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Fusion Fuel Green (HTOO) AI Stock Analysis

HTOO

Fusion Fuel Green

(NASDAQ:HTOO)

Select Model
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:$1.50â–¼(-7.98% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/25/26

The overall score reflects a company with improving financial health—strong revenue growth, better unit economics, and lower leverage—but still characterized by ongoing losses and persistent cash burn, which keep execution and funding risk high. The technical setup is clearly weak, with the price trending below key moving averages and momentum indicators pointing to a bearish bias rather than a sustained recovery. Valuation remains speculative given the negative P/E and lack of dividend support, meaning the investment case hinges on successfully transitioning to durable profitability and self-funded growth.

Positive Factors
Revenue and gross-margin reboundThe sharp 2025 revenue recovery and improved gross margin indicate stronger commercial activity and better project economics than the prior year. If the rebound persists, greater scale could support operating leverage and provide a stronger base for future hydrogen and energy-services growth.
Negative Factors
Persistent losses and cash burnLarge operating and free-cash-flow deficits show that the current business remains dependent on external funding despite revenue recovery. Continued losses can constrain investment in hydrogen projects, weaken financial flexibility, and increase the need for additional capital over the next several quarters.

Fusion Fuel Green (HTOO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%HTOO-54.64%SPY+12.58%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$12.48M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
51.78K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-21.4
Beta (1Y)
1.23
Revenue Growth
75.69%
EPS Growth
84.18%
Country
US
Employees
131
Sector
Utilities
Sector Strength
66
Industry
Renewable Utilities

Fusion Fuel Green Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in Dublin, Ireland, in 2018, Fusion Fuel Green PLC is dedicated to hydrogen production, with its core operations concentrated in Portugal, Southern Europe, and Morocco. The company provides a range of solutions, including the sale of its...

How the Company Makes Money

Fusion Fuel’s revenue model is primarily tied to (a) selling hydrogen production technology/systems and (b) providing engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) and related project services. Key revenue streams include: (1) equipment and system...

Fusion Fuel Green Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 04, 2024(Q1-2024)|% Change Since:-96.18%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2024
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The earnings call presented a balanced view of Fusion Fuel's current position. The company reported significant achievements in project approvals and market expansion, which are crucial for its growth strategy. However, financial challenges, including no recognized revenue in Q1 and a NASDAQ non-compliance notice, present significant hurdles that need addressing. Overall, while there are promising developments, the financial uncertainties and project delays weigh heavily on the company's immediate outlook.

Positive Updates

European Commission Acceptance
The European Commission accepted the EVO Portugal project as an important project of common European interest, showing strong support and recognition for the company's initiatives.

Negative Updates

No Recognized Revenue
No revenue was recognized during the first quarter, indicating a delay in project completions and financial inflows.

Company Guidance

During Fusion Fuel Green's Q1 2024 earnings call, the company reaffirmed its guidance for the year, emphasizing the significance of its HEVO-Chain technology and strategic projects. Fusion Fuel highlighted a robust pipeline with over 200 megawatts of offers in 16 markets, comprising mostly projects under 5 megawatts, aligning with their focus on small to mid-scale opportunities. Key financial metrics included raising EUR 5.9 million in February through an ATM facility and a EUR 5 million grant for the 25-megawatt HEVO-Aveiro project. The company reported a pretax loss of EUR 5.1 million for the quarter, with non-recognized revenue expected to be recorded later in the year. Fusion Fuel's cash position was bolstered by a $1.5 million drawdown from the Macquarie facility, with plans to address NASDAQ's noncompliance notice regarding shareholder equity.

Fusion Fuel Green Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue has grown rapidly from a very low base with improving gross margins and materially reduced leverage, but the company remains loss-making with consistently negative cash flow and a volatile history, leaving execution and funding risk elevated despite the positive trajectory.

Income Statement

58Neutral

Balance Sheet

64Positive

Cash Flow

38Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.85M13.85M1.60M4.14M00
Gross Profit3.87M3.87M437.00K-15.94M-8.77M0
EBITDA-8.79M-8.75M-10.54M-27.77M-30.42M-6.50M
Net Income-1.63M-1.63M-13.79M-31.02M-27.35M23.56M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets36.04M36.02M28.13M42.35M65.36M69.25M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments575.00K574.75K214.00K860.00K5.24M35.13M
Total Debt2.20M2.20M2.23M12.11M8.32M800.00K
Total Liabilities15.53M15.53M17.43M39.62M36.01M19.74M
Stockholders Equity16.16M16.16M12.79M2.73M29.35M49.51M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-8.22M-8.22M-8.47M-17.77M-40.54M-33.42M
Operating Cash Flow-7.91M-7.91M-8.65M-9.18M-29.85M-14.66M
Investing Cash Flow-187.00K-438.00K835.67K-1.16M24.96M-45.50M
Financing Cash Flow1.93M8.53M6.75M3.07M2.37M9.58M

Fusion Fuel Green Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1.63

Price Trends

50DMA2.03Negative
100DMA2.31Negative
200DMA2.77Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.11Positive
RSI32.93Neutral
STOCH22.81Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HTOO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.63 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.83, below the 50-day MA of 2.03, and below the 200-day MA of 2.77, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HTOO.

