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Top Spring International Holdings Limited (3688) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:3688

Top Spring International Holdings Limited

(HKEX:3688)

Select Model
Rating:39Underperform
Price Target:HKD 0.14▼(-6.21% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/03/26

The score is driven primarily by severe financial deterioration, including substantial losses, rising leverage, shrinking equity, and negative operating cash flow. Bearish technical trends and the negative P/E ratio provide additional downside evidence, partly offset by oversold momentum readings.

Positive Factors
Diversified Property Revenue ModelThe combination of property development and investment or operating activities gives the company more than one route to generate revenue. Development can provide project-based sales, while leased or operated assets may support recurring income, creating a potentially durable operating base.
Negative Factors
Severe Profitability DeteriorationThe shift from positive gross margins in 2021–2022 to deeply negative margins in 2023–2025 represents a fundamental deterioration in earnings quality. The approximately -202% net margin in 2025 indicates losses are overwhelming revenue, limiting retained capital and weakening near-term financial resilience.

Top Spring International Holdings Limited (3688) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%HK:3688-65.48%EWH+6.73%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
HKD 204.85M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
92.38K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.1
Beta (1Y)
-0.07
Revenue Growth
-38.81%
EPS Growth
-39.14%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
705
Sector
Real Estate
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Real Estate - Development

Top Spring International Holdings Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Top Spring International Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company, primarily focusing on real estate development within the People's Republic of China. Its diverse operations are categorized into four main segments: property develop...

How the Company Makes Money

Top Spring International Holdings Limited primarily generates revenue from real-estate-related activities. Key ways it makes money typically include (i) property development: selling developed residential/commercial properties, where revenue is recog...

Top Spring International Holdings Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Severe deterioration across profitability, balance-sheet strength, and cash generation: revenue and margins collapsed, losses deepened, leverage increased, equity contracted, and operating cash flow turned negative.

Income Statement

25Negative

Balance Sheet

45Neutral

Cash Flow

30Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.25B1.44B1.37B954.32M3.67B638.96M
Gross Profit-939.68M-610.04M-116.77M-253.78M594.23M320.17M
EBITDA-1.35B-1.17B-524.43M-512.76M338.40M297.73M
Net Income-2.68B-2.91B-1.83B-876.89M-185.10M33.43M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.15B11.19B16.62B20.04B21.83B28.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments650.73M649.11M379.76M668.03M611.19M1.21B
Total Debt5.36B5.23B6.57B7.29B7.71B10.14B
Total Liabilities8.29B8.09B10.59B11.92B12.55B18.00B
Stockholders Equity3.10B3.30B6.07B8.09B9.22B10.30B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-97.54M-80.17M538.63M349.18M240.49M212.52M
Operating Cash Flow-618.79M-80.17M547.12M352.24M244.43M221.65M
Investing Cash Flow-278.23M23.61M129.72M142.26M1.27B304.26M
Financing Cash Flow948.46M176.96M-953.63M-385.67M-1.99B-1.13B

Top Spring International Holdings Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.14

Price Trends

50DMA0.17Negative
100DMA0.21Negative
200DMA0.26Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.01Positive
RSI35.86Neutral
STOCH24.11Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:3688, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.14 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.15, below the 50-day MA of 0.17, and below the 200-day MA of 0.26, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:3688.

Top Spring International Holdings Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

HK:3688 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *65Neutral$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
HK:2329HK:232945NeutralHKD 515.55M-0.23-24.20%―-58.34%-39.05%
HK:3301HK:330141NeutralHKD 119.52M-0.0143.10%―-66.81%17.12%
HK:1628HK:162840UnderperformHKD 147.26M0.00233.62%―25.99%―
HK:3688HK:368839UnderperformHKD 204.85M-0.08-83.92%―-38.81%-39.14%
HK:2772HK:277238UnderperformHKD 120.79M-0.01592.20%―-55.40%-340.10%
HK:1777HK:177737UnderperformHKD 94.52M0.0040.42%―-15.90%-27.09%

* Real Estate Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%HK:3688HK:2772HK:2329HK:1777HK:1628HK:3301Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
HK:3688 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:3688Top Spring International Holdings Limited0.14-0.28-65.48%
HK:2772Zhongliang Holdings Group Company Limited0.03-0.04-62.32%
HK:2329Guorui Properties Ltd0.120.0112.75%
HK:1777Fantasia Holdings Group Co. Ltd.0.03-0.38-93.66%
HK:1628Yuzhou Group Holdings Co., Ltd.0.10-0.06-37.42%
HK:3301Ronshine China Holdings Ltd.0.07-0.10-55.88%

Top Spring International Holdings Limited Corporate Events

Top Spring International Reshapes Corporate Secretariat and Compliance Leadership

Sep 30, 2026

Top Spring International Holdings Limited has announced a change in key corporate roles, with company secretary and authorised representative Mr Wong Tak Chun resigning from these positions effective 1 October 2026 while retaining his roles as chief...

Top Spring International’s Interim Results Highlight Deepening Revenue Slump and Rising Leverage

Aug 28, 2026

Top Spring International Holdings, a Hong Kong-listed property developer and investor, operates a dual business model of residential property sales and rental-generating assets such as shopping malls, community commercial centres, retail shops, offic...

Top Spring flags sharply narrower interim loss on property revaluation gains

Aug 26, 2026

Top Spring International Holdings Limited has issued a profit alert indicating a substantial narrowing of its interim net loss, with the group expecting to report a loss of about HK$350 million for the six months ended 30 June 2026, compared with a l...

Top Spring Sets Board Meeting to Approve Interim Results and Consider Dividend

Aug 18, 2026

Top Spring International Holdings Limited has scheduled a board meeting for 28 August 2026 to review and approve the unaudited consolidated interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026. The board will also consider declaring an interim divid...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 03, 2026