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JGC (1963) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:1963

JGC

(TSE/TYO:1963)

Select Model
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:JPY 2,304.00â–²(8.68% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:08/17/26

The score is driven primarily by solid financial resilience (low leverage and a strong FY2026 rebound in earnings and cash flow) and a reasonable valuation (P/E 11.85 with a ~2.22% yield). Offsetting these positives, technical signals are mixed with a negative MACD and the stock trading below key medium-term moving averages, and the company’s recent history shows meaningful volatility in profitability and cash flows.

Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheetThe large equity base relative to debt gives JGC financial resilience through cyclical EPC conditions and project swings. Low leverage preserves capacity to absorb weaker periods and supports continued investment or shareholder distributions without relying heavily on additional borrowing.
Negative Factors
Revenue contractionThe revenue decline indicates that JGC’s recent earnings rebound was achieved despite a smaller top line rather than through broad-based expansion. Continued contraction could reduce operating scale, limit future profit growth, and make results more dependent on project mix and execution.

JGC (1963) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%JP:1963+36.06%EWJ+18.01%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 3.28B
Dividend Yield
2.45%
Average Volume (3M)
1.38M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
10.9
Beta (1Y)
1.21
Revenue Growth
-15.29%
EPS Growth
―
Country
Japan
Employees
8,154
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Engineering & Construction

JGC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

JGC Holdings Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, delivers comprehensive engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) solutions for a wide array of industrial plants and facilities worldwide. The company operates through two primary segme...

JGC Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 11, 2024(Q2-2024)|% Change Since:59.14%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The earnings call highlighted strong growth in net sales and demand in specific segments like functional materials and Total Engineering. However, this growth was overshadowed by declining profits, challenges in overseas projects, and a significant reduction in net income. While the market outlook remains positive in certain areas, the financial results reflect significant challenges that need to be addressed.

Positive Updates

Significant Increase in Net Sales
Net sales rose by 51% year-over-year to JPY 403.2 billion, driven by domestic projects related to clean energy and life sciences, as well as large-scale projects in Saudi Arabia and Iraq.

Negative Updates

Decline in Profit Margins
Gross profit fell by 11% to JPY 28.4 billion, and the profit ratio declined by 4.9% to 7.1%, primarily due to lower profit in the Total Engineering segment.

Company Guidance

During the earnings call for the second quarter of 2024, the executives provided detailed financial guidance, highlighting several key metrics. Net sales increased by 51% year-over-year to JPY 403.2 billion, while gross profit fell by 11% to JPY 28.4 billion. The profit ratio declined by 4.9% to 7.1%, primarily due to challenges in the Total Engineering segment. Operating profit decreased by 31% to JPY 13 billion, and ordinary profit fell 17% to JPY 25.4 billion. Net income attributable to owners of the parent dropped 39% to JPY 12.5 billion, influenced by a higher effective tax rate from overseas business losses. The company maintained its full-year forecast but adjusted the yen-dollar exchange rate from JPY 133 to JPY 140. New contracts in the Total Engineering segment amounted to JPY 158.9 billion, with an order backlog of JPY 1,484.9 billion at the end of September, down JPY 79 billion quarter-over-quarter. The executives emphasized efforts to improve profitability and the impact of exchange rate fluctuations, noting that each one yen change against the U.S. dollar could affect net sales by JPY 2 billion, gross profit by JPY 0.4 billion, and ordinary profit by JPY 0.8 billion.

JGC Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong balance sheet with low leverage (equity ~429B vs. debt ~35B) supports resilience, and FY2026 shows a sharp rebound in earnings and improved cash generation. However, profitability and cash flows have been highly volatile across FY2023–FY2025, reducing confidence in stability and execution consistency.

Income Statement

63Positive

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

70Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue832.63B858.08B745.28B832.60B606.89B428.40B
Gross Profit21.84B21.09B64.14B10.66B66.73B47.41B
EBITDA22.22B20.07B73.30B13.88B57.81B-19.64B
Net Income-1.51B-398.00M41.84B-7.83B30.66B-35.55B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets791.70B784.17B838.79B796.63B716.99B699.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments304.77B333.70B400.48B324.96B332.95B288.16B
Total Debt34.44B36.63B35.18B41.61B39.65B-50.98B
Total Liabilities379.14B391.91B407.60B408.74B319.01B312.01B
Stockholders Equity411.05B390.66B429.42B386.15B397.34B387.14B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow037.18B67.08B-2.43B104.20B13.84B
Operating Cash Flow046.76B79.90B11.09B110.77B19.31B
Investing Cash Flow0-21.17B-14.82B-20.20B-11.47B-7.70B
Financing Cash Flow0-15.05B-10.98B-8.89B-61.29B-148.00M

JGC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price2120.00

Price Trends

50DMA2238.30Negative
100DMA2326.20Negative
200DMA2330.80Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-36.07Negative
RSI44.08Neutral
STOCH74.19Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:1963, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2120.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2126.88, below the 50-day MA of 2238.30, and below the 200-day MA of 2330.80, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -36.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:1963.

JGC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

JP:1963 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:6366JP:636680OutperformJPY 156.16B2.15101.68%―15.86%179.87%
JP:1963JP:196368NeutralJPY 504.07B10.9411.30%2.45%-15.29%―
JP:1942JP:194265NeutralJPY 938.58B13.1716.79%3.29%3.74%30.42%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
JP:1417JP:141762NeutralJPY 270.64B10.999.82%2.75%4.87%77.41%
JP:6330JP:633049NeutralJPY 130.61B-10.07-27.55%1.17%-31.33%-795.62%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%JP:1963JP:6366JP:6330JP:1417JP:1942Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:1963 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:1963JGC Corp2120.00518.7232.39%
JP:6366Chiyoda Corp656.00153.0030.42%
JP:6330Toyo Engineering Corporation2145.00-182.00-7.82%
JP:1417Mirait Holdings Corporation3269.00303.1410.22%
JP:1942Kandenko Co., Ltd.4379.00-414.88-8.65%

JGC Corporate Events

JGC Releases English Outline of 1Q FY2026 Financial Results

Aug 7, 2026

JGC Holdings Corporation has released an English translation of its outline of financial results for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, covering the period from April 1 to June 30, 2026. The document serves as an investor-oriented presentation, highli...

JGC Boosts First-Quarter Profit Despite Lower Sales, Keeps Dividend Outlook

Aug 7, 2026

JGC reported consolidated results for the first quarter of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, showing net sales of ¥159.3 billion, down 16.1% from a year earlier, but with a sharp improvement in profitability. Operating profit rose 56.4% to...

JGC Completes Disposal of Treasury Shares for Restricted Stock Compensation

Aug 6, 2026

JGC Holdings has completed the disposal of 76,941 treasury shares under its restricted stock compensation plan, following board approval in mid-July. The shares, priced at 2,336 yen each for a total value of about 172 million yen, were allocated to d...

JGC Completes Disposal of Treasury Shares for Performance Share Unit Plan

Aug 6, 2026

JGC HOLDINGS CORPORATION has completed the disposal of 148,322 treasury shares under its Performance Share Unit scheme, following board approval in mid-July. The shares, priced at 2,336 yen each for a total of about 346.5 million yen, were allocated...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026