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Chugai Ro Co., Ltd. (1964) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:1964

Chugai Ro Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:1964)

Select Model
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:JPY 3,873.00▲(2.19% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

The score is driven primarily by constructive fundamentals (improving earnings power and a conservatively positioned balance sheet) but held back by prior multi-year cash-flow weakness. Valuation is a major positive (low P/E and high dividend yield), while technical signals remain negative with the price below key moving averages and bearish momentum indicators.

Positive Factors
Multi-year revenue and profit growthThe multi-year revenue uptrend and sharp improvement in net income indicate stronger earnings power across the company’s industrial engineering activities. This provides a durable base for reinvestment, customer support, and resilience over the next several quarters, although growth moderated in 2026.
Negative Factors
Uncertain cash conversionSeveral years of negative operating and free cash flow despite positive earnings indicate that reported profitability has not consistently converted into cash. Working-capital swings or investment needs may continue to make funding less predictable and limit financial flexibility.

Chugai Ro Co., Ltd. (1964) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:1964-12.25%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 26.46B
Dividend Yield
4.38%
Average Volume (3M)
24.75K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
7.0
Beta (1Y)
1.08
Revenue Growth
6.40%
EPS Growth
11.73%
Country
Japan
Employees
748
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Industrial - Machinery

Chugai Ro Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Chugai Ro Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development of technologies in the thermal technology field in Japan and internationally. It offers steel and nonferrous-metal heating furnaces, and heat treat furnaces; metal proces...

Chugai Ro Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement and balance sheet are solid (revenue and net income up multi-year; moderate leverage and growing equity), but cash-flow consistency is a key drag: operating/free cash flow were negative across 2023–2025 before rebounding in 2026, raising uncertainty about cash conversion durability.

Income Statement

74Positive

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

52Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue37.10B37.33B36.25B29.28B27.98B26.32B
Gross Profit8.34B8.11B7.21B5.83B5.48B5.31B
EBITDA5.79B7.04B4.83B3.66B2.14B2.05B
Net Income3.89B4.67B3.00B2.20B1.23B1.36B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets46.83B51.28B48.74B48.86B41.18B38.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.67B10.82B4.39B10.06B7.88B11.13B
Total Debt4.84B4.45B5.51B7.29B3.99B3.99B
Total Liabilities17.41B19.80B20.13B21.09B17.13B14.93B
Stockholders Equity29.16B31.20B28.33B27.57B23.86B23.07B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow05.41B-4.42B-2.16B-2.69B5.96B
Operating Cash Flow06.26B-3.70B-891.00M-2.50B6.09B
Investing Cash Flow02.68B654.00M550.00M-63.00M510.00M
Financing Cash Flow0-2.57B-2.70B2.45B-727.00M-2.51B

Chugai Ro Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price3790.00

Price Trends

50DMA3829.80Negative
100DMA3926.15Negative
200DMA4164.29Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-31.07Negative
RSI52.97Neutral
STOCH76.86Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:1964, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3790.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3718.25, below the 50-day MA of 3829.80, and below the 200-day MA of 4164.29, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -31.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:1964.

Chugai Ro Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

JP:1964 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:6381JP:638183OutperformJPY 65.94B11.26―5.09%13.76%38.30%
JP:6363JP:636376OutperformJPY 67.43B9.25―2.48%0.93%212.09%
JP:6517JP:651771OutperformJPY 71.03B10.77―3.89%9.99%41.83%
JP:1964JP:196467NeutralJPY 29.13B7.04―4.38%6.40%11.73%
JP:6247JP:624764NeutralJPY 43.01B11.30―3.45%13.15%-0.69%
JP:6376JP:637664NeutralJPY 169.72B11.2510.59%1.81%10.77%147.98%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%JP:1964JP:6376JP:6247JP:6363JP:6381JP:6517Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:1964 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:1964Chugai Ro Co., Ltd.3790.00-674.09-15.10%
JP:6376Nikkiso Co., Ltd.2877.001372.1391.18%
JP:6247Hisaka Works,Ltd.1592.00220.2716.06%
JP:6363Torishima Pump Mfg.Co., Ltd.2658.00772.5340.97%
JP:6381ANEST IWATA Corp.1672.00228.1715.80%
JP:6517Denyo Co., Ltd.3595.00634.8721.45%

Chugai Ro Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Chugai Ro outlines 1H FY2026 results and carbon-neutral growth strategy

Oct 30, 2026

Chugai Ro Co., Ltd. released an overview of its financial results for the first half of fiscal 2026 and its full-year forecast, detailing movements in backlog, net sales, operating profit, and the status of assets, liabilities, and net assets. The co...

Chugai Ro Lifts Earnings Outlook on Asset Sales Amid China Restructuring

Oct 30, 2026

Chugai Ro Co., Ltd. will book an extraordinary gain of about 700 million yen from selling listed investment securities as part of a review of policy shareholdings to enhance capital efficiency and reduce such holdings to under 20% of net assets by Ma...

Chugai Ro Posts Strong Sales, But Profit Drops on Extraordinary Factors

Oct 30, 2026

Chugai Ro Co., Ltd. reported consolidated net sales of ¥16,055 million for the six months ended September 30, 2026, an 8.7% year-on-year increase, with operating profit surging to ¥637 million. Ordinary profit rose sharply to ¥751 million, but profit...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026