacity to support operations and investment while reducing the balance-sheet pressure that can amplify downturns.
Negative Factors
Volatile Free Cash FlowVolatile free cash flow weakens confidence that accounting earnings consistently convert into deployable cash. Even with positive operating and free cash flow since 2024, renewed declines can constrain investment, debt reduction and the durability of shareholder returns.

Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd. (2004) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%JP:2004+43.77%EWJ+17.00%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 133.89B
Dividend Yield
3.28%
Average Volume (3M)
72.57K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
12.6
Beta (1Y)
0.26
Revenue Growth
3.00%
EPS Growth
15.52%
Country
Japan
Employees
2,927
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Sector Strength
62
Industry
Packaged Foods

Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd., a diversified Japanese enterprise, specializes in the production, processing, and distribution of food products across various sectors. Its consumer goods division supplies a wide assortment of household food items, including...

How the Company Makes Money

Showa Sangyo makes money primarily by processing grains and oilseeds and selling the resulting products to downstream customers across food manufacturing, foodservice, and retail, as well as to the livestock and aquaculture supply chain. Key revenue...

Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue has grown from ¥256B to ¥334B over five years but is now plateauing. Net margins remain thin at ~3.5%, and earnings are projected to decline into FY2026. The balance sheet is the strongest element with consistent equity growth and deleveraging (debt-to-equity improving to 0.40x), but cash flow volatility is a significant concern — free cash flow dropped 33% in FY2025 and is estimated to decline further. The blended financial score reflects adequate but unexceptional performance typical of the agricultural products sector, with cash flow inconsistency being the primary drag.

Income Statement

55Neutral

Balance Sheet

62Positive

Cash Flow

50Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue335.41B335.41B334.43B346.36B335.05B287.63B
Gross Profit59.79B59.79B57.08B56.88B45.54B46.20B
EBITDA25.25B25.72B27.18B27.08B21.03B16.05B
Net Income10.61B10.61B11.60B12.36B7.78B4.01B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets274.97B274.97B258.77B265.85B251.59B235.38B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.35B8.35B8.11B8.14B6.22B9.17B
Total Debt51.03B51.03B53.95B58.74B63.26B56.14B
Total Liabilities122.36B122.36B120.14B132.59B135.23B126.28B
Stockholders Equity149.29B149.29B134.98B129.61B113.00B105.70B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow06.31B8.49B12.64B-13.05B-10.03B
Operating Cash Flow018.01B20.27B23.75B-2.93B1.33B
Investing Cash Flow0-12.54B-11.38B-12.40B-6.16B-11.73B
Financing Cash Flow0-3.97B-10.06B-9.44B6.14B8.40B

Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price4095.00

Price Trends

50DMA3802.58Positive
100DMA3586.34Positive
200DMA3353.69Positive

Market Momentum

MACD70.26Negative
RSI67.25Neutral
STOCH55.74Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2004, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4095.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3861.50, above the 50-day MA of 3802.58, and above the 200-day MA of 3353.69, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 70.26 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:2004.

Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)

Financial Indicators

JP:2004 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:1379JP:137974OutperformJPY 65.62B10.69―2.64%3.50%17.03%
JP:2003JP:200373OutperformJPY 72.99B21.69―3.57%0.01%2.53%
JP:2004JP:200463NeutralJPY 133.65B12.62―3.28%3.00%15.52%
Sector *62Neutral$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
JP:2292JP:229261NeutralJPY 85.23B10.29―3.97%7.88%48.11%
JP:1333JP:133358NeutralJPY 182.50B9.517.93%4.16%2.53%-4.69%
JP:2938JP:293857NeutralJPY 60.90B21.68―0.66%20.88%34.54%

* Consumer Defensive Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%JP:2004JP:1333JP:1379JP:2003JP:2292JP:2938Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:2004 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:2004Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd.4120.001269.7944.55%
JP:1333Maruha Nichiro Corp1203.0079.997.12%
JP:1379Hokuto Corporation2081.00294.5416.49%
JP:2003Nitto Fuji Flour Milling Co., Ltd.1959.00354.8122.12%
JP:2292S Foods Inc.2696.00258.7510.62%
JP:2938Okamura Foods Co. Ltd.1207.0028.802.44%

Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Showa Sangyo Posts Higher Q1 Sales but Flat Profits, Confirms Full-Year Outlook

Aug 7, 2026

Showa Sangyo reported consolidated net sales of ¥92.38 billion for the three months ended June 30, 2026, up 9.1% year on year, while operating profit slipped 1.5% to ¥3.48 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent edged down 0.2%...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026