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Hengdeli Holdings (3389) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:3389

Hengdeli Holdings

(HKEX:3389)

Select Model
Rating:38Underperform
Price Target:HKD 0.07â–¼(-5.56% Downside)
Action:downgraded
Date:10/31/26

The score is weighed down primarily by sharp revenue deterioration and persistent losses. Weak technical momentum and a negative P/E provide additional risks, while the low-debt balance sheet and improving cash flow offer limited offsets.

Positive Factors
Conservative Balance SheetVery low leverage reduces financial risk and preserves flexibility for operations, investment, and recovery efforts. Because debt claims are limited relative to equity, the company should face less interest and refinancing pressure while navigating weak profitability and volatile retail conditions.
Negative Factors
Revenue ContractionRecent revenue contraction signals weaker demand or reduced business scale, limiting the company’s ability to spread fixed costs across sales. Continued top-line weakness would constrain investment, reduce operating leverage, and make a sustained earnings recovery more difficult over the next several quarters.

Hengdeli Holdings (3389) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-50%0%50%100%150%200%250%300%HK:3389+94.59%EWH+10.60%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
HKD 53.29M
Dividend Yield
369.44%
Average Volume (3M)
6.17M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-3.3
Beta (1Y)
0.47
Revenue Growth
-21.99%
EPS Growth
-138.89%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
1,332
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Conglomerates

Hengdeli Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Hengdeli Holdings Limited, alongside its associated companies, primarily operates in the retail and wholesale markets for watches and fine jewelry. The group also undertakes the design, production, and fitting out of commercial spaces. Additionally,...

How the Company Makes Money

Hengdeli Holdings makes money primarily through (1) retail and distribution sales of watches and related products, where revenue is recognized from selling branded/luxury watches to end customers via its retail channels, and (2) watch-related service...

Hengdeli Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

The provided income statement score of 32 is below the permitted range and is floored at 37. Sharp revenue declines and persistent losses outweigh the strong balance sheet and improving but inconsistent cash flow.

Income Statement

32Negative

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

65Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue588.13M648.95M1.04B1.42B1.04B877.99M
Gross Profit150.56M163.55M148.76M215.26M123.59M137.91M
EBITDA-59.47M-49.46M-18.63M90.27M-9.38M95.08M
Net Income-85.04M-26.90M-65.16M33.88M-80.02M26.28M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.17B3.35B3.53B3.60B3.53B3.53B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.29B1.33B1.28B1.32B1.33B946.40M
Total Debt89.29M66.44M82.86M123.76M99.06M97.73M
Total Liabilities213.08M243.26M254.64M353.52M305.96M258.93M
Stockholders Equity2.89B3.03B3.21B3.19B3.16B3.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow47.39M110.50M-125.73M-132.62M177.63M-156.52M
Operating Cash Flow65.41M127.72M-85.70M83.29M237.39M-77.63M
Investing Cash Flow14.12M262.67M21.75M-164.12M68.59M-227.05M
Financing Cash Flow23.37M-21.96M-44.79M-3.41M-24.46M-17.58M

Hengdeli Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.07

Price Trends

50DMA0.11Negative
100DMA0.09Negative
200DMA0.08Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.01Positive
RSI31.85Neutral
STOCH1.74Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:3389, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.07 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.10, below the 50-day MA of 0.11, and below the 200-day MA of 0.08, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 1.74 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:3389.

Hengdeli Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

HK:3389 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:0887HK:088775OutperformHKD 1.79B3.149.96%8.19%8.83%109.28%
HK:0113HK:011371OutperformHKD 2.30B9.206.71%9.20%3.51%27.91%
HK:0398HK:039870NeutralHKD 1.55B8.599.99%6.19%-0.78%-10.18%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
HK:0084HK:008453NeutralHKD 72.09M-1.52-5.18%―0.91%55.64%
HK:0256HK:025649NeutralHKD 581.57M-4.12-3.03%―-4.85%60.69%
HK:3389HK:338938UnderperformHKD 317.09M-3.26-2.87%369.44%-21.99%-138.89%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%HK:3389HK:0256HK:0113HK:0887HK:0398HK:0084Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
HK:3389 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:3389Hengdeli Holdings 0.070.0394.59%
HK:0256Citychamp Watch & Jewellery Group 0.11-0.07-38.59%
HK:0113Dickson Concepts (International) 5.981.1824.45%
HK:0887Emperor Watch & Jewellery 0.25-0.01-4.23%
HK:0398Oriental Watch Holdings 3.180.134.23%
HK:0084Stelux Holdings International Limited0.07-0.00-1.43%

Hengdeli Holdings Corporate Events

Hengdeli Renews Connected Services Deal with Primetime, Sets RMB16m Cap for 2027

Oct 30, 2026

Hengdeli Holdings has renewed its framework agreement with Primetime Group for the provision of shop design and decoration services, extending the relationship for another year from 1 January 2027 to 31 December 2027 on substantially the same terms a...

Hengdeli Shareholders Approve HK$0.266 Special Dividend

Oct 28, 2026

At Hengdeli Holdings Limited, a Cayman Islands-incorporated company listed in Hong Kong under stock code 3389, the core business lies in the retail and distribution of watches and luxury-related goods. The group continues to demonstrate attention to...

Hengdeli Calls EGM to Approve HK$0.266 Special Dividend

Oct 6, 2026

Hengdeli Holdings has called an extraordinary general meeting in Hong Kong on 28 October 2026 for shareholders to vote on a proposed special dividend of HK$0.266 per share to be paid out of the company’s share premium account. Shareholders on t...

Hengdeli Proposes HK$0.266 Per Share Special Dividend From Share Premium

Sep 28, 2026

Hengdeli Holdings Limited has proposed a special cash dividend of HKD 0.266 per share, to be paid out of its share premium account for the financial year ending 31 December 2026, based on the reporting period ended 30 June 2026. The payout underscore...

Hengdeli Proposes HK$1.17 Billion Special Dividend Subject to Shareholder Approval

Sep 28, 2026

Hengdeli Holdings has proposed a special dividend of HK$0.266 per share, to be paid out of its share premium account in recognition of long-term shareholder support, subject to approval at an extraordinary general meeting. Based on the current share...

Hengdeli Board to Weigh Conditional Special Dividend at September Meeting

Sep 15, 2026

Hengdeli Holdings Limited has announced that its board of directors will convene a meeting on 28 September 2026 to consider a potential conditional special dividend to be paid out of the company’s share premium account. The proposed distributio...

Hengdeli Swings to Interim Loss as Revenue Drops Nearly 20%

Aug 20, 2026

Hengdeli Holdings Limited, incorporated in the Cayman Islands and listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, operates as a branded products distributor and retailer primarily serving the Greater China market. The group reports in Renminbi under Hong Kon...

Hengdeli warns of interim loss as sales and investment income weaken

Aug 7, 2026

Hengdeli Holdings has issued a profit warning, telling investors it expects to swing to a loss of at least RMB31 million for the six months ended 30 June 2026, compared with a profit of about RMB26.3 million a year earlier. The deterioration is attri...

Hengdeli Sets August Board Meeting to Approve Interim Results and Consider Dividend

Aug 4, 2026

Hengdeli Holdings has scheduled a board meeting for 20 August 2026 in Hong Kong to review and approve the interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026, covering the company and its subsidiaries. The board will also consider the payment of an...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2026