Tsuchiya Holdings Co., Ltd. (1840) AI Stock Analysis

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Tsuchiya Holdings Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:1840)

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Rating:46Neutral

Price Target:JPY 196.00▼(-5.77% Downside)

Action:reiterated

Date:11/07/26

The score is primarily held back by weak financial performance—especially negative profitability and poor cash flow generation—paired with clearly bearish technicals (price below all key moving averages, negative MACD, very low RSI). A high dividend yield provides some support, but the negative P/E signals earnings pressure and reduces valuation confidence.

Positive Factors

Manageable leverageManageable leverage and a healthy equity ratio provide a comparatively solid capital structure. This should preserve financial flexibility over the next several months, helping the company withstand operating pressure and retain capacity to address profitability and cash-flow challenges.

Negative Factors

Negative profitabilityNegative net profitability and negative return on equity show that current operations are not converting revenue into shareholder returns. Unless margins recover, this can restrict internally funded growth, weaken investor confidence, and prolong pressure on financial performance.

Tsuchiya Holdings Co., Ltd. (1840) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Market Cap: JPY 5.36B
Dividend Yield: 4.81%
Average Volume (3M): 28.04K
Price to Earnings (P/E): -25.1
Beta (1Y): 0.63
Revenue Growth: 6.30%
EPS Growth: -135.51%
Country: Japan
Employees: 679
Sector: General
Sector Strength: 55
Industry: Residential Construction

Tsuchiya Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Tsuchiya Holdings Co., Ltd., operating through its subsidiaries, is a Japanese company primarily involved in the construction sector. Its services span the development of new residential properties, the renovation of existing buildings, and comprehen...

Tsuchiya Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Overall financials show meaningful strain: the income statement reflects weakening margins and a shift to negative net profitability (Income Statement Score: 45), and cash generation is notably weak with negative free cash flow (Cash Flow Score: 40). The balance sheet is comparatively steadier with manageable leverage and a healthy equity ratio (Balance Sheet Score: 60), but negative ROE underscores that profitability problems are impacting shareholder returns.

Income Statement

45Neutral

Balance Sheet

60Neutral

Cash Flow

40Negative

Financial statement breakdown
Breakdown	TTM	Oct 2025	Oct 2024	Oct 2023	Oct 2022	Oct 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	32.60B	31.46B	33.28B	34.40B	34.72B	31.05B
Gross Profit	7.69B	8.13B	8.70B	8.85B	8.85B	8.53B
EBITDA	160.00M	473.17M	1.52B	794.05M	952.98M	1.05B
Net Income	-213.85M	-93.28M	758.49M	233.50M	230.42M	477.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	29.02B	26.99B	27.19B	24.97B	21.65B	22.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	3.26B	5.33B	6.83B	3.32B	2.83B	5.68B
Total Debt	6.06B	3.08B	4.00B	2.99B	49.00M	48.86M
Total Liabilities	16.98B	13.95B	14.26B	12.63B	9.55B	10.25B
Stockholders Equity	12.04B	13.04B	12.93B	12.34B	12.09B	11.95B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-889.14M	-889.14M	1.53B	-2.06B	-2.72B	2.19B
Operating Cash Flow	1.25B	1.25B	3.22B	-1.86B	-2.24B	2.45B
Investing Cash Flow	-2.10B	-2.10B	-530.71M	-282.90M	-443.35M	-243.02M
Financing Cash Flow	-996.98M	-996.98M	818.29M	2.73B	-171.37M	-45.22M

Tsuchiya Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative

Last Price208.00

Price Trends

50DMA238.30Negative

100DMA235.02Negative

200DMA228.90Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-10.77Positive

RSI26.42Positive

STOCH16.15Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:1840, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 208.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 227.14, below the 50-day MA of 238.30, and below the 200-day MA of 228.90, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -10.77 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 26.42 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.15 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:1840.

Tsuchiya Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:1840 against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
JP:1928	79Outperform	JPY 2.27T	8.98	12.07%	4.11%	-1.58%	30.14%
JP:1911	72Outperform	JPY 806.75B	12.06	7.38%	4.19%	19.00%	-22.65%
JP:3291	68Neutral	JPY 569.91B	7.80	6.91%	4.59%	9.16%	36.37%
JP:1430	62Neutral	JPY 12.89B	7.14	―	4.36%	-15.70%	17.12%
Sector *	55Neutral	$6.65B	3.83	-15.92%	6.20%	10.91%	7.18%
JP:1419	46Neutral	JPY 78.24B	98.18	―	5.00%	1.61%	-39.34%
JP:1840	46Neutral	JPY 5.17B	-25.06	―	4.81%	6.30%	-135.51%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

JP:1840 and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
JP:1840	Tsuchiya Holdings Co., Ltd.	208.00	-6.78	-3.16%
JP:3291	Iida Group Holdings Co	1981.50	-296.22	-13.00%
JP:1928	Sekisui House	3507.00	286.46	8.89%
JP:1911	Sumitomo Forestry Co	1265.50	-290.22	-18.65%
JP:1419	Tama Home Co., Ltd.	2501.00	-1038.49	-29.34%
JP:1430	First-corporation Inc.	1102.00	208.25	23.30%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026

Tsuchiya Holdings Co., Ltd. AI Stock Analysis