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Chugai Mining Co., Ltd. (1491) AI Stock Analysis

JP:1491

Chugai Mining Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:1491)

Select Model
Rating:61.6Neutral
Price Target:JPY 598.00â–²(5.84% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/18/26

The company's improving financial health and attractive valuation, highlighted by a 6.15% dividend yield and a reasonable P/E of 12.9, are the primary strengths. However, these are significantly challenged by a persistent bearish technical trend, with the stock price below all major moving averages, and fundamentally thin profit margins that raise concerns about long-term earnings quality.

Positive Factors
Rapid revenue growthRevenue growth accelerated sharply in 2026, indicating stronger activity across the precious-metals and recycling value chain. If sustained, this scale can support higher operating profit, improve market relevance, and provide a broader base for future cash generation.
Negative Factors
Structurally thin marginsVery thin gross and net margins leave limited protection if revenue growth slows or operating costs rise. Margin compression also reduces the portion of sales that becomes durable profit, making earnings more sensitive to relatively small changes in business conditions.

Chugai Mining Co., Ltd. (1491) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-40%-20%0%20%40%60%JP:1491-33.06%EWJ+16.91%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 7.32B
Dividend Yield
7.79%
Average Volume (3M)
37.71K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
10.2
Beta (1Y)
1.12
Revenue Growth
63.99%
EPS Growth
-21.38%
Country
Japan
Employees
163
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Other Precious Metals

Chugai Mining Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Chugai Mining Co., Ltd., founded in Tokyo, Japan, in 1932, is a diversified enterprise actively involved in various sectors both domestically and internationally. Historically rooted in precious metals, the company's Precious Metal Business unit now...

Chugai Mining Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong revenue growth of 55% and a solid balance sheet with low leverage (D/E 0.40) and a 16.2% ROE are offset by very thin net margins (0.54%) and declining gross margins. Cash flow has rebounded positively, but modest debt coverage warrants caution.

Income Statement

58Neutral

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

68Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue298.15B281.69B162.35B113.76B84.82B51.59B
Gross Profit4.42B5.08B3.93B2.88B3.15B2.36B
EBITDA1.84B2.56B1.38B318.97M462.71M559.06M
Net Income798.44M1.51B1.22B218.63M398.35M546.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.74B17.57B16.54B12.15B10.77B9.83B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.35B6.30B4.14B3.28B3.42B4.10B
Total Debt4.29B3.70B2.77B2.07B1.83B941.45M
Total Liabilities10.42B8.20B8.36B5.05B3.60B2.77B
Stockholders Equity8.32B9.37B8.18B7.11B7.18B7.07B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow01.92B331.18M-89.36M-1.24B276.34M
Operating Cash Flow02.60B840.31M491.39M-1.12B356.59M
Investing Cash Flow0-1.06B-543.30M-576.40M-164.07M-198.83M
Financing Cash Flow0618.30M564.24M-53.23M608.38M-19.27M

Chugai Mining Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price565.00

Price Trends

50DMA689.48Negative
100DMA699.82Negative
200DMA833.10Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-33.95Positive
RSI23.85Positive
STOCH22.18Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:1491, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 565.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 639.20, below the 50-day MA of 689.48, and below the 200-day MA of 833.10, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -33.95 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 23.85 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.18 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:1491.

Chugai Mining Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:1491 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:5541JP:554179OutperformJPY 38.71B7.49―6.35%-13.57%―
JP:5388JP:538875OutperformJPY 17.00B10.62―3.04%11.89%34.21%
JP:5302JP:530264NeutralJPY 53.95B13.827.21%4.09%2.65%-4.30%
JP:1491JP:149162NeutralJPY 7.73B10.20―7.79%63.99%-21.38%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
JP:9888JP:988857NeutralJPY 13.20B5.75―2.80%2.71%268.19%
JP:5707JP:570748NeutralJPY 13.89B2.2161.43%―9.75%―

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%JP:1491JP:5302JP:5707JP:5388JP:5541JP:9888Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:1491 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:1491Chugai Mining Co., Ltd.565.00-282.00-33.29%
JP:5302Nippon Carbon Co 4885.00715.9317.17%
JP:5707Toho Zinc Co., Ltd.709.0035.005.19%
JP:5388Kunimine Industries Co., Ltd1316.00234.3821.67%
JP:5541Pacific Metals Co., Ltd.2203.00124.525.99%
JP:9888UEX, Ltd.1321.00592.9181.43%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 18, 2026