Joby Aviation AI Stock Analysis
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Joby Aviation (JOBY) AI Stock Analysis
Joby Aviation
(NYSE:JOBY)
Overall score reflects a company with improving revenue traction and positive gross profit but still very large losses and significant ongoing cash burn, which heavily constrain the financial-performance component. Technicals are also weak with the stock trading below key moving averages and negative MACD. Offsetting these is a constructive earnings-call outlook (raised revenue guidance, certification and manufacturing progress, and strong liquidity), but execution and cash-use risks keep the score below average.
Joby Aviation (JOBY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- $5.98B
- Dividend Yield
- ―
- Average Volume (3M)
- 23.30M
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- -8.1
- Beta (1Y)
- 2.32
- Revenue Growth
- 557.17%
- EPS Growth
- 45.56%
- Country
- US
- Employees
- 2,559
- Sector
- General
- Sector Strength
- 55
- Industry
- Airlines, Airports & Air Services
Joby Aviation Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Joby Aviation, Inc. is a vertically integrated air mobility firm specializing in the development of electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft. These innovative vehicles are designed to provide on-demand air transportation, with the ultim...
How the Company Makes Money
Joby is in a pre-commercialization stage for large-scale passenger service and aircraft sales, so its long-term model centers on generating revenue from (1) operating an air taxi service using its eVTOL aircraft and (2) selling aircraft and associate...
Joby Aviation Earnings Call Summary
The call was strongly optimistic, with management emphasizing progress toward final FAA certification, record Blade passenger volumes, improving manufacturing output and quality, expanded defense contracts, raised revenue guidance and substantial liquidity. The main negatives were continued operating and adjusted EBITDA losses, higher operating expenses, seasonal fourth-quarter Blade softness, significant planned cash uses and the remaining uncertainty inherent in certifying a new aircraft category.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
Joby plans 4 credit testing over the next quarter, expects FAA pilots to train on its aircraft and complete company flight testing in the first half of next year, and expects to begin the final journey towards type certification in the first half of this coming year; it plans to begin operational flight testing in Dubai later this year with a pilot on board, expects eIPP commercial operations next year, and expects the Resonant Sciences deal to close ahead of its next results call, subject to receipt of regulatory approvals and other closing conditions. Joby raised full year total revenue guidance to $135 million to $140 million from $115 million to $125 million, expects Q4 to step down as it does every year, and noted that last year's fourth quarter included roughly $8 million of onetime demonstration revenue in Japan; it continues to expect second half use of cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments to be between $385 million and $415 million, expects the $450 million Resonant payment early next year, Toyota's $250 million investment in the first half of the year subject to closing conditions, and said 2027 guidance would be provided in the February call.
Joby Aviation Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Revenue is growing (TTM ~$148.8M, +28%) and gross profit turned positive (~25% margin), but the business is still dominated by very large losses (TTM net loss ~$688.8M) and heavy cash burn (TTM operating cash flow ~-$639M; free cash flow ~-$785M). The balance sheet has substantial equity support (~$1.75B), though leverage has risen meaningfully (debt ~ $734.8M), increasing risk if losses persist.
Income Statement
18Very NegativeBalance Sheet
52NeutralCash Flow
22Negative| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 148.81M | 53.42M | 136.00K | 1.03M | 0 | 0 |
| Gross Profit | 32.37M | -16.06M | 69.00K | 832.00K | 0 | 0 |
| EBITDA | -641.13M | -888.38M | -572.33M | -482.42M | -233.84M | -172.49M |
| Net Income | -688.76M | -929.84M | -608.03M | -513.05M | -258.04M | -180.32M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 2.69B | 1.80B | 1.20B | 1.27B | 1.29B | 1.49B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 2.20B | 1.41B | 932.85M | 1.03B | 1.06B | 1.30B |
| Total Debt | 748.58M | 60.74M | 31.21M | 30.66M | 27.32M | 2.39M |
| Total Liabilities | 940.38M | 385.36M | 291.10M | 235.07M | 128.24M | 171.60M |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.75B | 1.41B | 912.36M | 1.03B | 1.16B | 1.32B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -784.49M | -563.81M | -476.88M | -344.43M | -290.81M | -228.09M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -639.39M | -509.89M | -436.27M | -313.83M | -235.93M | -195.75M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -1.06B | -475.42M | 70.76M | 80.30M | -630.79M | -18.74M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 2.01B | 1.03B | 361.11M | 288.24M | 60.46M | 1.09B |
Joby Aviation Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JOBY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.08, below the 50-day MA of 5.67, and below the 200-day MA of 8.27, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JOBY.
Joby Aviation Risk Analysis
Joby Aviation disclosed 58 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Joby Aviation reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Latest Risks Added
3 New RisksJoby Aviation Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
SKYW66Neutral
JOBY48Neutral
UP44Neutral
FLYX42Neutral
SRFM42Neutral
SOAR41Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66Neutral | $3.19B | 8.15 | 14.95% | ― | 7.03% | -2.69% | |
| Sector * | 55Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% |
| 48Neutral | $6.02B | -8.05 | -40.04% | ― | 557.17% | 45.56% | |
| 44Neutral | $89.51M | -0.30 | 60.05% | ― | -7.65% | 15.34% | |
| 42Neutral | $113.31M | -1.36 | 7.78% | ― | 16.15% | 32.19% | |
| 42Neutral | $100.07M | -0.42 | 211.95% | ― | 9.12% | 59.42% | |
| 41Neutral | $10.83M | -0.17 | -270.63% | ― | -67.20% | ― |
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JOBY | Joby Aviation, Inc. | 5.34 | -9.07 | -62.94% | |
| SKYW | SkyWest Inc | 82.50 | -14.10 | -14.60% | |
| UP | Wheels Up Experience Inc | 2.46 | -19.14 | -88.61% | |
| FLYX | Flyexclusive, Inc. | 1.03 | -2.14 | -67.51% | |
| SOAR | Soar Ai, Inc. Class A | 0.18 | -1.02 | -84.89% | |
| SRFM | Surf Air Mobility, Inc. | 0.58 | -2.05 | -77.87% |
Joby Aviation Corporate Events
Joby Aviation Enables Resale of Milestone-Based Equity
NeutralOn September 10, 2026, Joby Aviation, Inc. filed a prospectus supplement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to facilitate the resale of 2,419,801 shares of common stock tied to EBITDA milestones. The shares were issued to a selling stoc...
Joby Aviation Names Sergey Novikov Principal Accounting Officer
NeutralOn September 2, 2026, Joby Aviation, Inc. appointed Sergey Novikov as its Principal Accounting Officer, effective immediately, reflecting a leadership transition in the company’s finance function. Novikov, 57, has served as the company’s Controller s...
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026
