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Hokuto Corporation (1379) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:1379

Hokuto Corporation

(TSE/TYO:1379)

Select Model
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:JPY 2,233.00▲(7.10% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/17/26

The score is driven primarily by improved financial performance (post-2023 profit recovery, strengthening equity, and solid operating/free cash flow). Supportive technicals (price above major moving averages and positive momentum) and an attractive valuation (low P/E with a ~2.76% dividend yield) further bolster the overall rating, while historical earnings/cash-flow volatility remains the main restraint.

Positive Factors
Profit RecoveryThe recovery from a 2023 loss to sustained profitability, alongside consecutive revenue growth, indicates improved operating execution. If maintained, this earnings base can support reinvestment, stronger equity and more resilient performance over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Earnings VolatilityThe sharp movement from losses to profitability and the earlier free-cash-flow deficit show that results can vary materially across cycles. Such volatility makes the recovery less proven and increases the importance of maintaining stable demand, costs and production execution.

Hokuto Corporation (1379) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%JP:1379+12.25%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 65.90B
Dividend Yield
2.64%
Average Volume (3M)
92.51K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
10.7
Beta (1Y)
0.18
Revenue Growth
3.50%
EPS Growth
17.03%
Country
Japan
Employees
4,097
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Agricultural Farm Products

Hokuto Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Headquartered in Nagano, Japan, Hokuto Corporation primarily focuses on the research, cultivation, and distribution of mushrooms across its home country. Their extensive product line features varieties such as Eryngii, Maitake, Bunashimeji, Bunapi, a...

How the Company Makes Money

null

Hokuto Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong recovery after 2023 losses, with net income improving from -2.0B (2023) to 3.5B (2024), 4.4B (2025), and 7.0B (2026). Cash generation is solid with positive free cash flow across 2023–2026, though FCF fell in 2026 versus 2025 and historical volatility (2022 negative FCF; 2023 loss) remains a key risk. Balance sheet is improving with declining debt-to-equity (~0.78 to ~0.58–0.59) and growing equity, but absolute debt levels are still meaningful.

Income Statement

73Positive

Balance Sheet

70Positive

Cash Flow

77Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue86.73B85.92B83.10B79.43B72.98B70.93B
Gross Profit25.18B24.90B23.73B19.79B12.97B17.39B
EBITDA12.37B12.17B12.16B9.37B4.30B8.99B
Net Income6.10B7.01B4.44B3.52B-2.04B2.53B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets115.73B113.73B107.62B103.50B104.90B104.93B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments26.06B24.72B23.34B14.92B16.03B12.48B
Total Debt29.66B30.21B33.07B32.28B39.70B36.91B
Total Liabilities51.22B48.80B50.81B48.68B53.94B50.42B
Stockholders Equity64.50B64.92B56.81B54.82B50.95B54.51B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow05.90B10.57B6.16B3.10B-4.54B
Operating Cash Flow010.82B12.22B8.38B4.67B5.85B
Investing Cash Flow0-2.92B-9.01B1.05B-4.15B-11.61B
Financing Cash Flow0-4.42B-1.72B-8.79B888.00M3.01B

Hokuto Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price2085.00

Price Trends

50DMA2078.15Positive
100DMA2002.62Positive
200DMA1949.92Positive

Market Momentum

MACD6.40Negative
RSI52.43Neutral
STOCH56.14Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:1379, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2085.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2077.00, above the 50-day MA of 2078.15, and above the 200-day MA of 1949.92, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 6.40 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:1379.

Hokuto Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:1379 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:2003JP:200377OutperformJPY 75.60B20.68―3.41%-0.06%6.97%
JP:9955JP:995574OutperformJPY 32.45B15.59―0.95%18.23%-37.93%
JP:1379JP:137974OutperformJPY 65.96B10.73―2.64%3.50%17.03%
JP:2292JP:229269NeutralJPY 86.15B10.41―3.95%7.88%48.11%
JP:1333JP:133358NeutralJPY 178.33B10.636.81%4.27%2.53%-4.69%
JP:2938JP:293856NeutralJPY 59.89B21.32―0.68%20.88%34.54%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%JP:1379JP:1333JP:2003JP:2292JP:2938JP:9955Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:1379 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:1379Hokuto Corporation2085.00240.1913.02%
JP:1333Maruha Nichiro Corp1172.00-5.99-0.51%
JP:2003Nitto Fuji Flour Milling Co., Ltd.2050.00409.6824.98%
JP:2292S Foods Inc.2708.00231.169.33%
JP:2938Okamura Foods Co. Ltd.1184.00-3.14-0.26%
JP:9955Yonkyu Co., Ltd.2645.0098.973.89%

Hokuto Corporation Corporate Events

Hokuto Posts Higher Sales but Profit Drop, Raises Dividend Outlook

Aug 12, 2026

Hokuto Corporation reported net sales of ¥19.3 billion for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, up 4.4% year-on-year, as operating profit more than doubled and ordinary profit surged, but profit attributable to owners of parent fell sharply, dragging dow...

Hokuto Lifts Earnings on Mushroom Sales as It Advances Medium-Term Growth Plan

May 22, 2026

Hokuto Corporation reported higher revenue and operating profit for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, driven mainly by steady mushroom prices and effective marketing in Japan that supported its price competitiveness. Overseas performance was mixe...

Hokuto Sets 3.5% DOE Dividend Target to Balance Payouts and Growth

May 22, 2026

Hokuto Corporation has adopted a new shareholder return policy centered on a dividend on equity target, setting a DOE ratio of 3.5% based on consolidated shareholders’ equity to be achieved by the fiscal year ending March 31, 2029. The company aims t...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026