Fusion Fuel Green Risk Analysis

Fusion Fuel Green disclosed 81 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fusion Fuel Green reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

1 New Risk
1.Our business may be materially adversely affected by current global geopolitical conditions resulting from the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and the recent escalation of the Israel-Hamas conflict.Q4, 2023

Fusion Fuel Green Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)

Financial Indicators

HTOO against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *66Neutral$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
RNWRNW60Neutral$2.50B20.899.00%―14.06%11.99%
HTOOHTOO50Neutral$12.78M-21.41-11.34%―75.69%84.18%
VGASVGAS47Neutral$44.76M-3.07-21.80%――19.55%
WAVEWAVE44Neutral$29.64M-7.87-56.33%―-77.09%-15.59%

* Utilities Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%-25%0%25%HTOORNWWAVEVGASDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
HTOO and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HTOOFusion Fuel Green Plc1.66-1.91-53.50%
RNWRenew Energy Global Plc6.85-0.66-8.79%
WAVEEco Wave Power Global Ab4.71-2.21-31.94%
VGASVerde Clean Fuels, Inc.1.00-2.18-68.55%

Fusion Fuel Green Corporate Events

Fusion Fuel’s Al Shola Gas Builds $5.2 Million LPG Engineering Pipeline in Dubai

Oct 28, 2026

On October 28, 2026, Fusion Fuel reported that Al Shola Gas held 87 LPG engineering contracts and 13 change orders in the UAE as of October 14, with an aggregate value of about AED 19.2 million ($5.2 million). Roughly 74% of this portfolio, represent...

Fusion Fuel Green Restructures Al Shola Gas Deal with $2 Million Share Exchange

Oct 22, 2026

Fusion Fuel Green PLC announced on October 22, 2026 that it had entered into a $2.0 million share exchange agreement with majority-owned subsidiary Quality Industrial Corp., effective September 23, 2026, to restructure QIND’s obligations tied t...

Fusion Fuel Green Posts First-Half 2026 Results and Expands Diversified Energy Portfolio

Oct 14, 2026

On October 14, 2026, Fusion Fuel reported first-half 2026 revenue of €6.5 million, down 5.7% year on year, with a gross profit of €1.9 million and an operating loss of €3.7 million driven by non-cash amortization and share-based exp...

Fusion Fuel Green Finalizes Royal Uranium Acquisition and Restates 2025 Accounts

Oct 13, 2026

On July 21, 2026, Fusion Fuel Green completed a share exchange in which it acquired all 81,881,029 outstanding shares of Canada-based Royal Uranium Inc. from its shareholders in return for 3,750,018 Fusion Fuel Class A ordinary shares, valuing Royal...

Fusion Fuel Green Announces Board Resignation of Director Steven Gold

Oct 2, 2026

Fusion Fuel Green PLC disclosed that director Steven Gold resigned from the board effective immediately on September 30, 2026, citing personal obligations and other commitments requiring greater attention. The company publicly thanked Gold for his co...

Fusion Fuel Green to Restate 2025 Financials After Currency and Goodwill Errors

Sep 25, 2026

On September 23, 2026, Fusion Fuel Green disclosed that its audited consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2025 must be restated due to errors in foreign currency translation of intangibles and goodwill tied to its acquisit...

Fusion Fuel Green Sets Share Exchange With QIND to Advance UAE Gas Deal

Sep 25, 2026

On September 23, 2026, Fusion Fuel Green PLC entered a share exchange agreement with its majority-owned U.S. subsidiary Quality Industrial Corp. to support amendments to QIND’s acquisition arrangements with UAE gas distributor Al Shola Gas and...

Fusion Fuel Green Publishes Investor Presentation for H.C. Wainwright Conference

Sep 15, 2026

On September 14, 2026, Fusion Fuel Green PLC posted a new investor presentation on its website ahead of management’s participation in the H.C. Wainwright 28th Annual Global Investment Conference, running from September 14 to 16, 2026. The mater...

Fusion Fuel Boosts UAE LPG Operations with New Bobtail and Key Dubai Permit

Sep 10, 2026

On September 10, 2026, Fusion Fuel Green said Al Shola Gas has taken delivery of a new LPG bobtail tanker in the UAE, lifting its fleet to 53 vehicles and adding capacity expected to generate about $1.6 million in annual recurring revenue at target r...

Fusion Fuel Green Tightens Share-Backed Loan Terms with ILUS Amid Stock Purchase Obligations

Sep 4, 2026

Fusion Fuel Green has detailed a series of financing and governance maneuvers arising from a stock purchase agreement signed on November 18, 2024 with Quality Industrial Corp., Ilustrato Pictures International Inc. and other sellers. Under that agree...

Fusion Fuel’s Al Shola Gas Secures $1.4 Million in Dubai LPG Contracts and Abu Dhabi Supply Deal

Aug 20, 2026

On August 20, 2026, Fusion Fuel Green PLC reported that its indirect UAE subsidiary Al Shola Gas signed 10 liquefied petroleum gas engineering subcontracts in Dubai during June and July, with an anticipated aggregate value of about AED 5.14 million (...

Fusion Fuel’s BrightHy Solutions Hits Key Milestones on Southern Europe Hydrogen Projects

Aug 12, 2026

On August 12, 2026, Fusion Fuel Green announced that its hydrogen subsidiary Bright Hydrogen Solutions had completed the Front-End Engineering Design for a 15 MW industrial green hydrogen production facility in southern Europe. That engineering miles...

Fusion Fuel Green Raises $1.55 Million in August PIPE and Uses Equity to Cut Legal Liabilities

Aug 7, 2026

On August 7, 2026, Fusion Fuel Green PLC agreed to raise approximately $1.55 million through a private placement of 431,367 Class A shares, 176,468 pre-funded warrants and 619,194 common warrants to a group of institutional investors. The securities...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 25, 2026