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Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd. (2004) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:2004

Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:2004)

Select Model
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:JPY 4,319.00â–²(6.51% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/17/26

Showa Sangyo scores a moderate 63, reflecting a balance of strengths and weaknesses. The most favorable factor is its undemanding valuation at 11x P/E with a 3.2% dividend yield, providing income appeal and downside protection. Technical indicators are supportive, with the stock trading above all major moving averages and momentum indicators in healthy ranges. However, financial performance is the primary constraint — thin net margins (~3.5%), declining earnings trajectory into FY2026, and volatile cash flow generation (free cash flow converting less than half of net income) limit enthusiasm. The improving balance sheet with consistent deleveraging is a positive, but insufficient to offset the earnings and cash flow concerns. The stock is best characterized as a defensive, income-oriented holding with limited growth catalysts.

Positive Factors
Integrated Processing ModelShowa Sangyo’s integrated processing model monetizes several products from common grain and oilseed inputs. Diversification across flour, edible oils, feed and by-products can support customer reach and earnings resilience as demand varies across downstream food and agricultural markets.
Negative Factors
Volatile Free Cash FlowCash generation has improved but remains inconsistent, with free cash flow moving down after 2024 and remaining volatile through 2026. Unstable cash conversion can constrain reliable cash returns, investment funding and the company’s ability to absorb weaker operating periods.

Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd. (2004) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%JP:2004+40.14%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 131.77B
Dividend Yield
3.33%
Average Volume (3M)
76.96K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
14.4
Beta (1Y)
0.29
Revenue Growth
4.20%
EPS Growth
-6.67%
Country
Japan
Employees
2,927
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Sector Strength
62
Industry
Packaged Foods

Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd., a diversified Japanese enterprise, specializes in the production, processing, and distribution of food products across various sectors. Its consumer goods division supplies a wide assortment of household food items, including...

How the Company Makes Money

Showa Sangyo makes money primarily by processing grains and oilseeds and selling the resulting products to downstream customers across food manufacturing, foodservice, and retail, as well as to the livestock and aquaculture supply chain. Key revenue...

Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue has grown from ¥256B to ¥334B over five years but is now plateauing. Net margins remain thin at ~3.5%, and earnings are projected to decline into FY2026. The balance sheet is the strongest element with consistent equity growth and deleveraging (debt-to-equity improving to 0.40x), but cash flow volatility is a significant concern — free cash flow dropped 33% in FY2025 and is estimated to decline further. The blended financial score reflects adequate but unexceptional performance typical of the agricultural products sector, with cash flow inconsistency being the primary drag.

Income Statement

55Neutral

Balance Sheet

62Positive

Cash Flow

50Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue335.41B335.41B334.43B346.36B335.05B287.63B
Gross Profit59.79B59.79B57.08B56.88B45.54B46.20B
EBITDA25.25B25.72B27.18B27.08B21.03B16.05B
Net Income10.61B10.61B11.60B12.36B7.78B4.01B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets274.97B274.97B258.77B265.85B251.59B235.38B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.35B8.35B8.11B8.14B6.22B9.17B
Total Debt51.03B51.03B53.95B58.74B63.26B56.14B
Total Liabilities122.36B122.36B120.14B132.59B135.23B126.28B
Stockholders Equity149.29B149.29B134.98B129.61B113.00B105.70B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow06.31B8.49B12.64B-13.05B-10.03B
Operating Cash Flow018.01B20.27B23.75B-2.93B1.33B
Investing Cash Flow0-12.54B-11.38B-12.40B-6.16B-11.73B
Financing Cash Flow0-3.97B-10.06B-9.44B6.14B8.40B

Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price4055.00

Price Trends

50DMA3866.87Positive
100DMA3659.15Positive
200DMA3400.85Positive

Market Momentum

MACD50.14Positive
RSI56.00Neutral
STOCH44.44Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2004, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4055.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3985.25, above the 50-day MA of 3866.87, and above the 200-day MA of 3400.85, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 50.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:2004.

Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)

Financial Indicators

JP:2004 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:2003JP:200377OutperformJPY 79.55B21.27―3.28%-0.06%6.97%
JP:1379JP:137974OutperformJPY 67.66B11.02―2.56%2.59%-5.54%
JP:2292JP:229269NeutralJPY 87.89B10.61―3.85%7.88%48.11%
JP:2004JP:200463NeutralJPY 131.54B14.43―3.33%4.20%-6.67%
Sector *62Neutral$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
JP:1333JP:133358NeutralJPY 182.04B10.836.81%4.17%2.53%-4.69%
JP:2938JP:293856NeutralJPY 61.96B22.06―0.65%28.76%50.52%

* Consumer Defensive Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%JP:2004JP:1333JP:1379JP:2003JP:2292JP:2938Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:2004 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:2004Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd.4055.001151.8339.68%
JP:1333Maruha Nichiro Corp1200.0017.191.45%
JP:1379Hokuto Corporation2146.00248.6713.11%
JP:2003Nitto Fuji Flour Milling Co., Ltd.2135.00465.7727.90%
JP:2292S Foods Inc.2780.00293.5111.80%
JP:2938Okamura Foods Co. Ltd.1228.0090.537.96%

Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Showa Sangyo Cuts Operating Forecasts, Raises Net Profit Outlook

Nov 9, 2026

Showa Sangyo revised its fiscal 2027 consolidated forecast, keeping sales at ¥350.0 billion but lowering operating profit to ¥10.0 billion and ordinary profit to ¥12.0 billion. Net profit attributable to shareholders was raised to ¥11.5 billion, or ¥...

Showa Sangyo to Sell Investment Securities for Capital Efficiency

Nov 9, 2026

Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd., listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s Prime Market, announced that its board approved the sale of a portion of its listed investment securities. The company expects the transaction, scheduled from November 10, 2026, through Mar...

Showa Sangyo Reports Higher Sales but Lower Six-Month Profits

Nov 9, 2026

Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd., listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, reported consolidated results for the six months ended September 30, 2026, with net sales rising 6.7% year-on-year to ¥177.8 billion. Operating profit fell 14.3% to ¥5.2 billion, while profi...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026