HelloFresh SE stock analysis
HelloFresh SE (1HFG) Stock Price & Analysis
1HFG Stock Chart & Stats
- Day’s Range
- EUR 2.77 - EUR 3.00
- 52-Week Range
- EUR 2.00 - EUR 8.46
- Previous Close
- EUR 2.99
- Volume
- N/A
- Average Volume (3M)
- 1,333
- Market Cap
- EUR 430.81M
- Enterprise Value
- EUR 278.08M
- Total Cash (Recent Filing)
- EUR 246.90M
- Total Debt (Recent Filing)
- EUR 750.70M
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- ―
- Beta
- 0.82
- Next Earnings
- Mar 02, 2027 (Est.)
- EPS Estimate
- N/A
- Next Dividend Ex-Date
- N/A
- Dividend Yield
- N/A
Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
Positive Cash Generation
HelloFresh continues to generate positive operating and free cash flow despite weak reported earnings, demonstrating that the core operating model still produces cash. This supports ongoing investment, debt servicing, and strategic flexibility, although the declining cash-flow trend limits the strength of this advantage.
Improving Segment Profitability And Fulfillment Efficiency
The meal-kit business is sustaining a double-digit EBITDA margin while ready-to-eat has reached breakeven, indicating meaningful operating progress across segments. Lower fulfillment costs further support margin durability and suggest that network and process improvements can offset some cost pressure.
Higher Order Value And Broader Customer Proposition
Rising average order value gives HelloFresh a durable lever to improve revenue quality without relying solely on customer additions. Greater adoption of add-ons and premium recipes can strengthen monetization, while the broader product proposition may support retention and recurring order economics over time.
Bears Say
Material Revenue Decline And Negative Forward Guidance
Sustained revenue contraction is the clearest fundamental challenge because it signals weaker demand, customer acquisition, or ordering activity across the platform. Management still expects a substantial 2026 decline, limiting operating leverage and making near-term stabilization of the business model uncertain.
Thin Profitability And Net Losses
HelloFresh has moved from healthy earlier-year profitability to a near break-even EBIT margin and a net loss, showing that current revenue levels do not yet provide sufficient earnings resilience. Thin profitability leaves less room to absorb cost inflation or invest aggressively while restoring growth.
Higher Leverage Reduces Balance-sheet Flexibility
Debt now exceeds equity and leverage has risen while returns remain negative, reducing financial flexibility during a period of declining revenue. Although refinancing extended maturities, the higher debt burden can constrain capital allocation and increase the importance of restoring sustainable profitability and cash generation.
HelloFresh SE News
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HelloFresh SE Stock Smart Score
Company Description
HelloFresh SE
HelloFresh SE, a Berlin, Germany-based company established in 2011, specializes in delivering meal kits designed to help customers prepare home-cooked meals using provided recipes. Their extensive offerings include premium and double-portion meal kits, alongside a variety of supplemental products such as soups, snacks, fruit boxes, desserts, convenient ready-to-eat meals, and seasonal boxes. The company also distributes its meal kits through vending machines. HelloFresh maintains a broad international footprint, operating in countries like the United States, Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Germany, France, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Switzerland, Sweden, Denmark, Norway, Italy, Japan, and the United Kingdom. While its primary brand is HelloFresh, the company additionally owns and operates Chefs Plate, EveryPlate, Factor75, Green Chef, and YouFoodz.
- Sector
- Consumerdefensive
- Industry
- Grocery Stores
- CEO
- Dominik Sebastian Richter
- Employees
- 21,783
- Website
- www.hellofreshgroup.com
- Address
- Prinzenstrasse 89, Berlin, BE, 10969, DE
HelloFresh SE (1HFG) Earnings & Revenues
1HFG Earnings Call
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral
The call presented meaningful progress on profitability, cash discipline, operational efficiency, ready-to-eat breakeven, product innovation, personalization, and refinancing. However, these gains were accompanied by substantial revenue declines, weaker contribution margin, reduced marketing and customer conversion, lower year-to-date free cash flow, and limited visibility on revenue stabilization. Overall, the call was balanced, with management prioritizing sustainable profitability over short-term growth.
View all IT:1HFG earnings summaries1HFG Stock 12 Month Forecast
Average Price Target
Technical Analysis
Overall Consensus
| Indicator | Bullish | Neutral | Bearish |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall Consensus | 4 | 6 | 12 |
| Technical Analysis | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| Moving Averages | 2 | 0 | 10 |
