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Hydrofarm Holdings Group (HYFM) AI Stock Analysis

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HYFM

Hydrofarm Holdings Group

(NASDAQ:HYFM)

Select Model
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:$0.72â–²(0.99% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/12/26

The score is constrained primarily by severe financial weakness, negative valuation indicators, and poor technical trends. Debt elimination and restored Nasdaq compliance provide meaningful support, but dilution risk and ongoing listing monitoring limit the benefit.

Positive Factors
Debt EliminationEliminating the $109 million senior secured term loan materially reduces the company’s debt burden and removes associated liens and commitments. Restored positive equity and a cleaner capital structure should improve financial flexibility, although execution still depends on rebuilding operating performance.
Negative Factors
Revenue ContractionSustained revenue contraction indicates that demand, market activity, or customer purchasing has not yet translated into expansion for Hydrofarm. Lower sales reduce operating leverage and make it harder for the company to absorb fixed costs, invest in growth, or restore profitability.

Hydrofarm Holdings Group (HYFM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-75%-50%-25%0%25%50%HYFM-58.24%SPY+14.55%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$3.61M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
340.49K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.0
Beta (1Y)
3.76
Revenue Growth
-34.07%
EPS Growth
-352.84%
Country
US
Employees
251
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Agricultural - Machinery

Hydrofarm Holdings Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. is a leading manufacturer and distributor of specialized equipment and supplies for controlled environment agriculture (CEA) across the United States and Canada. The company empowers cultivators to grow a wide array of...

Hydrofarm Holdings Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 12, 2025(Q2-2025)|% Change Since:-84.26%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The earnings call presented a mixed picture with notable achievements in SG&A savings, restructuring plans, and international sales growth. However, these were offset by significant declines in net sales and gross profit margins, as well as challenges in the durable products segment and tariff impacts.

Positive Updates

SG&A Savings and Positive Free Cash Flow
Delivered the 12th consecutive quarter of year-over-year adjusted SG&A savings with a nearly 16% reduction in expenses compared to 2024, resulting in positive free cash flow for the quarter.

Negative Updates

Significant Decline in Net Sales
Net sales for the second quarter were $39.2 million, down 28.4% year-over-year, driven by a 27.9% decline in volume mix and a 0.4% decline in pricing.

Company Guidance

During the Hydrofarm Holdings Group's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, several key metrics were highlighted to provide guidance on the company's performance and strategic initiatives. The company achieved a 16% reduction in adjusted SG&A expenses, marking the 12th consecutive quarter of year-over-year savings in this area. Despite industry headwinds, including a 28.4% year-over-year decline in net sales to $39.2 million and a 27.9% decrease in volume mix, the company managed to deliver positive free cash flow of $1.4 million for the quarter. Adjusted gross profit stood at $7.5 million, or 19.2% of net sales, although negatively impacted by restructuring charges. Hydrofarm initiated a restructuring plan to optimize its product portfolio, targeting annual cost savings exceeding $3 million, primarily through reducing inventory and SKUs. The company remains focused on improving its proprietary brand mix, which accounted for 55% of sales in the first quarter, despite a softer mix in the second quarter due to challenging demand in the durables category. The company also noted a $300,000 impact from tariffs and is actively managing its sourcing strategies to mitigate future effects. With cash on hand at $11 million and total liquidity of $20 million as of June 30, 2025, Hydrofarm is well-positioned to navigate the current market challenges while remaining optimistic about future industry demand improvements.

Hydrofarm Holdings Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is severely weak: revenue has declined, losses remain substantial, shareholders’ equity was negative before the recent restructuring, and cash flow remains negative. Cost-cutting and moderating cash burn provide limited offset.

