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Alcoa (1AA) Stock Price & Analysis

1AA Stock Chart & Stats

€35.13-€0.96(-2.66%)
At close: 5:30 PM GMT+1
EUR 35EUR 40EUR 455 Aug18 Aug4 Sep14 Sep28 Sep14 Oct28 Oct
Day’s Range
EUR 35.24 - EUR 35.24
52-Week Range
EUR 20.00 - EUR 89.00
Previous Close
EUR 36.09
Volume
15
Average Volume (3M)
149
Market Cap
EUR 9.23B
Enterprise Value
EUR 11.25B
Total Cash (Recent Filing)
EUR 4.41B
Total Debt (Recent Filing)
EUR 4.82B
Price to Earnings (P/E)
6.7
Beta
1.06
Next Earnings
Jan 20, 2027 (Est.)
Next Dividend Ex-Date
N/A
Dividend Yield
1.02%

Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls Say

Improved Profitability

Alcoa’s materially stronger TTM revenue and margins show improved earnings power compared with the weaker 2022–2024 period. If operational performance and market conditions remain supportive, the higher profitability can provide more capacity for investment, debt service, and shareholder returns over the next several quarters.

Operational Execution

Multiple production records, completed smelter restarts, and refinery improvement indicate that Alcoa is converting its operating portfolio into greater output and stability. Better execution can support recurring volume growth, improve cost absorption, and strengthen results beyond a single quarter.

Market Position And Demand

A solid order book and tight product commitments indicate meaningful customer demand across several industrial end markets. This supports utilization and revenue visibility, while exposure to packaging, electrical, and transportation applications provides a broader base for sustained aluminum shipments.

Bears Say

Commodity-Cycle Earnings Volatility

The history of losses and near-break-even profitability demonstrates that Alcoa’s earnings remain highly dependent on aluminum and alumina prices and operating costs. This cyclicality can quickly reduce margins and cash generation when market conditions weaken, limiting earnings predictability.

Higher Acquisition-Funded Debt

Funding the planned acquisition with substantial long-term debt increases financial obligations before the acquired assets contribute to earnings. Higher leverage may reduce flexibility for capital allocation and make the combined company more sensitive to commodity downturns or integration underperformance.

Carbon Cost Pressure

Carbon costs are already reducing Aluminum segment profitability and are expected to create further pressure in the following quarter. Because these costs affect the economics of ongoing smelting operations, persistent increases could weaken margins and reduce the benefit of productivity gains.

Alcoa News

1AA FAQ

What was Alcoa’s price range in the past 12 months?
Alcoa lowest stock price was €20.00 and its highest was €89.00 in the past 12 months.
What is Alcoa’s market cap?
Alcoa’s market cap is €9.23B.
When is Alcoa’s upcoming earnings report date?
Alcoa’s next earnings report is estimated for Jan 20, 2027 (not yet confirmed), which is in 79 days.
How were Alcoa’s earnings last quarter?
Alcoa released its earnings results on Oct 15, 2026. The company reported €1.625 earnings per share for the quarter, beating the consensus estimate of €1.352 by €0.273.
Is Alcoa overvalued?
According to Wall Street analysts Alcoa’s price is currently Undervalued.
Does Alcoa pay dividends?
Alcoa does not currently pay dividends.
What is Alcoa’s EPS estimate?
Alcoa’s EPS estimate is 1.39.
How many shares outstanding does Alcoa have?
Alcoa has 263,969,880 shares outstanding.
What happened to Alcoa’s price movement after its last earnings report?
Alcoa reported an EPS of €1.625 in its last earnings report, beating expectations of €1.352. Following the earnings report the stock price went up 6.844%.
Which hedge fund is a major shareholder of Alcoa?
Hedge funds hold Alcoa shares: the largest hedge-fund position in Alcoa is 918,244,144 shares, and hedge funds decreased their holdings by 2.7M shares last quarter.
What is the TipRanks Smart Score and how is it calculated?
Smart Score combines eight research factors - such as analyst recommendations, hedge fund trends, and technical indicators - to measure a stock’s outlook. These signals are unified into a single score that reflects bullish or bearish momentum. See detailed methodology