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Hongli Group, Inc.
(NASDAQ:HLP)
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Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▲(96.85% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/16/26
The score is driven mainly by improving but still volatile fundamentals (earnings recovery in 2025 and manageable leverage, offset by inconsistent cash flow and higher 2025 debt). Technicals add support with a strong uptrend and positive momentum signals. Valuation is the primary drag due to a very high P/E and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Earnings and Revenue Recovery
The return to profitability alongside 17.1% revenue growth shows meaningful recovery from the weak 2024 period. If the company can sustain this improved operating performance, higher sales and renewed earnings could strengthen internal funding capacity and support business resilience over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Volatile Profitability
The earnings rebound is tempered by a history of pronounced cyclical volatility, including losses in 2024 following stronger earlier years. This uneven record reduces confidence that improved margins and earnings will persist, making future results more sensitive to changes in operating conditions.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Earnings and Revenue Recovery
The return to profitability alongside 17.1% revenue growth shows meaningful recovery from the weak 2024 period. If the company can sustain this improved operating performance, higher sales and renewed earnings could strengthen internal funding capacity and support business resilience over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors
Hongli Group, Inc. (HLP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$165.17M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)100.59K
Price to Earnings (P/E)90.2
Beta (1Y)0.41
Revenue Growth38.96%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUS
Employees167
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustrySteel
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)N/A
Shares Outstanding74,738,750
10 Day Avg. Volume190,163
30 Day Avg. Volume100,587
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.19
Price to Book (P/B)1.32
Price to Sales (P/S)3.90
P/FCF Ratio115.58
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.25
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.13
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit6.54
Enterprise Value/Ebitda12.85
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Hongli Group, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Hongli Group Inc., through its affiliated entities, specializes in the engineering, tailoring, production, and distribution of cold roll-formed steel profiles. These precision components are utilized in a variety of machinery and equipment, with a...
Hongli Group, Inc. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
64
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
46
Neutral
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 19.60M | 14.11M | 16.00M | 20.28M | 21.71M |
| Gross Profit | 6.38M | 4.52M | 5.25M | 7.01M | 7.65M |
| EBITDA | 3.24M | -463.81K | 2.62M | 4.31M | 4.66M |
| Net Income | 1.94M | -1.88M | 864.72K | 2.93M | 3.20M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 72.19M | 65.01M | 32.13M | 36.16M | 21.85M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.89M | 909.72K | 815.67K | 2.09M | 484.39K |
| Total Debt | 11.52M | 9.38M | 9.11M | 16.53M | 6.48M |
| Total Liabilities | 14.36M | 11.52M | 11.02M | 22.69M | 10.36M |
| Stockholders Equity | 57.83M | 53.49M | 21.11M | 13.47M | 11.49M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 660.82K | -446.54K | 21.13K | -7.04M | 134.98K |
| Operating Cash Flow | 878.27K | -414.03K | 884.92K | 2.49M | 1.14M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -1.26M | -33.31M | -2.25M | -11.67M | -3.05M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 1.26M | 33.51M | 382.09K | 10.84M | 983.36K |
Hongli Group, Inc. Technical Analysis
Positive
1.27
Price Trends
1.42
Positive
1.07
Positive
1.03
Positive
Market Momentum
0.26
Negative
82.89
Negative
89.60
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HLP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.27 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.72, below the 50-day MA of 1.42, and above the 200-day MA of 1.03, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.26 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 82.89 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.60 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HLP.
Hongli Group, Inc. Risk Analysis
Hongli Group, Inc. disclosed 86 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hongli Group, Inc. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Hongli Group, Inc. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
64 Neutral | $165.17M | 90.19 | 3.43% | ― | 38.96% | ― | |
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
61 Neutral | $283.75M | 10.27 | 18.07% | 0.41% | 61.80% | 214.07% | |
50 Neutral | $132.44M | -30.89 | -5.25% | 1.54% | -34.20% | -59.08% | |
47 Neutral | $170.87M | -1.48 | -48.12% | ― | -66.17% | -135.27% | |
45 Neutral | $10.39M | -3.96 | -3.47% | ― | -12.79% | -406.58% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
HLP
Hongli Group, Inc.
2.45
1.12
84.21%
FRD
Friedman Industries
38.74
17.00
78.21%
ACNT
Ascent Industries
14.35
1.47
11.41%
ZKIN
Zk International Group Co
1.90
-0.30
-13.64%
HUDI
Huadi International Group
0.72
-0.64
-47.13%
Hongli Group, Inc. Corporate Events
Hongli Group Regains Compliance with Nasdaq Minimum Bid Price Rule
Aug 12, 2026
Hongli Group Inc., a cold roll formed steel profile manufacturer with extensive operations in China and overseas, announced that it has regained compliance with Nasdaq’s minimum bid price rule for continued listing on the Nasdaq Capital Mark...
Hongli Group Finalizes Dual-Class Share Structure With Amended Cayman Charter
Jul 30, 2026
Hongli Group Inc. reported that its amended and restated memorandum and articles of association have become effective following shareholder approvals granted at an extraordinary general meeting on June 5, 2026. After completing the required filing...
Hongli Group Faces Nasdaq Minimum Bid Price Deficiency, Given 180 Days to Regain Compliance
Jul 9, 2026
On July 2, 2026, Hongli Group Inc. received a notification from Nasdaq that its Class A ordinary shares had traded below the minimum bid price of $1.00 for 30 consecutive business days, putting the company out of compliance with Nasdaq Capital Mar...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.