Income Statement

14Very Negative

Balance Sheet

9Very Negative

Cash Flow

21Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue106.21M134.25M190.29M226.58M344.50M479.42M
Gross Profit4.41M2.18M32.13M37.61M29.34M101.49M
EBITDA-258.43M-253.96M-19.92M-17.51M-239.37M11.35M
Net Income-283.79M-289.79M-66.72M-64.81M-285.42M13.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets101.58M123.80M426.10M507.64M573.56M891.24M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.15M6.31M26.11M30.31M21.29M26.61M
Total Debt158.15M160.08M169.53M183.93M186.07M167.57M
Total Liabilities190.60M187.10M202.38M217.03M223.68M256.06M
Stockholders Equity-89.02M-63.30M223.72M290.61M349.88M635.18M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.30M-15.08M-3.22M2.83M13.76M-50.47M
Operating Cash Flow-4.72M-14.06M-324.00K7.04M21.99M-45.07M
Investing Cash Flow1.09M-841.00K1.67M-4.17M-8.49M-468.18M
Financing Cash Flow-578.00K-5.44M-4.78M6.07M-20.20M464.71M

Hydrofarm Holdings Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.71

Price Trends

50DMA0.86Negative
100DMA0.93Negative
200DMA1.02Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.04Negative
RSI42.91Neutral
STOCH55.74Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HYFM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.71 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.76, below the 50-day MA of 0.86, and below the 200-day MA of 1.02, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HYFM.

Hydrofarm Holdings Group Risk Analysis

Hydrofarm Holdings Group disclosed 72 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hydrofarm Holdings Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.We are currently not in compliance with the continued listing standards of Nasdaq, and if we are unable to regain compliance, our common stock will be delisted from the exchange.Q4, 2025
2.If our shares of common stock become subject to the penny stock rules, it would become more difficult to trade our shares.Q4, 2025
3.Due to our recurring operating losses and negative cash flows from operations, there is substantial doubt as to our ability to continue as a going concern. We may need additional financing to execute our business plan, to fund our operations, and to continue as a going concern. Our disclosure regarding the substantial doubt as to our ability to continue as a going concern may hinder our ability to obtain further financing.Q4, 2025

Hydrofarm Holdings Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

HYFM against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
GENCGENC82Outperform$258.27M17.376.82%―-6.39%-1.99%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
ARTWARTW58Neutral$14.93M-31.35-3.06%―4.55%-122.70%
XOSXOS48Neutral$32.56M-0.72-80.31%―-48.84%45.30%
HYFMHYFM42Neutral$10.04M-0.012175.86%―-34.07%-352.84%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%HYFMARTWGENCXOSZDAIDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
HYFM and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HYFMHydrofarm Holdings Group Inc0.71-0.97-57.74%
ARTWArt's-way Manufacturing2.780.6127.97%
GENCGencor Industries, Inc.17.544.4033.49%
XOSXos, Inc.1.71-0.61-26.29%
ZDAIDirectbooking Technology Co., Ltd.1.50-4.66-75.65%

Hydrofarm Holdings Group Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Hydrofarm Regains Nasdaq Compliance After Equity Restoration

Positive
Nov 12, 2026

Hydrofarm Holdings Group is an independent manufacturer and distributor serving controlled-environment agriculture with plant nutrition, growing media, horticultural lighting and climate-control products from proprietary and partner brands. It also p...

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing ChangesPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Hydrofarm restructures debt and raises capital to regain Nasdaq

Positive
Oct 27, 2026

On October 27, 2026, Hydrofarm completed a combined registered direct offering and private placement, issuing common stock, pre-funded warrants and common warrants that generated gross proceeds of $8.3 million for general corporate purposes. Concurre...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Hydrofarm launches equity financing and debt restructuring plan

Negative
Oct 27, 2026

On October 27, 2026, Hydrofarm announced definitive agreements for a registered direct offering and concurrent private placement of common stock, pre-funded warrants and common stock warrants, expected to raise about $8.3 million in gross proceeds. M...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Hydrofarm Holdings Updates Investors with New Presentation

Neutral
Oct 9, 2026

On October 5, 2026, Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. entered into a mutual release agreement to fully settle all claims related to a prior engagement, agreeing subject to milestones to issue 300,000 shares of a newly designated non-voting, convertible...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 12, 2026