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China Sunshine Paper Holdings Co. Ltd. (2002) AI Stock Analysis

1 Followers
HK:2002

China Sunshine Paper Holdings Co. Ltd.

(HKEX:2002)

Select Model
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:HKD 2.00â–²(17.65% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/24/26

The overall score of 57 reflects a stark contrast between severe fundamental risks and positive market dynamics. The primary drag on the score is a markedly deteriorating financial profile characterized by negative cash flows, contracting margins, and rising debt. Conversely, the stock is partially supported by an attractive P/E valuation and strong upward price momentum.

Positive Factors
Resilient Gross MarginMaintaining mid-teen gross margins through 2023–2025 indicates the company retains some product economics despite weaker revenue and earnings. This provides a foundation for recovery if pricing, volumes, or industry conditions improve, while supporting ongoing operations and reinvestment.
Negative Factors
Profitability CompressionThe sharp decline in net and EBIT margins shows that the company's earnings power is materially below its 2020–2021 levels. Thin current margins leave less room to absorb operating pressure, reduce internally funded growth capacity, and make sustained recovery dependent on better pricing, volumes, or cost conditions.

China Sunshine Paper Holdings Co. Ltd. (2002) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-60%-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%HK:2002+2.41%EWH+8.17%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
HKD 1.81B
Dividend Yield
2.96%
Average Volume (3M)
286.70K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
11.2
Beta (1Y)
0.23
Revenue Growth
14.95%
EPS Growth
-15.17%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
4,500
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Paper, Lumber & Forest Products

China Sunshine Paper Holdings Co. Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

China Sunshine Paper Holdings Company Limited is an international enterprise primarily involved in the manufacturing and distribution of diverse paper products. Its extensive portfolio encompasses white top linerboards, both standard and coated varia...

China Sunshine Paper Holdings Co. Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is severely constrained by a downward trajectory in revenue, structurally weak margins, and high leverage. Alarmingly, operating cash flow has collapsed, leading to deeply negative free cash flow and significant liquidity risks.

Income Statement

35Negative

Balance Sheet

38Negative

Cash Flow

25Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.52B7.79B8.05B8.36B9.54B7.98B
Gross Profit1.07B1.09B1.20B1.31B1.16B1.53B
EBITDA600.77M734.35M777.49M1.19B918.92M1.24B
Net Income134.42M159.90M279.87M393.31M205.73M556.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.08B13.54B12.11B12.16B12.10B11.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.05B2.92B1.15B1.59B868.93M840.09M
Total Debt6.59B6.50B5.11B5.18B5.56B4.71B
Total Liabilities8.70B8.22B6.81B7.19B7.68B6.94B
Stockholders Equity4.90B4.84B4.85B4.57B4.09B3.78B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-680.81M-582.25M86.51M870.30M-111.79M-50.98M
Operating Cash Flow77.70M113.71M680.54M1.41B546.40M1.07B
Investing Cash Flow-1.19B-791.12M-884.63M-118.01M-1.13B-1.39B
Financing Cash Flow1.31B853.55M-228.69M-559.81M607.55M536.07M

China Sunshine Paper Holdings Co. Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price1.70

Price Trends

50DMA1.51Positive
100DMA1.22Positive
200DMA1.18Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.04Positive
RSI60.47Neutral
STOCH74.00Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:2002, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.70 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.69, above the 50-day MA of 1.51, and above the 200-day MA of 1.18, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:2002.

China Sunshine Paper Holdings Co. Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

HK:2002 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:8481HK:848162NeutralHKD 121.55M3.0113.82%―-5.13%-4.83%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
HK:2314HK:231461NeutralHKD 13.89B5.417.88%6.52%13.69%83.56%
HK:2002HK:200257NeutralHKD 1.80B11.152.76%2.96%14.95%-15.17%
HK:2689HK:268949NeutralHKD 20.90B4.767.96%―22.31%109.79%
HK:0731HK:073140UnderperformHKD 323.94M-3.15-55.61%―27.73%-478.69%
HK:1812HK:181240UnderperformHKD 4.10B-1.42-814.38%―4.20%52.87%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%HK:2002HK:2314HK:2689HK:1812HK:0731HK:8481Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
HK:2002 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:2002China Sunshine Paper Holdings Co. Ltd.1.700.021.19%
HK:2314Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing 3.140.3713.15%
HK:2689Nine Dragons Paper Holdings Ltd.4.25-1.79-29.67%
HK:1812Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Co., Ltd. Class H0.36-0.43-53.80%
HK:0731C&D Newin Paper & Pulp Corporation Limited0.220.013.32%
HK:8481Shenglong Splendecor International Limited0.30-0.29-49.15%

China Sunshine Paper Holdings Co. Ltd. Corporate Events

China Sunshine Paper Secures RMB170 Million via Sale-and-Leaseback of Key Mill Assets

Sep 28, 2026

China Sunshine Paper’s wholly owned unit Numat Paper has entered into a finance lease arrangement with FEHX involving core production equipment for coated white top linerboard at its Shandong plant. Under the deal, Numat Paper will sell these assets...

China Sunshine Paper Unit Strikes RMB120m Finance Lease for Linerboard Equipment

Aug 31, 2026

China Sunshine Paper’s wholly owned unit Numat Paper has entered into a finance lease arrangement with Ping An International Financial Leasing involving key equipment used for coated white top linerboard production in Shandong. The leased assets incl...

China Sunshine Paper lifts revenue but profit drops on higher costs

Aug 28, 2026

China Sunshine Paper Holdings reported interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026, showing revenue of RMB4.30 billion, up 20.2% from a year earlier, while gross profit slipped 3.5% to RMB519.6 million. Profit attributable to shareholders f...

China Sunshine Paper Schedules Board Meeting to Review Interim Results and Dividend

Aug 17, 2026

China Sunshine Paper Holdings Company Limited has called a board meeting for 28 August 2026 to review and approve the unaudited interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026. The directors will also consider whether to declare an interim divi...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 24, 2026