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Joby Aviation (JOBY) AI Stock Analysis

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JOBY

Joby Aviation

(NYSE:JOBY)

Select Model
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:$6.00â–²(12.36% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/05/26

Overall score reflects a company with improving revenue traction and positive gross profit but still very large losses and significant ongoing cash burn, which heavily constrain the financial-performance component. Technicals are also weak with the stock trading below key moving averages and negative MACD. Offsetting these is a constructive earnings-call outlook (raised revenue guidance, certification and manufacturing progress, and strong liquidity), but execution and cash-use risks keep the score below average.

Positive Factors
Revenue and Gross Profit TractionRevenue growth and the move to positive gross profit indicate improving commercial traction as Joby advances toward larger-scale operations. If maintained, this progress can support better operating leverage, validate customer demand, and strengthen the economics of its developing air-mobility platform.
Negative Factors
Persistent Large Operating LossesThe scale of ongoing losses shows that revenue has not yet approached the level needed to support Joby’s cost base. Continued deficits could delay profitability, require additional financing, and limit the company’s ability to fund growth without relying on its balance sheet.

Joby Aviation (JOBY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%JOBY-61.56%SPY+13.89%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$5.98B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
23.30M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-8.1
Beta (1Y)
2.32
Revenue Growth
557.17%
EPS Growth
45.56%
Country
US
Employees
2,559
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Airlines, Airports & Air Services

Joby Aviation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Joby Aviation, Inc. is a vertically integrated air mobility firm specializing in the development of electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft. These innovative vehicles are designed to provide on-demand air transportation, with the ultim...

How the Company Makes Money

Joby is in a pre-commercialization stage for large-scale passenger service and aircraft sales, so its long-term model centers on generating revenue from (1) operating an air taxi service using its eVTOL aircraft and (2) selling aircraft and associate...

Joby Aviation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:5.74%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly optimistic, with management emphasizing progress toward final FAA certification, record Blade passenger volumes, improving manufacturing output and quality, expanded defense contracts, raised revenue guidance and substantial liquidity. The main negatives were continued operating and adjusted EBITDA losses, higher operating expenses, seasonal fourth-quarter Blade softness, significant planned cash uses and the remaining uncertainty inherent in certifying a new aircraft category.

Positive Updates

Progress Toward Final Certification Stage
Joby reported important progress in the fifth and final stage of FAA type certification, completing 4 credit tests covering the fuselage, propeller hubs, tail, ruddervators, tilt actuators and high-resolution recorder. The FAA also approved test reports covering the inboard nacelle, landing gear and tail tip nacelle beam.

Negative Updates

Continuing Net Loss
Joby reported a third-quarter GAAP net loss of $212 million, compared with a $245 million net loss in the prior quarter. The improvement was primarily driven by a $53 million noncash favorable change in the fair value of warrants, earn-out shares and contingent consideration, while loss from operations increased by $17 million.

Company Guidance

Joby plans 4 credit testing over the next quarter, expects FAA pilots to train on its aircraft and complete company flight testing in the first half of next year, and expects to begin the final journey towards type certification in the first half of this coming year; it plans to begin operational flight testing in Dubai later this year with a pilot on board, expects eIPP commercial operations next year, and expects the Resonant Sciences deal to close ahead of its next results call, subject to receipt of regulatory approvals and other closing conditions. Joby raised full year total revenue guidance to $135 million to $140 million from $115 million to $125 million, expects Q4 to step down as it does every year, and noted that last year's fourth quarter included roughly $8 million of onetime demonstration revenue in Japan; it continues to expect second half use of cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments to be between $385 million and $415 million, expects the $450 million Resonant payment early next year, Toyota's $250 million investment in the first half of the year subject to closing conditions, and said 2027 guidance would be provided in the February call.

