Hilton Metal Forging Limited (HILTON) AI Stock Analysis

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Hilton Metal Forging Limited

(NSE:HILTON)

Select Model

Rating:53Neutral

Price Target:INR 15.50▲(1.91% Upside)

Action:reiterated

Date:08/19/26

The score reflects solid but unspectacular financial performance, where improved leverage and revenue growth are constrained by weak cash generation and margin pressure, combined with a clearly negative technical trend and a valuation that is only mildly appealing rather than compelling.

Positive Factors

Strong Revenue GrowthSustained revenue expansion indicates strong demand for Hilton Metal Forging’s forged and machined components and suggests the business is scaling across industrial end markets. Continued top-line growth can improve operating leverage, support capacity utilization, and strengthen the company’s competitive position over the next several quarters.

Negative Factors

Unreliable Cash GenerationRepeated negative operating and free cash flow indicates that accounting profits are not consistently converting into usable cash. This can increase dependence on financing, constrain investment in forging and machining capacity, and reduce flexibility if working-capital needs or ongoing investment remain elevated.

Hilton Metal Forging Limited (HILTON) vs. iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA)

Market Cap: INR 395.27M
Dividend Yield: ―
Average Volume (3M): 19.43K
Price to Earnings (P/E): 8.7
Beta (1Y): 1.18
Revenue Growth: 76.93%
EPS Growth: -22.99%
Country: India
Employees: 55
Sector: General
Sector Strength: 55
Industry: Manufacturing - Metal Fabrication

Hilton Metal Forging Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Hilton Metal Forging Limited, an Indian enterprise established in 2005 and headquartered in Mumbai, specializes in the production and distribution of iron and steel forged products. The company serves key industrial sectors, including oil and gas, re...

How the Company Makes Money

Hilton Metal Forging Limited primarily makes money by selling forged metal components and related value-added services to business customers. Revenue is generated through (1) product sales of forged parts manufactured to customer specifications (typi...

Hilton Metal Forging Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong revenue growth and a much healthier balance sheet are offset by compressed profit margins and persistently weak, often negative cash flows, leaving overall financial performance only moderately positive.

Income Statement

60Neutral

Balance Sheet

72Positive

Cash Flow

28Negative

Financial statement breakdown
Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2026	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue	2.67B	2.30B	1.63B	1.38B	1.05B	837.68M
Gross Profit	247.32M	168.35M	174.88M	270.40M	255.85M	112.99M
EBITDA	144.31M	129.29M	153.74M	151.95M	144.77M	42.24M
Net Income	51.03M	34.46M	61.76M	66.86M	58.60M	17.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	0	2.36B	2.21B	1.85B	1.69B	1.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	69.53M	69.53M	64.64M	11.70M	11.13M	12.42M
Total Debt	0	499.19M	610.06M	540.77M	528.77M	602.68M
Total Liabilities	-1.51B	850.21M	1.05B	850.46M	801.07M	691.43M
Stockholders Equity	1.51B	1.51B	1.16B	995.20M	891.21M	448.77M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-81.69M	-207.50M	-215.71M	32.79M	-302.30M	8.98M
Operating Cash Flow	-56.35M	-200.13M	-156.62M	101.14M	-240.70M	94.93M
Investing Cash Flow	-19.08M	312.55M	15.43M	-53.67M	-56.99M	-85.44M
Financing Cash Flow	73.24M	-110.88M	193.12M	-39.08M	296.41M	-6.83M

Hilton Metal Forging Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative

Last Price15.21

Price Trends

50DMA16.65Negative

100DMA19.25Negative

200DMA20.53Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.43Negative

RSI42.86Neutral

STOCH48.02Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IN:HILTON, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15.21 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.51, below the 50-day MA of 16.65, and below the 200-day MA of 20.53, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.43 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IN:HILTON.

Hilton Metal Forging Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

IN:HILTON against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
IN:BALUFORGE	74Outperform	INR 62.83B	22.68	―	0.03%	30.79%	22.38%
IN:HAPPYFORGE	62Neutral	INR 170.94B	50.48	―	0.21%	22.81%	29.40%
IN:MMFL	62Neutral	INR 30.05B	22.30	―	0.63%	21.52%	44.72%
IN:RKFORGE	62Neutral	INR 139.28B	76.27	―	0.38%	25.19%	-38.28%
Sector *	55Neutral	$6.65B	3.83	-15.92%	6.20%	10.91%	7.18%
IN:HILTON	53Neutral	INR 799.79M	8.75	―	―	76.93%	-22.99%
IN:TIRUPATIFL	50Neutral	INR 8.78B	95.88	―	―	48.01%	48.82%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

IN:HILTON and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
IN:HILTON	Hilton Metal Forging Limited	15.21	-23.99	-61.20%
IN:BALUFORGE	Balu Forge Industries Ltd	551.10	-53.82	-8.90%
IN:HAPPYFORGE	Happy Forging Limited	1881.75	851.60	82.67%
IN:MMFL	MM Forgings Limited	637.85	331.52	108.22%
IN:RKFORGE	Ramkrishna Forgings Ltd	785.70	231.63	41.80%
IN:TIRUPATIFL	Tirupati Forge Ltd.	66.57	31.64	90.58%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 06, 2026

Hilton Metal Forging Limited AI Stock Analysis