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Intrum AB (ITJTY) AI Stock Analysis

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ITJTY

Intrum AB

(Other OTC:ITJTY)

Select Model
Rating:39Underperform
Price Target:$0.19â–¼(-8.10% Downside)
Action:downgraded
Date:10/27/26

The overall score of 39 reflects a company in significant distress. The most impactful factors are the extremely weak financial performance, characterized by persistent losses and high leverage, and a decisively bearish technical trend. While the company generates strong cash flow and is making progress on its restructuring plan, these are overshadowed by the immediate operational and financial headwinds. The negative valuation metrics and a cautious, mixed earnings call further support a very low score.

Positive Factors
Resilient Cash GenerationConsistently positive operating and free cash flow provide an important foundation for servicing debt, funding portfolio purchases, and maintaining operations despite weak reported earnings. Stronger TTM free cash flow also supports financial resilience and gives management more flexibility to execute its recovery plan.
Negative Factors
High LeverageVery high debt relative to equity keeps Intrum exposed to refinancing conditions and interest costs, limiting the room available for acquisitions, portfolio investment, or operational setbacks. Although leverage has improved, the balance sheet remains a material constraint on durable earnings and capital-allocation flexibility.

Intrum AB (ITJTY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-100%-75%-50%-25%0%25%50%ITJTY-86.29%SPY+10.42%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$19.69M
Dividend Yield
584.73%
Average Volume (3M)
2,188
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.5
Beta (1Y)
0.94
Revenue Growth
4.27%
EPS Growth
-6819.05%
Country
US
Employees
8,771
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Financial - Credit Services

Intrum AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Intrum AB is engaged in providing credit management services. The firm offers solutions on credit decisions, sales ledger services, reminders and collection to debt surveillance, collection of written-off receivables, and purchase of outstanding rece...

How the Company Makes Money

Intrum primarily makes money through two core models: (1) service fees for credit management services performed on behalf of clients, and (2) returns generated from purchasing and managing debt portfolios for its own account. In its servicing busines...

Intrum AB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 22, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-24.46%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 03, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The call presented meaningful progress on deleveraging, cost reduction, investment volumes, collections and servicing margins. However, these positives were accompanied by continued negative income development, a SEK 1.5 billion German goodwill impairment, operational challenges in Germany and the U.K., elevated restructuring costs and a more difficult refinancing market. Overall, the positive and negative factors were substantial and broadly balanced, with management emphasizing execution and recovery plans rather than providing a firm 2027 growth outlook.

Positive Updates

Deleveraging Progress After Capital Raise and Asset Sale
The completed capital raise and asset sale, together with cost control, reduced service leverage to 4.5x from 5.7x at the start of the year. Intrum is targeting leverage of 3.0x in 2028.

Negative Updates

Continued Negative Income Development
The negative income trend from the first half continued in Q3. Development in Germany and the U.K. was not according to plan, and declines in those two markets more than offset growth in traditional markets and the expected decay in Greece, Italy and Spain.

Company Guidance

Management said it has set out the course towards 3.0 in 2028, is working on a plan to take total cost towards SEK 11 billion in 2027, expects to end 2026 below the SEK 12 billion level, and expects the servicing margin to go up next year, with a target of 30% to 35% in 2030. It expects traditional markets to continue to grow, Southern European markets, Greece, Spain and Italy, to on average continue to have a decay, and believes it is approaching the trough in U.K. and Germany. Portfolio investments are expected to be above SEK 617 million in Q4 with similar levels of returns, while the aim is to reach replenishing levels of around SEK 3 billion annually; returns are expected to come down from 17%, 18% but remain at sufficiently good levels. Restructuring costs will be clearly higher in Q4, and the company expects roughly 1,000 fewer FTEs than today going into 2028, while new sales capacity is expected to take between 6 and 12 months to contribute.

Intrum AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is deeply bifurcated. The income statement and balance sheet are under severe stress, marked by persistent net losses, declining revenues, and high leverage, which is a major solvency risk. However, the cash flow statement is a bright spot, showing robust and growing cash generation that covers the accounting losses. The overall score is weighed down heavily by the lack of profitability and leveraged balance sheet, despite strong cash flows.

Income Statement

18Very Negative

Balance Sheet

22Negative

Cash Flow

75Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.76B15.84B18.03B19.85B19.13B17.79B
Gross Profit11.72B11.18B7.82B10.19B10.12B8.23B
EBITDA2.20B9.08B9.46B6.04B2.48B7.93B
Net Income-3.88B-1.43B-3.70B-188.00M-4.47B3.13B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets68.47B65.47B77.54B90.21B88.71B88.91B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.97B2.57B2.39B3.62B3.43B4.55B
Total Debt38.85B44.42B51.41B60.48B57.23B53.31B
Total Liabilities47.10B52.69B62.07B71.28B67.51B64.22B
Stockholders Equity19.50B10.85B13.39B16.75B18.54B21.70B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.06B4.27B3.83B4.96B4.63B9.71B
Operating Cash Flow4.19B4.30B4.42B5.31B4.99B10.04B
Investing Cash Flow650.29M-1.47B9.20B-2.56B-1.63B-8.01B
Financing Cash Flow-6.93B-2.31B-15.29B-2.26B-4.88B401.00M

Intrum AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.21

Price Trends

50DMA0.32Negative
100DMA0.44Negative
200DMA0.91Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.03Negative
RSI35.70Neutral
STOCH52.23Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ITJTY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.21 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.24, below the 50-day MA of 0.32, and below the 200-day MA of 0.91, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 35.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.23 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ITJTY.

Intrum AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

ITJTY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
XYFXYF68Neutral$189.96M0.397.19%11.29%-23.31%-63.32%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
PRAAPRAA60Neutral$748.44M-3.01-26.80%―12.25%-388.78%
YRDYRD41Neutral$33.00M-0.15-16.95%52.94%-27.36%-220.29%
ITJTYITJTY39Underperform$656.42M-0.50-27.64%584.73%4.27%-6819.05%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%ITJTYPRAAYRDAHGXYFDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
ITJTY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
ITJTYIntrum Ab Unsponsored Adr0.21-1.35-86.51%
PRAAPra Group Inc.20.425.6838.49%
YRDYiren Digital Ltd. Sponsored Adr0.36-4.94-93.17%
AHGAkso Health Group Sponsored ADR1.29-0.28-17.52%
XYFX Financial4.70-6.49-58.01%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 27, 2026