Joby Aviation Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue is growing (TTM ~$148.8M, +28%) and gross profit turned positive (~25% margin), but the business is still dominated by very large losses (TTM net loss ~$688.8M) and heavy cash burn (TTM operating cash flow ~-$639M; free cash flow ~-$785M). The balance sheet has substantial equity support (~$1.75B), though leverage has risen meaningfully (debt ~ $734.8M), increasing risk if losses persist.

Income Statement

18Very Negative

Balance Sheet

52Neutral

Cash Flow

22Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue148.81M53.42M136.00K1.03M00
Gross Profit32.37M-16.06M69.00K832.00K00
EBITDA-641.13M-888.38M-572.33M-482.42M-233.84M-172.49M
Net Income-688.76M-929.84M-608.03M-513.05M-258.04M-180.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.69B1.80B1.20B1.27B1.29B1.49B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.20B1.41B932.85M1.03B1.06B1.30B
Total Debt748.58M60.74M31.21M30.66M27.32M2.39M
Total Liabilities940.38M385.36M291.10M235.07M128.24M171.60M
Stockholders Equity1.75B1.41B912.36M1.03B1.16B1.32B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-784.49M-563.81M-476.88M-344.43M-290.81M-228.09M
Operating Cash Flow-639.39M-509.89M-436.27M-313.83M-235.93M-195.75M
Investing Cash Flow-1.06B-475.42M70.76M80.30M-630.79M-18.74M
Financing Cash Flow2.01B1.03B361.11M288.24M60.46M1.09B

Joby Aviation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price5.34

Price Trends

50DMA5.67Positive
100DMA6.75Negative
200DMA8.27Negative

Market Momentum

MACD0.06Negative
RSI60.58Neutral
STOCH77.43Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JOBY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.08, below the 50-day MA of 5.67, and below the 200-day MA of 8.27, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JOBY.

Joby Aviation Risk Analysis

Joby Aviation disclosed 58 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Joby Aviation reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.Current and future litigation may have an adverse impact on our business.Q1, 2026
2.We may not realize the anticipated benefits of our acquisition of Blade, and the acquisition may expose us to integration challenges, additional liabilities and costs, and potential dilution.Q4, 2025
3.Errors or vulnerabilities in software code could harm our business.Q4, 2025

Joby Aviation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JOBY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
SKYWSKYW66Neutral$3.19B8.1514.95%―7.03%-2.69%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JOBYJOBY48Neutral$6.02B-8.05-40.04%―557.17%45.56%
UPUP44Neutral$89.51M-0.3060.05%―-7.65%15.34%
FLYXFLYX42Neutral$113.31M-1.367.78%―16.15%32.19%
SRFMSRFM42Neutral$100.07M-0.42211.95%―9.12%59.42%
SOARSOAR41Neutral$10.83M-0.17-270.63%―-67.20%―

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%JOBYSKYWUPFLYXSOARSRFMDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JOBY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JOBYJoby Aviation, Inc.5.34-9.07-62.94%
SKYWSkyWest Inc82.50-14.10-14.60%
UPWheels Up Experience Inc2.46-19.14-88.61%
FLYXFlyexclusive, Inc.1.03-2.14-67.51%
SOARSoar Ai, Inc. Class A0.18-1.02-84.89%
SRFMSurf Air Mobility, Inc.0.58-2.05-77.87%

Joby Aviation Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Joby Aviation Enables Resale of Milestone-Based Equity

Neutral
Sep 11, 2026

On September 10, 2026, Joby Aviation, Inc. filed a prospectus supplement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to facilitate the resale of 2,419,801 shares of common stock tied to EBITDA milestones. The shares were issued to a selling stoc...

Executive/Board Changes

Joby Aviation Names Sergey Novikov Principal Accounting Officer

Neutral
Sep 9, 2026

On September 2, 2026, Joby Aviation, Inc. appointed Sergey Novikov as its Principal Accounting Officer, effective immediately, reflecting a leadership transition in the company’s finance function. Novikov, 57, has served as the company’s Controller s...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026