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Itochu (ITOCY) AI Stock Analysis

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ITOCY

Itochu

(Other OTC:ITOCY)

Select Model
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:$17.00â–²(12.68% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/06/26

The company's primary strength is its excellent financial health, marked by strong profitability and a robust, improving balance sheet. This is complemented by a bullish technical trend and a reasonable valuation. The main factor capping the score is the noted weakness in cash flow efficiency, which prevents a higher rating despite the otherwise solid fundamentals.

Positive Factors
Diversified Business ModelITOCHU combines trading, supply-chain services, project development, and ownership of operating businesses across many sectors. This diversified model can spread exposure across end markets while allowing the company to capture both transaction margins and recurring earnings from invested assets.
Negative Factors
Cash-Flow SlowdownThe recent deterioration in operating and free cash flow creates a meaningful quality risk despite positive cumulative cash generation. Greater working-capital needs or heavier cash outlays could make quarterly results more variable and reduce the cash available for investment, debt management, or distributions.

Itochu (ITOCY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35%ITOCY+29.85%SPY+14.55%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$106.99B
Dividend Yield
1.79%
Average Volume (3M)
436.22K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
17.2
Beta (1Y)
0.33
Revenue Growth
0.07%
EPS Growth
-0.49%
Country
US
Employees
114,570
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Conglomerates

Itochu Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

ITOCHU Corporation, established in Tokyo, Japan, in 1858, operates as a global trading house, engaging in the import and export of a wide array of products across the world. Its diverse operations are categorized into several key segments. The Textil...

How the Company Makes Money

ITOCHU makes money through a combination of (1) trading and distribution margins and (2) earnings from investments in operating businesses, alongside services such as logistics, financing, and project management. 1) Trading and distribution (merchant...

Itochu Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2024(Q2-2025)|% Change Since:50.16%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The earnings call highlighted several positive developments, including an increase in consolidated net profit and record-setting cash flows, alongside strong performances in specific sectors like Textile and Food. However, challenges such as declines in Metals & Minerals and Energy & Chemicals profits were noted. Despite these challenges, the overall sentiment is positive due to the significant gains and strategic investments being made.

Positive Updates

Increase in Consolidated Net Profit
Consolidated net profit increased by 6% or ¥25.5 billion year-on-year to ¥438.4 billion, achieving 50% of the annual forecast.

Negative Updates

Decline in Metals & Minerals Profit
Metals & Minerals saw a decrease in profit despite increased dividends from Brazilian iron ore business due to deteriorating profitability in Marubeni Itochu Steel's North American business.

Company Guidance

In the call, Itochu Corporation's President, Keita Ishii, provided guidance on various financial metrics for the first half of FYE2025. The consolidated net profit increased by 6% year-on-year to ¥438.4 billion, achieving 50% of the annual forecast. Core profit reached ¥396 billion, marking the second-highest profit level after FYE2023, with a 3% year-on-year growth across sectors including Textile, Chemicals, and Food. Core operating cash flows exceeded ¥500 billion for the first time in a half-year, reaching ¥513 billion, setting an all-time high. The overall annual forecast remains unchanged at ¥880 billion, despite revisions in sector forecasts: Textile is expected to increase by ¥40 billion, while Metals & Minerals are revised down by ¥40 billion. Total shareholders' equity rose by ¥170 billion to ¥5.6 trillion, and the company plans to maintain a total payout ratio of 50%, with a dividend per share of ¥200 and the largest-ever share buybacks of ¥150 billion.

Itochu Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong profitability and a fortress-like balance sheet are offset by cash flow pressures. Revenue growth is exceptional, and leverage is declining, but a low operating cash flow coverage ratio and declining free cash flow growth introduce caution.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

82Very Positive

Cash Flow

65Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.69T15.72T14.72T14.03T13.95T12.29T
Gross Profit2.62T2.63T2.38T2.23T2.13T1.94T
EBITDA1.29T1.23T1.71T1.29T1.26T1.29T
Net Income991.43B954.58B880.25B801.77B800.52B820.27B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.34T16.81T15.13T14.49T13.11T12.15T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments631.39B651.25B636.91B689.06B688.80B724.83B
Total Debt5.30T4.78T4.62T4.40T4.01T3.92T
Total Liabilities10.06T9.59T8.84T8.50T7.65T7.39T
Stockholders Equity6.85T6.62T5.76T5.43T4.82T4.20T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow552.07B846.85B769.81B775.56B743.98B644.02B
Operating Cash Flow816.95B1.13T997.28B978.11B938.06B801.16B
Investing Cash Flow-469.84B-388.87B-516.27B-205.99B-453.81B38.64B
Financing Cash Flow-393.86B-726.48B-525.00B-801.17B-500.08B-846.71B

Itochu Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price15.09

Price Trends

50DMA14.47Positive
100DMA13.44Positive
200DMA13.09Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.19Negative
RSI58.19Neutral
STOCH84.14Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ITOCY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 15.09 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.72, above the 50-day MA of 14.47, and above the 200-day MA of 13.09, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.14 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ITOCY.

Itochu Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

ITOCY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
CRESYCRESY77Outperform$687.16M7.789.88%14.11%15.72%-50.12%
HONHON73Outperform$70.91B10.0636.19%1.75%-17.35%23.22%
ITOCYITOCY72Outperform$117.49B17.2014.81%1.79%0.07%-0.49%
VMIVMI68Neutral$8.09B15.8230.42%0.71%4.55%131.74%
SEBSEB67Neutral$3.55B6.4910.25%0.24%6.98%40.66%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
MMMMMM59Neutral$96.24B27.2194.02%1.70%1.70%7.26%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%ITOCYMMMCRESYHONSEBVMIDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
ITOCY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
ITOCYItochu Corporation Unsponsored Adr15.093.0425.21%
MMM3M Company183.6621.2513.09%
CRESYCresud S.A.C.I.F. Y A.9.74-0.07-0.71%
HONHoneywell International222.4620.3010.04%
SEBSeaboard Corporation3746.85-283.32-7.03%
VMIValmont Industries420.9232.788.44%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2026