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Tsuchiya Holdings Co., Ltd. (1840) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:1840

Tsuchiya Holdings Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:1840)

Select Model
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:JPY 192.00â–¼(-10.70% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

The stock's low overall score is heavily driven by a recent transition to unprofitability, negative free cash flow, and a severe technical downtrend. While a strong balance sheet offers structural stability and the stock appears technically oversold, the lack of operational cash generation poses significant near-term risks to its operations and its 5% dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Manageable leverageManageable leverage and a healthy equity ratio provide a comparatively solid capital structure. This should preserve financial flexibility over the next several months, helping the company withstand operating pressure and retain capacity to address profitability and cash-flow challenges.
Negative Factors
Negative profitabilityNegative net profitability and negative return on equity show that current operations are not converting revenue into shareholder returns. Unless margins recover, this can restrict internally funded growth, weaken investor confidence, and prolong pressure on financial performance.

Tsuchiya Holdings Co., Ltd. (1840) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%JP:1840+3.33%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 5.54B
Dividend Yield
4.65%
Average Volume (3M)
28.57K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-25.9
Beta (1Y)
0.67
Revenue Growth
6.30%
EPS Growth
-135.51%
Country
Japan
Employees
679
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Residential Construction

Tsuchiya Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Tsuchiya Holdings Co., Ltd., operating through its subsidiaries, is a Japanese company primarily involved in the construction sector. Its services span the development of new residential properties, the renovation of existing buildings, and comprehen...

Tsuchiya Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is heavily pressured by declining revenue, a shift to unprofitability, and negative free cash flow (-Â¥889.14 million). This is partially mitigated by a highly resilient balance sheet featuring very low leverage with a 0.24 Debt-to-Equity ratio.

Income Statement

22Negative

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

25Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMOct 2025Oct 2024Oct 2023Oct 2022Oct 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue32.60B31.46B33.28B34.40B34.72B31.05B
Gross Profit7.69B8.13B8.70B8.85B8.85B8.53B
EBITDA160.00M473.17M1.52B794.05M952.98M1.05B
Net Income-213.85M-93.28M758.49M233.50M230.42M477.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets29.02B26.99B27.19B24.97B21.65B22.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.26B5.33B6.83B3.32B2.83B5.68B
Total Debt6.06B3.08B4.00B2.99B49.00M48.86M
Total Liabilities16.98B13.95B14.26B12.63B9.55B10.25B
Stockholders Equity12.04B13.04B12.93B12.34B12.09B11.95B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-889.14M-889.14M1.53B-2.06B-2.72B2.19B
Operating Cash Flow1.25B1.25B3.22B-1.86B-2.24B2.45B
Investing Cash Flow-2.10B-2.10B-530.71M-282.90M-443.35M-243.02M
Financing Cash Flow-996.98M-996.98M818.29M2.73B-171.37M-45.22M

Tsuchiya Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price215.00

Price Trends

50DMA237.02Negative
100DMA234.79Negative
200DMA228.79Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-9.62Positive
RSI38.60Neutral
STOCH47.30Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:1840, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 215.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 223.50, below the 50-day MA of 237.02, and below the 200-day MA of 228.79, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -9.62 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.30 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:1840.

Tsuchiya Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:1840 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:1928JP:192879OutperformJPY 2.32T9.1812.07%3.98%-1.58%30.14%
JP:1911JP:191172OutperformJPY 784.53B10.087.38%4.17%19.00%-22.65%
JP:1430JP:143062NeutralJPY 13.04B7.16―4.31%-15.70%17.12%
JP:3291JP:329162NeutralJPY 551.81B7.896.91%4.52%9.16%36.37%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:1419JP:141946NeutralJPY 72.41B99.92―5.06%1.61%-39.34%
JP:1840JP:184042NeutralJPY 5.37B-25.90―4.65%6.30%-135.51%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%JP:1840JP:3291JP:1928JP:1911JP:1419JP:1430Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:1840 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:1840Tsuchiya Holdings Co., Ltd.215.004.051.92%
JP:3291Iida Group Holdings Co 2011.50-274.87-12.02%
JP:1928Sekisui House 3617.00408.9412.75%
JP:1911Sumitomo Forestry Co 1271.00-279.41-18.02%
JP:1419Tama Home Co., Ltd.2471.00-1073.32-30.28%
JP:1430First-corporation Inc.1114.00215.4823.98%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026