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Mobvoi, Inc. (2438) AI Stock Analysis

HK:2438

Mobvoi, Inc.

(HKEX:2438)

Select Model
Rating:39Underperform
Price Target:HKD 0.27â–²(3.92% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/15/26

Weak financial performance from revenue contraction and cash burn is the primary drag, compounded by bearish technical signals and poor valuation metrics due to negative earnings.

Positive Factors
Improving ProfitabilityThe substantial reduction in net and operating losses indicates meaningful progress in cost control and operating leverage. A gross margin near 50% provides an economic base for further improvement if revenue stabilizes, helping the company convert product demand into stronger future earnings.
Negative Factors
Revenue ContractionSharp revenue contraction is a durable concern because it suggests weaker demand, reduced commercial scale, or difficulty sustaining product momentum. Lower revenue can dilute fixed-cost absorption and make it harder for improving margins and narrower losses to translate into durable profitability.

Mobvoi, Inc. (2438) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%HK:2438-61.94%EWH+7.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
HKD 394.96M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
1.00M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-2.9
Beta (1Y)
0.91
Revenue Growth
-43.66%
EPS Growth
19.94%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
150
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Software - Infrastructure

Mobvoi, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Mobvoi Inc., an investment holding company, distributes smart devices and various accessories across numerous international markets, including Mainland China, the United States, the United Kingdom, Italy, Spain, Germany, Japan, and Brazil. Beyond har...

How the Company Makes Money

Mobvoi primarily makes money by selling its own branded consumer devices (most notably TicWatch smartwatches) through retail and online channels, where revenue is recognized from hardware product sales. The company may also generate revenue from soft...

Mobvoi, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue declining sharply with persistent net losses, though balance sheet shows positive equity and low debt; negative cash flows pose liquidity risks.

Income Statement

25Negative

Balance Sheet

45Neutral

Cash Flow

20Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue222.86M323.03M390.35M507.06M500.19M397.91M
Gross Profit92.10M161.72M203.41M326.08M336.15M149.20M
EBITDA-71.43M-68.76M-202.52M-789.40M-672.65M-165.42M
Net Income-115.61M-68.85M-721.49M-802.60M-669.80M-276.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets252.59M364.90M525.25M407.14M419.49M606.46M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments174.26M257.05M344.25M226.23M218.36M144.65M
Total Debt24.49M55.53M29.20M3.46M29.57M35.91M
Total Liabilities67.52M131.02M220.95M4.54B3.72B3.53B
Stockholders Equity185.07M233.88M304.30M-4.13B-3.30B-2.92B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-55.91M-98.29M-177.44M21.92M67.27M-40.11M
Operating Cash Flow-54.55M-67.33M-168.74M28.39M72.44M-37.24M
Investing Cash Flow9.44M37.65M-143.67M108.83M-40.45M-21.89M
Financing Cash Flow-23.78M27.87M323.83M-28.98M-125.74M-22.12M

Mobvoi, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.26

Price Trends

50DMA0.29Negative
100DMA0.31Negative
200DMA0.42Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.01Positive
RSI39.27Neutral
STOCH19.01Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:2438, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.26 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.27, below the 50-day MA of 0.29, and below the 200-day MA of 0.42, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.01 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:2438.

Mobvoi, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

HK:2438 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
HK:2495HK:249551NeutralHKD 500.89M2.808.50%―――
HK:2718HK:271848NeutralHKD 4.07B-0.56-261.95%―9.21%-5994.15%
HK:2567HK:256743NeutralHKD 621.09M-11.82-11.42%―――
HK:2438HK:243839UnderperformHKD 394.96M-2.88-55.19%―-43.66%19.94%
HK:2121HK:212139UnderperformHKD 1.90B-5.59-22.29%―26.08%38.72%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-75%-50%-25%0%25%HK:2438HK:2121HK:2495HK:2567HK:9678HK:2718Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HK:2438 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:2438Mobvoi, Inc.0.26-0.39-60.16%
HK:2121AInnovation Technology Group Co., Ltd.3.37-3.18-48.63%
HK:2495Shanghai Voicecomm Information Technology Co Ltd Class H14.10-43.25-75.41%
HK:2567Qiniu Limited0.31-0.47-60.26%
HK:9678Unisound AI Technology Co., Ltd.51.70-474.30-90.17%
HK:2718Mininglamp Technology Class A26.60-264.00-90.85%

Mobvoi, Inc. Corporate Events

Mobvoi Widens Interim Loss as It Pivots to AI Agent-Centric Platform

Aug 28, 2026

Mobvoi reported interim unaudited results for the first half of 2026 showing revenue of RMB78.7 million and a widened loss of RMB49.6 million, reflecting pressure from a strategic overhaul and the early-stage commercialization of new offerings. Manag...

Mobvoi Warns of Wider Interim Loss Amid Strategic Pivot to Core AI Ecosystem

Aug 21, 2026

Mobvoi Inc., incorporated in the Cayman Islands and listed in Hong Kong, operates in the artificial intelligence software and smart hardware industry. The group is building an AI-centric business ecosystem, with its AI Agent technology at the core, f...

Mobvoi Sets Board Meeting to Approve Interim 2026 Results

Aug 18, 2026

Mobvoi Inc. has scheduled a board meeting for August 28, 2026 to review and approve the unaudited interim results for the six months ended June 30, 2026. Following board approval, the company plans to publish these interim financial results, which wi...

Mobvoi Grants 46 Million RSU Award Shares Under Post-IPO Incentive Scheme

Jul 28, 2026

Mobvoi Inc. has granted 46,195,097 award shares under its post-IPO RSU scheme to 16 participants, including two executive directors and substantial shareholders, 13 other employees, and one service provider, with no purchase price attached. The award...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 15, 2026