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Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Co (6868) AI Stock Analysis

1 Followers
HK:6868

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Co

(HKEX:6868)

Select Model
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:HKD 3.00â–²(17.19% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

The score is primarily supported by a stable balance sheet, improving operating cash flow, and an attractive dividend yield. Persistent revenue declines and margin pressure are the main risks, while technical trends remain mixed and valuation is fair rather than clearly discounted.

Positive Factors
Strong Cash GenerationStrong operating and free cash flow indicate that reported earnings are converting effectively into cash. This supports debt service, shareholder returns, and internally funded investment, giving the company meaningful financial flexibility over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Revenue ContractionThe sustained deterioration in sales signals weaker recent demand and makes future growth less dependable. Continued revenue contraction could reduce operating leverage, limit reinvestment capacity, and make it harder for the company to restore prior levels of earnings performance.

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Co (6868) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%HK:6868-2.77%EWH+8.68%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
HKD 2.81B
Dividend Yield
4.30%
Average Volume (3M)
15.71K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
19.7
Beta (1Y)
0.15
Revenue Growth
-7.14%
EPS Growth
5.00%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
3,142
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Sector Strength
62
Industry
Packaged Foods

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Company Limited, along with its group entities, functions as a prominent enterprise specializing in traditional Chinese tea products. The company is involved in the sale and promotion of a diverse range of tea items, while als...

How the Company Makes Money

Tenfu primarily makes money by selling tea and tea-related products to consumers through multiple channels. Its key revenue streams are: (1) retail sales through its network of branded physical stores, where revenue is recognized from direct-to-consu...

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Stable balance-sheet leverage and recovering operating cash flow are offset by steadily declining revenue and contracting gross margins. The score reflects moderate financial resilience with meaningful top-line risk.

Income Statement

45Neutral

Balance Sheet

72Positive

Cash Flow

68Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.27B1.33B1.56B1.73B1.72B1.92B
Gross Profit628.36M696.99M806.33M940.42M920.12M1.14B
EBITDA293.31M324.96M382.36M484.11M455.94M684.89M
Net Income119.96M122.57M138.88M213.24M206.45M359.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.94B2.92B2.97B3.00B3.14B3.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments788.11M587.93M361.98M278.45M352.59M373.38M
Total Debt775.04M651.41M734.06M681.44M855.71M757.62M
Total Liabilities1.19B1.13B1.21B1.22B1.37B1.38B
Stockholders Equity1.75B1.79B1.77B1.79B1.77B1.83B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow262.25M393.73M203.59M406.71M307.78M211.99M
Operating Cash Flow305.08M416.25M280.71M488.85M405.29M308.58M
Investing Cash Flow-27.70M-30.00M-9.42M-129.15M-38.93M-114.14M
Financing Cash Flow-109.70M-213.62M-206.21M-435.17M-272.98M-314.12M

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price2.56

Price Trends

50DMA2.59Negative
100DMA2.61Negative
200DMA2.68Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.00Negative
RSI46.54Neutral
STOCH40.00Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:6868, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.56 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.57, below the 50-day MA of 2.59, and below the 200-day MA of 2.68, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:6868.

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)

Financial Indicators

HK:6868 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:0345HK:034575OutperformHKD 6.15B23.489.30%2.86%-3.39%20.09%
HK:0322HK:032274OutperformHKD 75.88B13.8133.44%3.42%3.53%17.26%
HK:2555HK:255574OutperformHKD 5.94B5.9720.60%9.90%14.30%49.94%
HK:0151HK:015170OutperformHKD 33.73B5.8425.72%3.79%5.80%-9.69%
HK:6868HK:686863NeutralHKD 2.79B19.666.79%4.30%-7.14%5.00%
Sector *62Neutral$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
HK:8241HK:824141NeutralHKD 50.63M-1.81124.75%―-4.28%-65.10%

* Consumer Defensive Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-25%0%25%50%HK:6868HK:0151HK:0322HK:0345HK:8241HK:2555Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
HK:6868 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:6868Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Co 2.56-0.13-4.83%
HK:0151Want Want China2.85-2.16-43.04%
HK:0322Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding Corp13.652.3620.91%
HK:0345Vitasoy International Holdings 6.11-1.04-14.56%
HK:8241Ying Kee Tea House Group Ltd.0.140.0216.67%
HK:2555Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial Co., Ltd. Class H4.04-2.87-41.58%

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Co Corporate Events

Tenfu (Cayman) Holds Earnings Steady Amid Revenue Decline, Declares Interim Dividend

Aug 17, 2026

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings reported interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026 showing revenue of RMB624.5 million, down 7.2% year on year, with gross profit falling 9.5% to RMB320.5 million and gross margin slipping to 51.3%. Profit attribut...

Tenfu (Cayman) Declares Interim Dividend for First Half of 2026

Aug 17, 2026

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Company Limited has declared an interim ordinary cash dividend of HKD 0.02 per share for the six months ended 30 June 2026, for the financial year ending 31 December 2026. The dividend will be paid in Hong Kong dollars, with a...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026