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Asia Grocery Distribution Limited (8413) AI Stock Analysis

HK:8413

Asia Grocery Distribution Limited

(HKEX:8413)

Select Model
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:HKD 0.07â–²(19.64% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/18/26

The overall stock score is primarily driven by significant operational and valuation headwinds, despite strong underlying liquidity. While the company boasts minimal debt and solid free cash flow, its contracting revenue, negative operating income, unappealing P/E ratio of 24.58, and persistent long-term technical downtrend limit its current investment appeal.

Positive Factors
Low leverageConservative leverage and stable equity of approximately HK$97–104M reduce financial risk and preserve flexibility. This gives the company greater capacity to manage operating volatility, fund working-capital needs, and withstand weaker trading conditions without excessive debt pressure.
Negative Factors
Revenue contractionThe 2026 revenue decline interrupts the company’s preceding growth trend and raises concern about near-term demand, customer retention, or distribution volume. Persistent top-line contraction would reduce operating leverage and make it harder to improve already-thin profitability.

Asia Grocery Distribution Limited (8413) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-75%-50%-25%0%25%50%75%100%HK:8413-50.88%EWH+8.19%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
HKD 65.07M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
1.07M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
23.3
Beta (1Y)
0.26
Revenue Growth
-6.80%
EPS Growth
77.78%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
64
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Sector Strength
62
Industry
Food Distribution

Asia Grocery Distribution Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Operating as an investment holding company, Asia Grocery Distribution Limited is a key player in the sourcing and distribution of food and beverage items throughout Hong Kong. Its comprehensive product portfolio includes staple commodities like rice,...

Asia Grocery Distribution Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is supported by a fortress-like balance sheet and strong free cash flow generation of $15.3 million. However, these strengths are heavily offset by a 6.8% revenue contraction, poor return on equity, and negative operating income.

Income Statement

42Neutral

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

82Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue286.66M281.99M302.54M292.48M286.24M241.37M
Gross Profit65.99M56.35M71.41M66.11M66.81M58.33M
EBITDA9.76M5.45M10.83M10.63M4.51M6.62M
Net Income1.29M1.81M1.06M1.86M-4.41M-2.14M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets131.63M131.63M125.13M132.30M135.60M123.16M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments69.43M70.04M60.87M47.03M34.98M29.80M
Total Debt9.67M9.67M4.76M13.62M19.79M8.47M
Total Liabilities29.89M29.89M25.20M33.43M38.60M21.75M
Stockholders Equity101.74M101.74M99.93M98.87M97.01M101.42M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow15.75M15.30M21.58M19.01M10.74M-4.79M
Operating Cash Flow17.44M16.32M23.94M19.51M14.05M-2.52M
Investing Cash Flow-411.00K-948.00K-2.78M-419.00K-3.70M-1.78M
Financing Cash Flow-6.88M-6.78M-7.36M-7.05M-5.17M-4.34M

Asia Grocery Distribution Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.06

Price Trends

50DMA0.06Negative
100DMA0.05Positive
200DMA0.10Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.00Positive
RSI49.27Neutral
STOCH94.44Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:8413, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.06 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.06, below the 50-day MA of 0.06, and below the 200-day MA of 0.10, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.44 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:8413.

Asia Grocery Distribution Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)

Financial Indicators

HK:8413 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:0831HK:083167NeutralHKD 297.52M8.285.61%10.39%1.35%38.28%
HK:2360HK:236065NeutralHKD 1.64B7.5540.50%17.52%1.19%-12.34%
Sector *62Neutral$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
HK:3999HK:399959NeutralHKD 563.98M14.361.54%―4.12%―
HK:8413HK:841355NeutralHKD 65.07M23.332.88%―-6.80%77.78%
HK:2119HK:211945NeutralHKD 320.73M7.717.70%7.12%7.32%-12.97%

* Consumer Defensive Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%HK:8413HK:0831HK:3999HK:2119HK:2360HK:2625Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
HK:8413 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:8413Asia Grocery Distribution Limited0.06-0.06-50.88%
HK:0831Convenience Retail Asia Limited0.390.0930.07%
HK:3999Dachan Food (Asia) Limited0.56-0.10-15.91%
HK:2119Tsit Wing International Holdings Limited0.45-0.07-13.42%
HK:2360Best Mart 360 Holdings Ltd.1.66-0.19-10.05%
HK:2625Jiangsu Horizon Chain Supermarket Company Limited Class H0.77-2.86-78.93%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 18, 2026