TipRanks
Go Ultimate55% OFF

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Co (6868) AI Stock Analysis

HK:6868

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Co

(HKEX:6868)

Select Model
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:HKD 2.50â–¼(-3.85% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/07/26

The score is held back mainly by declining revenue, weaker margins, and a bearish technical trend. A solid balance sheet, healthy cash flow, and a supportive dividend help offset those risks, while valuation is only moderate.

Positive Factors
Strong cash generationFree cash flow nearly equals reported net income (~0.95x) and 2025 FCF is very strong, indicating high earnings quality and real cash conversion. This durable cash generation supports debt servicing, capex, and shareholder returns and provides funding flexibility over coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Meaningful revenue declineA sizable revenue drop in 2025 signals weakening top-line momentum and potential demand or market-share pressures. Persistent revenue contraction undermines operating leverage and makes sustaining margins and reinvestment harder, posing a lasting headwind over the next several quarters.

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Co (6868) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%HK:6868-6.68%EWH+7.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
HKD 2.81B
Dividend Yield
4.23%
Average Volume (3M)
15.68K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
19.9
Beta (1Y)
0.15
Revenue Growth
-7.14%
EPS Growth
5.00%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
3,142
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Sector Strength
62
Industry
Packaged Foods

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Company Limited, along with its group entities, functions as a prominent enterprise specializing in traditional Chinese tea products. The company is involved in the sale and promotion of a diverse range of tea items, while als...

How the Company Makes Money

Tenfu primarily makes money by selling tea and tea-related products to consumers through multiple channels. Its key revenue stream is product sales via (1) offline retail stores, where revenue is recognized from in-store purchases of packaged teas an...

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Balance sheet strength and improving cash generation support the score, but steady revenue declines and margin erosion limit upside.

Income Statement

45Neutral

Balance Sheet

72Positive

Cash Flow

68Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.27B1.33B1.56B1.73B1.72B1.92B
Gross Profit628.36M696.99M806.33M940.42M920.12M1.14B
EBITDA293.31M324.96M382.36M484.11M455.94M684.89M
Net Income119.96M122.57M138.88M213.24M206.45M359.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.94B2.92B2.97B3.00B3.14B3.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments788.11M587.93M361.98M278.45M352.59M373.38M
Total Debt775.04M651.41M734.06M681.44M855.71M757.62M
Total Liabilities1.19B1.13B1.21B1.22B1.37B1.38B
Stockholders Equity1.75B1.79B1.77B1.79B1.77B1.83B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow262.25M393.73M203.59M406.71M307.78M211.99M
Operating Cash Flow305.08M416.25M280.71M488.85M405.29M308.58M
Investing Cash Flow-27.70M-30.00M-9.42M-129.15M-38.93M-114.14M
Financing Cash Flow-109.70M-213.62M-206.21M-435.17M-272.98M-314.12M

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price2.60

Price Trends

50DMA2.60Negative
100DMA2.62Negative
200DMA2.68Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.01Negative
RSI54.48Neutral
STOCH86.67Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:6868, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.60 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.57, below the 50-day MA of 2.60, and below the 200-day MA of 2.68, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.67 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HK:6868.

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)

Financial Indicators

HK:6868 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:0345HK:034575OutperformHKD 6.21B23.639.30%2.85%-3.39%20.09%
HK:2555HK:255575OutperformHKD 5.94B6.2120.60%9.99%14.30%49.94%
HK:0151HK:015170OutperformHKD 32.92B5.7825.72%3.82%5.80%-9.69%
Sector *62Neutral$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
HK:0322HK:032257NeutralHKD 71.31B12.7833.44%3.64%3.53%17.26%
HK:6868HK:686856NeutralHKD 2.80B19.916.79%4.23%-7.14%5.00%
HK:8241HK:824138UnderperformHKD 52.08M-1.87124.75%―-4.28%-65.10%

* Consumer Defensive Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-40%-20%0%20%40%HK:6868HK:0151HK:0322HK:0345HK:8241HK:2555Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HK:6868 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:6868Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Co 2.60-0.23-8.26%
HK:0151Want Want China2.83-2.09-42.54%
HK:0322Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding Corp12.652.5024.68%
HK:0345Vitasoy International Holdings 6.14-1.21-16.39%
HK:8241Ying Kee Tea House Group Ltd.0.140.0110.77%
HK:2555Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial Co., Ltd. Class H4.04-2.97-42.38%

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Co Corporate Events

Tenfu (Cayman) Sets August Board Meeting to Review Interim Results and Dividend

Aug 5, 2026

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Company Limited, a Hong Kong-listed enterprise incorporated in the Cayman Islands, is governed by a board that includes executive, non-executive and independent non-executive directors. The structure reflects standard corporat...

Tenfu Confirms Ongoing Compliance With Taiwan–Mainland Investment Rules

Jul 8, 2026

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Company Limited has reported that, for the period from 1 January 2026 to 30 June 2026, it made no injections of listing proceeds into its PRC subsidiaries. As a result, the company confirms that its Taiwanese founding members...

Tenfu (Cayman) Switches Hong Kong Share Registrar to Union Registrars

May 15, 2026

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Company Limited has announced a change to its Hong Kong Branch Share Registrar and Transfer Office, appointing Union Registrars Limited as its new service provider with effect from 16 June 2026. From that date, all application...

Tenfu Clarifies Tea Processing Caps and Tightens Controls After Listing Rules Lapse

May 11, 2026

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings has clarified how it set renewed annual caps under its Samoa Master Processing Agreement, underpinning expanded use of Samoa Group’s Yunnan Shuangjiang factory, which began operating in April 2025 to process Pu’er...

Tenfu Shareholders Approve Dividend, Board Mandates at AGM

May 11, 2026

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings said shareholders approved all resolutions at its 11 May 2026 annual general meeting, including adoption of the 2025 audited accounts and a final dividend of HK$0.09 per share. Investors also backed the re-election of director...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 04, 2026