Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd. (AVADHSUGAR) AI Stock Analysis

Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd.

(NSE:AVADHSUGAR)

Select Model

Rating:67Neutral

Price Target:INR 876.00▲(8.76% Upside)

Action:reiterated

Date:10/08/26

The overall score reflects a cautious but positive view: solid profitability and recovering revenues are offset by weaker margins, high leverage, and volatile cash flows, while strong technical momentum and a reasonable, though not attractive, valuation lift the score into the mid-60s but constrain it from higher levels.

Positive Factors

Integrated revenue modelIntegration gives the company multiple ways to monetize sugarcane and its processing by-products. Ethanol, power, and ancillary sales can broaden revenue sources beyond sugar alone, improve resource utilization, and provide some diversification across linked products over the next several quarters.

Negative Factors

Profitability compressionProfit deterioration despite the FY2026 revenue rebound signals weaker earnings conversion and less dependable margins. If this pattern persists, the company may have less internal funding for investment, reduced ability to absorb sugar-cycle volatility, and lower earnings quality over the next several quarters.

Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd. (AVADHSUGAR) vs. iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA)

Market Cap: INR 16.06B
Dividend Yield: 1.23%
Average Volume (3M): 17.35K
Price to Earnings (P/E): 24.5
Beta (1Y): 1.20
Revenue Growth: 4.23%
EPS Growth: -6.89%
Country: India
Employees: 824
Sector: General
Sector Strength: 55
Industry: Food Confectioners

Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Based in Kolkata, India, and founded in 2015, Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited is involved in the manufacturing and distribution of various products across India, including sugar, molasses, bagasse, and press-mud. The company's operations are segmented i...

How the Company Makes Money

Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd. makes money mainly through multiple revenue streams linked to sugarcane processing: (1) Sugar sales: The core revenue driver is the sale of manufactured sugar into domestic channels (typically through distributors/wholesaler...

Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are mixed but acceptable: revenues have recently rebounded and the company remains profitable, yet margins and returns have weakened, leverage is relatively high, and cash flows have turned volatile with negative free cash in the latest period.

Income Statement

63Positive

Balance Sheet

68Positive

Cash Flow

52Neutral

Financial statement breakdown
Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2026	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue	27.56B	26.94B	26.36B	26.94B	27.98B	27.20B
Gross Profit	4.41B	3.99B	6.08B	6.64B	3.07B	5.75B
EBITDA	2.32B	2.21B	2.76B	3.34B	2.64B	3.07B
Net Income	659.53M	573.05M	879.35M	1.28B	1.00B	1.24B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	0	28.80B	28.80B	28.54B	24.18B	24.30B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	19.06M	22.76M	46.63M	15.61M	20.22M	10.76M
Total Debt	0	14.07B	13.71B	13.17B	10.68B	12.15B
Total Liabilities	-11.24B	17.56B	17.79B	18.26B	15.27B	16.20B
Stockholders Equity	11.24B	11.24B	11.01B	10.28B	8.91B	8.10B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	8.37B	-247.47M	472.89M	-1.56B	2.30B	2.58B
Operating Cash Flow	9.16B	840.53M	1.54B	-769.40M	3.64B	3.14B
Investing Cash Flow	-745.97M	-1.01B	-989.12M	-699.68M	-1.24B	-535.73M
Financing Cash Flow	-8.43B	150.90M	-527.72M	1.47B	-2.39B	-2.64B

Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral

Last Price805.45

Price Trends

50DMA833.78Negative

100DMA679.53Positive

200DMA544.33Positive

Market Momentum

MACD4.54Positive

RSI42.36Neutral

STOCH16.68Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IN:AVADHSUGAR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 805.45 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 900.41, below the 50-day MA of 833.78, and above the 200-day MA of 544.33, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 4.54 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.68 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for IN:AVADHSUGAR.

Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

IN:AVADHSUGAR against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
IN:DHAMPURSUG	71Outperform	INR 10.27B	14.95	―	1.23%	1.27%	38.76%
IN:UTTAMSUGAR	70Outperform	INR 12.50B	15.09	―	0.72%	-5.00%	-19.67%
IN:AVADHSUGAR	67Neutral	INR 16.12B	24.49	―	1.23%	4.23%	-6.89%
IN:MAGADSUGAR	64Neutral	INR 7.09B	14.28	―	2.43%	-5.70%	-48.02%
IN:MAWANASUG	57Neutral	INR 5.84B	21.25	―	2.70%	8.61%	-72.58%
Sector *	55Neutral	$6.65B	3.83	-15.92%	6.20%	10.91%	7.18%
IN:DWARKESH	53Neutral	INR 7.60B	53.47	―	0.24%	-4.81%	-38.80%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

IN:AVADHSUGAR and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
IN:AVADHSUGAR	Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd.	807.05	389.25	93.17%
IN:DHAMPURSUG	Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited	163.10	29.96	22.50%
IN:DWARKESH	Dwarikesh Sugar Industries Ltd.	41.74	-0.34	-0.81%
IN:MAGADSUGAR	Magadh Sugar & Energy Ltd.	516.40	-14.37	-2.71%
IN:MAWANASUG	Mawana Sugars Limited	148.20	64.19	76.41%
IN:UTTAMSUGAR	Uttam Sugar Mills Limited	346.25	103.52	42.65%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 07, 2026

Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd. AI Stock Analysis