Geox SpA (GEO) AI Stock Analysis

6 Followers

Geox SpA

(Milan:GEO)

Select Model

Rating:46Neutral

Price Target:EUR 0.27▼(-3.64% Downside)

Action:reiterated

Date:11/05/26

The score is mainly constrained by financial risk: despite improving operating trends and positive cash flow, the company remains loss-making and carries elevated leverage versus a thin equity base. Technical signals are neutral-to-weak with the stock below key longer-term moving averages. Valuation is also hindered by a negative P/E and no dividend yield data.

Positive Factors

Revenue recoveryThe strong 2025 revenue rebound indicates improving demand and market execution after prior volatility. If sustained, higher sales can provide operating leverage, support broader utilization of the Geox distribution network, and help the company move closer to durable profitability.

Negative Factors

High leverageDebt remains very large relative to the equity cushion, leaving limited balance-sheet flexibility. This can constrain investment and strategic choices, while making the company more sensitive to weaker trading, refinancing needs, or any prolonged period of underperformance.

Geox SpA (GEO) vs. iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI)

Market Cap: EUR 121.34M
Dividend Yield: ―
Average Volume (3M): 285.24K
Price to Earnings (P/E): -7.5
Beta (1Y): 0.88
Revenue Growth: -11.56%
EPS Growth: 40.03%
Country: Italy
Employees: 2,011
Sector: General
Sector Strength: 55
Industry: Apparel - Footwear & Accessories

Geox SpA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Geox S.p.A. is an Italian company primarily involved in the design, manufacturing, marketing, and distribution of footwear and apparel. It supplies its products to both retailers and end consumers across Italy, Europe, North America, and other intern...

Geox SpA Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement trends are improving (2025 revenue +22.7% YoY and losses narrowing toward near break-even EBIT), and gross margins are solid (~50%). However, the balance sheet is a major weakness: high debt (~€318m) versus modest equity (~€75m) and consistently negative ROE, which limits financial flexibility. Cash flow is supportive with positive operating and free cash flow in 2025, but the sharp YoY drop in free cash flow (~-44.8%) tempers the improvement.

Income Statement

52Neutral

Balance Sheet

35Negative

Cash Flow

60Neutral

Financial statement breakdown
Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	573.71M	608.65M	663.76M	719.57M	735.52M	608.91M
Gross Profit	288.61M	302.13M	328.64M	355.30M	340.41M	284.26M
EBITDA	44.70M	63.44M	76.03M	88.55M	70.47M	6.39M
Net Income	-15.23M	-16.21M	-30.34M	-6.45M	-13.02M	-62.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	572.61M	617.64M	685.97M	777.98M	790.38M	718.24M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	18.79M	21.94M	30.36M	77.34M	28.35M	48.49M
Total Debt	299.36M	318.30M	332.60M	389.44M	336.28M	339.06M
Total Liabilities	496.87M	542.54M	618.07M	687.39M	682.17M	593.65M
Stockholders Equity	75.73M	75.09M	67.90M	90.59M	108.21M	124.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	54.33M	23.65M	46.09M	45.46M	68.69M	68.43M
Operating Cash Flow	60.76M	38.11M	56.48M	64.17M	83.94M	79.80M
Investing Cash Flow	-6.09M	-14.04M	-14.68M	-20.33M	-26.25M	-12.10M
Financing Cash Flow	-54.00M	-32.57M	-85.14M	2.35M	-79.30M	-106.03M

Geox SpA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral

Last Price0.28

Price Trends

50DMA0.28Negative

100DMA0.28Negative

200DMA0.28Negative

Market Momentum

MACD0.00Negative

RSI53.23Neutral

STOCH85.07Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IT:GEO, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.27, below the 50-day MA of 0.28, and below the 200-day MA of 0.28, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.07 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for IT:GEO.

Geox SpA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

IT:GEO against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
IT:MONC	76Outperform	EUR 12.05B	19.04	17.01%	3.18%	2.96%	3.85%
IT:SFL	69Neutral	EUR 847.24M	17.43	11.93%	―	-4.12%	10.95%
Sector *	55Neutral	$6.65B	3.83	-15.92%	6.20%	10.91%	7.18%
IT:SFER	48Neutral	EUR 1.08B	111.69	1.65%	―	-1.57%	―
IT:GEO	46Neutral	EUR 121.34M	-7.53	-20.19%	―	-11.56%	40.03%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

IT:GEO and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
IT:GEO	Geox SpA	0.28	-0.03	-9.24%
IT:BAN	BasicNet SPA	4.95	-2.20	-30.79%
IT:MONC	Moncler S.p.A.	43.98	-12.48	-22.11%
IT:PQ	Piquadro SpA	2.28	0.10	4.64%
IT:SFL	Safilo Group SpA	2.20	0.34	18.26%
IT:SFER	Salvatore Ferragamo S.p.A.	6.54	-1.05	-13.88%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 04, 2026

Geox SpA AI Stock Analysis