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Godfrey Phillips India Ltd. (GODFRYPHLP) AI Stock Analysis

IN:GODFRYPHLP

Godfrey Phillips India Ltd.

(NSE:GODFRYPHLP)

Select Model
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:INR 1,880.00â–²(11.37% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/30/26

The score is supported primarily by strong financial performance—high profitability and very low leverage—while inconsistent cash-flow conversion is a key risk. Technical indicators materially reduce the score due to a clear downtrend (below major moving averages with negative MACD and weak RSI). Valuation is a secondary positive, with a reasonable P/E and a ~2.9% dividend yield providing support.

Positive Factors
Strong profitabilityImproving net margins and strong operating profitability indicate that the core cigarette business is generating substantial earnings from its revenue base. If maintained, this profitability can support reinvestment, shareholder returns, and resilience across the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Inconsistent cash conversionUneven conversion of accounting earnings into cash reduces confidence in the consistency of cash returns. The FY2025 shortfall shows that working-capital swings or other cash uses can materially affect funding capacity, even when reported profitability remains healthy.

Godfrey Phillips India Ltd. (GODFRYPHLP) vs. iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA)

-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%IN:GODFRYPHLP-42.99%INDA-12.02%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
INR 292.56B
Dividend Yield
2.96%
Average Volume (3M)
19.75K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
19.3
Beta (1Y)
1.44
Revenue Growth
1.25%
EPS Growth
14.03%
Country
India
Employees
1,121
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Tobacco

Godfrey Phillips India Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in 1936 and headquartered in New Delhi, India, Godfrey Phillips India Limited (GPI) is a key enterprise primarily engaged in the production and distribution of cigarettes, chewing tobacco, and other tobacco-based items across India. The c...

How the Company Makes Money

Godfrey Phillips India Ltd. primarily makes money by manufacturing, marketing, and distributing cigarettes in India and earning revenue from the sale of these products to trade channels (such as distributors, wholesalers, and retailers) that ultimate...

Godfrey Phillips India Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong profitability (net margins improving to ~24% in FY2026) and an exceptionally conservative balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.04; ROE ~25%) support a high-quality profile. The main offset is uneven cash conversion, including a sharp FY2025 operating/free-cash-flow dip despite healthy earnings, which reduces confidence in the consistency of cash returns.

Income Statement

84Very Positive

Balance Sheet

92Very Positive

Cash Flow

62Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue61.10B63.91B56.11B40.18B35.62B26.88B
Gross Profit21.18B22.74B23.10B18.02B17.25B14.10B
EBITDA17.68B20.73B12.00B9.45B8.22B6.39B
Net Income13.68B15.26B10.72B8.83B6.90B4.38B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets083.10B69.69B58.43B49.68B41.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.98B5.83B2.09B1.70B1.91B5.03B
Total Debt02.34B1.79B3.45B3.55B3.36B
Total Liabilities-62.19B20.91B17.17B16.05B14.15B11.69B
Stockholders Equity62.19B62.12B52.46B42.32B35.48B29.28B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.15B4.67B-605.00M1.90B6.49B3.95B
Operating Cash Flow5.18B7.80B1.07B2.90B7.36B4.79B
Investing Cash Flow-1.46B-2.45B4.02B554.47M-5.41B-2.34B
Financing Cash Flow-3.31B-6.07B-4.91B-3.49B-2.06B-2.38B

Godfrey Phillips India Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1688.00

Price Trends

50DMA1925.66Negative
100DMA2039.42Negative
200DMA2076.20Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-67.44Positive
RSI35.04Neutral
STOCH32.93Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IN:GODFRYPHLP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1688.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1785.75, below the 50-day MA of 1925.66, and below the 200-day MA of 2076.20, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -67.44 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IN:GODFRYPHLP.

Godfrey Phillips India Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

IN:GODFRYPHLP against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
IN:VSTINDIN:VSTIND69NeutralINR 31.53B12.10―6.47%3.55%-4.92%
IN:ITCIN:ITC67NeutralINR 3.33T16.77―5.46%-4.13%-43.21%
IN:GODFRYPHLPIN:GODFRYPHLP66NeutralINR 263.30B19.27―2.96%1.25%14.03%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%IN:GODFRYPHLPIN:GOLDENTOBCIN:ITCIN:VSTINDDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
IN:GODFRYPHLP and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
IN:GODFRYPHLPGodfrey Phillips India Ltd.1688.00-1356.90-44.56%
IN:GOLDENTOBCGolden Tobacco Limited22.00-11.90-35.10%
IN:ITCITC Limited265.60-129.11-32.71%
IN:VSTINDVST Industries Limited185.60-62.05-25.05%

Godfrey Phillips India Ltd. Corporate Events

Godfrey Phillips India clears accounts, dividends and director reappointments at 89th AGM

Aug 24, 2026

Godfrey Phillips India Ltd. held its 89th Annual General Meeting on August 24, 2026, via video conference in compliance with corporate and securities regulations, with Chairperson and Managing Director Dr. Bina Modi presiding and confirming quorum. T...

Godfrey Phillips India files assured sustainability report for FY 2025-26

Jul 31, 2026

Godfrey Phillips India Ltd. has submitted its Business Responsibility and Sustainability Report for the 2025-26 financial year to both BSE and NSE in line with SEBI’s Listing Obligations and Disclosure Requirements. The filing reflects the comp...

Godfrey Phillips India Sets Virtual AGM, Urges Shareholders to Update KYC and Email Details

Jul 31, 2026

Godfrey Phillips India has notified exchanges and shareholders that its 89th Annual General Meeting will be held on 24 August 2026 at 2:30 p.m. IST via video conferencing and other audio-visual means, with the Annual Report for FY 2025-26 made availa...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2026