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Tekken Corporation (1815) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:1815

Tekken Corporation

(TSE/TYO:1815)

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Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:JPY 1,970.00â–¼(-13.02% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/30/26

Tekken Corporation scores below average, driven primarily by weak financial health: persistent negative operating and free cash flow, a rapid build-up of debt (projected ¥75.7B in FY2026) and thin, volatile margins typical of project-driven construction. Technicals reinforce caution, with the price below all major moving averages and only neutral momentum readings. Offsetting these risks, the stock is cheaply valued at a 10.9 P/E with a high 7.66% dividend yield, and profitability is projected to improve in FY2026 — but until cash conversion turns sustainably positive, the elevated leverage keeps the risk profile high and caps the overall score.

Positive Factors
Profitability RecoveryThe rebound in net income and EBIT shows materially improved profitability through FY2026. If maintained, stronger earnings can rebuild internal funding capacity, support investment, and provide a better base for absorbing project or cost volatility over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash ConversionPersistently negative operating and free cash flow is the clearest fundamental weakness because reported earnings are not converting into liquidity. This can increase reliance on borrowing or other external funding, constrain investment flexibility, and heighten vulnerability when project cash timing deteriorates.

Tekken Corporation (1815) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%JP:1815+23.35%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 62.16B
Dividend Yield
7.51%
Average Volume (3M)
174.55K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
11.1
Beta (1Y)
0.96
Revenue Growth
-2.28%
EPS Growth
27.24%
Country
Japan
Employees
1,837
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Engineering & Construction

Tekken Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Tekken Corporation operates as a construction enterprise with a presence both domestically in Japan and across international markets. The company's diverse portfolio encompasses major infrastructure projects, including roadways, tunnels, bridges, wat...

Tekken Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Weak overall financial profile. Cash flow is the biggest concern (score 22): operating cash flow has been negative in three of the last five years, including -¥20.3B in FY2025 and a projected -¥13.9B in FY2026, with free cash flow negative in four of five years — reported profits are not converting into cash. The balance sheet (38) has deteriorated as total debt jumped from ¥29.0B in FY2022 to a projected ¥75.7B in FY2026, lifting debt-to-equity from 0.46 to roughly 0.96 while ROE remains modest at ~4.9%. The income statement (42) shows some margin recovery, with EBIT rebounding to ¥3.5B in FY2025 and a projected ¥5.6B in FY2026 and net income reaching ¥5.0B, but revenue growth has stalled (0.8% in FY2025, -3.0% projected in FY2026) and net margins remain thin at 1.5%-3.1%.

Income Statement

42Neutral

Balance Sheet

38Negative

Cash Flow

22Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue40.43B179.82B185.11B183.59B160.74B182.02B
Gross Profit4.40B17.48B14.86B11.93B11.97B15.79B
EBITDA1.63B6.69B6.79B7.55B4.84B7.57B
Net Income1.93B5.03B3.43B4.26B2.36B4.39B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets235.15B255.91B225.10B211.27B183.40B185.24B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments21.40B24.77B16.53B18.61B17.19B17.95B
Total Debt73.07B75.68B56.00B34.33B30.10B30.23B
Total Liabilities158.89B177.16B154.98B139.14B117.85B122.19B
Stockholders Equity75.89B78.42B69.81B71.83B65.08B62.59B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-14.39B-20.77B-4.29B-721.00M4.15B
Operating Cash Flow0-13.89B-20.29B3.97B-219.00M4.23B
Investing Cash Flow03.83B615.00M-4.29B-2.49B-1.72B
Financing Cash Flow018.01B17.93B1.15B580.00M-3.71B

Tekken Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price2265.00

Price Trends

50DMA2198.69Positive
100DMA2211.12Positive
200DMA2276.92Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-3.11Negative
RSI61.83Neutral
STOCH94.46Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:1815, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2265.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2140.65, above the 50-day MA of 2198.69, and below the 200-day MA of 2276.92, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.46 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:1815.

Tekken Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:1815 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:1852JP:185280OutperformJPY 70.29B12.95―5.23%-6.56%-7.34%
JP:1822JP:182279OutperformJPY 66.74B13.91―4.27%4.26%69.94%
JP:9621JP:962173OutperformJPY 103.29B14.03―2.05%8.63%25.25%
JP:1882JP:188271OutperformJPY 76.00B23.00―5.86%-1.54%-22.68%
JP:1799JP:179968NeutralJPY 66.82B10.96―4.89%14.66%-4.83%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:1815JP:181546NeutralJPY 66.13B11.13―7.51%-2.28%27.24%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%JP:1815JP:1799JP:1822JP:1852JP:1882JP:9621Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:1815 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:1815Tekken Corporation2265.00395.0221.12%
JP:1799Daiichi Kensetsu Corporation3270.00-103.96-3.08%
JP:1822Daiho Corporation796.0054.377.33%
JP:1852Asanuma Corporation880.00-32.42-3.55%
JP:1882Toa Road Corporation1536.0044.192.96%
JP:9621CTI Engineering Co., Ltd.3665.00725.1224.66%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 30, 2026