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Hikma Pharmaceuticals (HKMPY) AI Stock Analysis

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HKMPY

Hikma Pharmaceuticals

(Other OTC:HKMPY)

Select Model
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:$47.00â–²(1.34% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/06/26

The score is supported by very strong valuation (very low P/E and solid dividend) and a constructive technical trend (price above key moving averages with positive MACD). The main constraint is financial quality: cash flow has weakened and leverage has risen despite improving reported profitability. Earnings call commentary is broadly positive with reiterated guidance and operational progress, but includes clear H2 execution and demand/phasing risks.

Positive Factors
Diversified commercial footprint; strong MENA branded performanceHikma's mix across branded, generics and injectables reduces single-market risk; MENA branded outperformance delivers mid-to-high single-digit growth and mid-20s margins, providing a durable, higher-margin revenue base supported by local brands, tenders and an established salesforce.
Negative Factors
Weak operating cash flow and poor cash conversionCash generation has deteriorated with FCF falling sharply and covering less than half of net income. Persistent weak cash conversion undermines the company's ability to fund capex, pay down debt, pursue M&A or sustain shareholder returns without relying on external financing, a material fundamental constraint.

Hikma Pharmaceuticals (HKMPY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%HKMPY+5.51%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$4.83B
Dividend Yield
3.63%
Average Volume (3M)
1,556
Price to Earnings (P/E)
12.9
Beta (1Y)
0.50
Revenue Growth
5.61%
EPS Growth
6.41%
Country
US
Employees
9,400
Sector
Healthcare
Sector Strength
51
Industry
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Hikma Pharmaceuticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLC is a global pharmaceutical company that specializes in the development, production, commercialization, and distribution of a wide array of generic, branded, and in-licensed medicines. These pharmaceuticals are provided in va...

How the Company Makes Money

Hikma makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling pharmaceutical products across three main business segments: (1) Injectables: revenue is generated from supplying generic injectable medicines (e.g., sterile injectables) to hospital and instit...

Hikma Pharmaceuticals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:11.37%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presented a broadly positive operational and financial picture: H1 delivered improved profitability (EBIT/EBITDA ~+8%, EPS +5%) and management reiterated full-year guidance while detailing clear operational fixes, R&D and capacity investments (injectables stabilization, U.S. manufacturing expansion, and CMO/Rx pipeline progress). Offsetting factors include geopolitical-driven stockpiling that may depress H2 volumes, the divestment of a loss-making 503B compounding business, some pricing pressure in oral Rx, and near-term variability in CMO revenues. On balance the company emphasized progress on key strategic initiatives and a constructive pipeline, but retained caution on phasing and H2 execution risks.

Positive Updates

Profitability Improvement
EBIT and EBITDA increased by almost 8% year-on-year; EPS rose by 5% in the interim results (H1), and reported H1 operating profit was $405m, supporting management's decision to reiterate full-year guidance.

Negative Updates

Geopolitical Uncertainty and Stockpiling Effects
Ongoing conflict and instability in the MENA region created temporary stockpiling that boosted H1 sales but could depress demand in H2 as inventories are drawn down; management emphasized caution for H2 planning.

Company Guidance

Hikma reiterated FY26 guidance of group revenue growth of 2–4% and operating profit of $720–770m (H1 operating profit was $405m), noting H1 was ~55% weighted for sales; H1 results showed EBIT and EBITDA up almost 8% and EPS up c.5% year‑on‑year, R&D spend and other investments are up, and management cited a 10‑year CAGR of c.8% for sales and c.5–6% for profitability. They said the injectables business is stabilised with CMO revenues expected to pick up in H2 and a major Bedford injectable capacity due in 2028, reiterated a target of 20% of Rx revenue from CMO by 2030, and described branded as able to deliver mid‑to‑high single‑digit top‑line growth with mid‑20s margins (Rx margins approaching ~20%). The buyback is almost complete (about $230m deployed, ~11–12m shares) and the 503B compounding unit is classified held‑for‑sale (expected to be sold within 12 months).

Hikma Pharmaceuticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Operational results are improving (revenue up across 2023–2025 and better margins in 2024–2025), but the profile is held back by weakening cash generation (operating cash flow down and free cash flow sharply weaker in 2025 with poor cash conversion vs. net income) and rising leverage from 2023 to 2025.

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

67Positive

Cash Flow

52Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.41B3.36B3.13B2.88B2.52B2.55B
Gross Profit1.40B1.44B1.42B1.41B1.24B1.30B
EBITDA889.38M781.82M727.00M566.00M691.00M743.00M
Net Income386.34M402.94M359.00M190.00M188.00M421.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.83B5.67B5.13B4.68B4.47B4.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments289.00M354.00M213.00M229.00M292.00M450.00M
Total Debt1.96B1.60B1.31B1.19B1.28B846.00M
Total Liabilities3.29B3.06B2.81B2.47B2.32B1.91B
Stockholders Equity2.52B2.59B2.31B2.20B2.13B2.45B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow148.88M162.38M329.00M404.00M305.00M409.00M
Operating Cash Flow398.53M359.84M564.00M608.00M530.00M638.00M
Investing Cash Flow-325.62M-394.92M-381.00M-333.00M-607.00M-238.00M
Financing Cash Flow-45.38M58.14M-188.00M-337.00M-58.00M-287.00M

Hikma Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price46.38

Price Trends

50DMA43.35Positive
100DMA42.36Positive
200DMA39.66Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.88Negative
RSI68.89Neutral
STOCH100.04Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HKMPY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 46.38 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 44.06, above the 50-day MA of 43.35, and above the 200-day MA of 39.66, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.88 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 100.04 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HKMPY.

Hikma Pharmaceuticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)

Financial Indicators

HKMPY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HKMPYHKMPY70Outperform$4.80B12.9515.05%3.63%5.61%6.41%
RDYRDY67Neutral$11.87B40.247.37%0.59%-10.52%-55.45%
LNTHLNTH65Neutral$6.56B23.8623.27%―2.35%7.38%
TEVATEVA65Neutral$47.43B70.179.18%―4.40%―
VTRSVTRS63Neutral$21.86B-52.88-2.79%2.52%4.92%87.81%
AMRXAMRX59Neutral$7.49B43.24-326.75%―9.28%4917.17%
Sector *51Neutral$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%

* Healthcare Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%HKMPYRDYVTRSTEVALNTHAMRXDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HKMPY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HKMPYHikma Pharma46.380.631.37%
RDYDr. Reddy's Laboratories Ltd14.170.836.25%
VTRSViatris, Inc.19.048.8787.19%
TEVATeva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited42.0923.59127.51%
LNTHLantheus Holdings Inc100.4643.6476.80%
AMRXAmneal Pharma21.5110.3292.14%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026