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Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd. (GNFC) AI Stock Analysis

IN:GNFC

Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd.

(NSE:GNFC)

Select Model
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:INR 579.00â–²(14.49% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/07/26

GNFC's strong score is driven primarily by its highly attractive valuation and solid technical uptrend. The company's exceptional, debt-free balance sheet provides tremendous structural resilience, effectively mitigating the operational risks associated with its recent revenue contraction and margin compression.

Positive Factors
Very low leverageGNFC’s exceptionally conservative balance sheet provides resilience during fertilizer and chemical downturns. Minimal debt reduces interest pressure and refinancing exposure, while the stable equity base preserves flexibility to maintain operations, fund investment, and withstand cyclical earnings volatility.
Negative Factors
Cyclical revenue and marginsGNFC’s earnings remain exposed to cycles in fertilizer and chemical demand, pricing, and input-cost spreads. The sharp margin normalization from prior peaks shows that strong historical profitability is not consistently repeatable, creating ongoing uncertainty around earnings durability.

Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd. (GNFC) vs. iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%40%IN:GNFC+5.70%INDA-12.02%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
INR 87.61B
Dividend Yield
4.15%
Average Volume (3M)
52.80K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
7.2
Beta (1Y)
1.22
Revenue Growth
12.55%
EPS Growth
84.52%
Country
India
Employees
1,971
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Chemicals

Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in 1976 and headquartered in Bharuch, India, Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited (GNFC) is a prominent manufacturer and marketer of a diverse range of fertilizers and chemicals, catering to both domestic and internation...

How the Company Makes Money

GNFC primarily makes money by manufacturing and selling products across its fertilizers and chemicals businesses, with an additional revenue stream from IT services. (1) Fertilizers: The company generates revenue from the sale of nitrogenous fertiliz...

Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

GNFC benefits from a pristine, virtually debt-free balance sheet (Score: 90) and recovering cash flows (Score: 65). However, the score is tempered by recent top-line volatility and structural margin compression in the income statement (Score: 55).

Income Statement

55Neutral

Balance Sheet

90Very Positive

Cash Flow

65Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue84.10B77.73B83.93B78.95B102.07B86.23B
Gross Profit29.20B13.59B24.13B16.93B52.19B46.40B
EBITDA14.65B8.78B11.16B9.70B22.39B25.93B
Net Income10.37B8.08B5.97B4.97B14.72B17.10B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets0113.59B110.03B106.72B116.96B107.34B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.04B18.04B30.52B16.47B22.72B8.67B
Total Debt060.00M1.06B27.30M19.80M17.70M
Total Liabilities-91.15B22.44B24.28B23.63B25.90B27.44B
Stockholders Equity91.15B91.15B85.75B83.09B91.05B79.90B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-340.00M4.56B1.53B-2.20B12.00B18.29B
Operating Cash Flow3.14B10.02B6.06B312.80M13.73B19.67B
Investing Cash Flow280.00M-5.84B-4.66B12.35B-12.29B-18.99B
Financing Cash Flow-2.64B-2.64B-2.62B-12.81B-1.60B-1.30B

Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price505.70

Price Trends

50DMA569.89Negative
100DMA539.90Negative
200DMA493.26Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-20.54Positive
RSI34.17Neutral
STOCH26.30Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IN:GNFC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 505.70 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 557.35, below the 50-day MA of 569.89, and above the 200-day MA of 493.26, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -20.54 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.30 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IN:GNFC.

Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

IN:GNFC against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
IN:GNFCIN:GNFC79OutperformINR 74.31B7.15―4.15%12.55%84.52%
IN:RPELIN:RPEL69NeutralINR 76.57B107.62―0.06%38.23%55.02%
IN:GUJALKALIIN:GUJALKALI56NeutralINR 39.71B59.87―3.27%7.07%―
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
IN:DEEPAKNTRIN:DEEPAKNTR55NeutralINR 207.25B19.51―0.49%25.13%99.89%
IN:DEEPAKFERTIN:DEEPAKFERT51NeutralINR 138.86B14.11―0.91%13.63%0.30%
IN:TATACHEMIN:TATACHEM47NeutralINR 151.72B-7.01―1.85%2.04%-742.43%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%IN:GNFCIN:DEEPAKFERTIN:DEEPAKNTRIN:GUJALKALIIN:RPELIN:TATACHEMDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
IN:GNFC and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
IN:GNFCGujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd.505.7017.503.58%
IN:DEEPAKFERTDeepak Fertilisers and Petrochemicals Corporation Ltd.1099.95-376.72-25.51%
IN:DEEPAKNTRDeepak Nitrite Limited1519.50-208.95-12.09%
IN:GUJALKALIGujarat Alkalies & Chemicals Ltd.540.75-6.20-1.13%
IN:RPELRaghav Productivity Enhancers Ltd.1667.50793.6990.83%
IN:TATACHEMTata Chemicals Limited595.55-266.41-30.91%

Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd. Corporate Events

GNFC’s ESG Score Improves to Grade B Medium Risk

Sep 22, 2026

Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd. has received an adjusted ESG score of 67 with a Grade B, classified as medium risk, from SES ESG Research based on publicly available data for FY 2025-26. The rating, which the company did not c...

GNFC Names Senior Gujarat Bureaucrat as New Managing Director

Sep 9, 2026

Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd. is a Gujarat government-promoted company operating in the fertilizers and chemicals sector, with a focus on industrial chemicals and agro-inputs. Its operations are strategically linked to the s...

GNFC Announces Government-Driven Managing Director Change

Sep 9, 2026

Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd., a major listed player in India’s fertilizers and industrial chemicals market with close ties to the Gujarat state administration, is governed under SEBI’s listing and disclosure reg...

GNFC appoints IAS officer Sanjeev Kumar as new Managing Director

Sep 9, 2026

Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd. has announced a change in its top leadership, with senior IAS officer Sanjeev Kumar assuming additional charge as Managing Director effective September 9, 2026, following a notification from the...

GNFC moves to fully digital access for 50th annual report and AGM

Aug 22, 2026

Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd. has notified exchanges that it is dispatching letters to shareholders without registered email addresses, providing a web link to access its 50th Annual Report for FY 2025-26 in line with SEBI l...

GNFC Alerts Shareholders on Pending Dividends Ahead of IEPF Share Transfer

Aug 18, 2026

Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd. has notified exchanges that it has issued letters to shareholders whose dividends have remained unclaimed or unencashed for seven or more consecutive years, in line with Section 124(6) of the Co...

GNFC Sets Timeline for 50th AGM and Dividend Eligibility

Aug 8, 2026

Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals has scheduled its 50th Annual General Meeting for Wednesday, September 16, 2026, at 3:00 p.m. IST, to be conducted via video conferencing and deemed held at its registered office in Bharuch. The comp...

GNFC Sets Record Date and AGM Schedule for 50th Annual Meeting and Dividend

Aug 8, 2026

Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd. has scheduled its 50th Annual General Meeting for Wednesday, September 16, 2026, at 3:00 p.m. IST, to be conducted via video conferencing and other audio-visual means, with proceedings deemed to...

GNFC Appoints M/s K G Goyal & Associates as Cost Auditors for FY 2026-27

Aug 5, 2026

Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd. has announced that, following the Audit Committee’s recommendation, its board has approved the appointment of M/s K G Goyal & Associates as cost auditors for the financial year 2026-27...

GNFC Sees Rs.61 Crore Gain From Revised Urea Energy Norms at Bharuch Unit

Aug 1, 2026

The Department of Fertilizers under India’s Ministry of Chemicals & Fertilizers has revised the energy norm applicable to Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals’ Bharuch neem-coated urea unit, effective from April 1, 2025...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 07, 2026