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China Sunshine Paper Holdings Co. Ltd. (2002) AI Stock Analysis

1 Followers
HK:2002

China Sunshine Paper Holdings Co. Ltd.

(HKEX:2002)

Select Model
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:HKD 2.00â–²(18.34% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/24/26

The overall score is driven by a stark contrast between strong market sentiment and weak fundamentals. The stock's powerful bullish technical momentum and attractive low P/E valuation are the primary positive factors. However, these are significantly offset by the company's deteriorating financial health, particularly its deeply negative free cash flow and declining profitability, which represent substantial underlying risk.

Positive Factors
Resilient gross and EBITDA marginsMid-teen gross margins and an 8.7% EBITDA margin indicate that the core paper operation still retains operating profitability before capital investment. This provides some cushion against earnings pressure and preserves a base for recovery if pricing or volumes improve.
Negative Factors
Material profitability deteriorationThe sustained decline in net and EBIT margins shows that the company is generating substantially less profit from its revenue and asset base than in earlier years. Persistent margin compression reduces earnings resilience, limits reinvestment capacity, and makes recovery more dependent on improved pricing or volumes.

China Sunshine Paper Holdings Co. Ltd. (2002) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-60%-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%HK:2002+0.60%EWH+6.73%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
HKD 1.80B
Dividend Yield
3.01%
Average Volume (3M)
282.99K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
11.1
Beta (1Y)
0.24
Revenue Growth
14.95%
EPS Growth
-15.17%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
4,500
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Paper, Lumber & Forest Products

China Sunshine Paper Holdings Co. Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

China Sunshine Paper Holdings Company Limited is an international enterprise primarily involved in the manufacturing and distribution of diverse paper products. Its extensive portfolio encompasses white top linerboards, both standard and coated varia...

China Sunshine Paper Holdings Co. Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is weak. The Income Statement (Score 32) shows declining revenue and compressed margins. The Cash Flow Statement (Score 22) is a major red flag, with deeply negative free cash flow indicating poor cash conversion. The Balance Sheet (Score 42) is the only relative bright spot, but low returns on equity and rising leverage limit its strength.

Income Statement

32Negative

Balance Sheet

42Neutral

Cash Flow

22Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.52B7.79B8.05B8.36B9.54B7.98B
Gross Profit1.07B1.09B1.20B1.31B1.16B1.53B
EBITDA600.77M734.35M777.49M1.19B918.92M1.24B
Net Income134.42M159.90M279.87M393.31M205.73M556.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.08B13.54B12.11B12.16B12.10B11.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.05B2.92B1.15B1.59B868.93M840.09M
Total Debt6.59B6.50B5.11B5.18B5.56B4.71B
Total Liabilities8.70B8.22B6.81B7.19B7.68B6.94B
Stockholders Equity4.90B4.84B4.85B4.57B4.09B3.78B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-680.81M-582.25M86.51M870.30M-111.79M-50.98M
Operating Cash Flow77.70M113.71M680.54M1.41B546.40M1.07B
Investing Cash Flow-1.19B-791.12M-884.63M-118.01M-1.13B-1.39B
Financing Cash Flow1.31B853.55M-228.69M-559.81M607.55M536.07M

China Sunshine Paper Holdings Co. Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price1.69

Price Trends

50DMA1.49Positive
100DMA1.21Positive
200DMA1.18Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.05Positive
RSI59.35Neutral
STOCH64.40Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:2002, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.69 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.69, above the 50-day MA of 1.49, and above the 200-day MA of 1.18, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:2002.

China Sunshine Paper Holdings Co. Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

HK:2002 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:2002HK:200265NeutralHKD 1.77B11.102.76%3.01%14.95%-15.17%
HK:8481HK:848163NeutralHKD 111.42M3.0213.82%―-5.13%-4.83%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
HK:2314HK:231461NeutralHKD 13.92B5.587.88%6.33%13.69%83.56%
HK:2689HK:268949NeutralHKD 21.44B4.997.96%―22.31%109.79%
HK:0731HK:073141NeutralHKD 323.94M-3.30-55.61%―27.73%-478.69%
HK:1812HK:181241NeutralHKD 4.16B-1.77-814.38%―4.20%52.87%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%HK:2002HK:2314HK:2689HK:1812HK:0731HK:8481Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
HK:2002 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:2002China Sunshine Paper Holdings Co. Ltd.1.690.010.60%
HK:2314Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing 3.230.4415.78%
HK:2689Nine Dragons Paper Holdings Ltd.4.46-1.59-26.36%
HK:1812Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Co., Ltd. Class H0.40-0.42-51.22%
HK:0731C&D Newin Paper & Pulp Corporation Limited0.230.028.53%
HK:8481Shenglong Splendecor International Limited0.30-0.29-49.15%

China Sunshine Paper Holdings Co. Ltd. Corporate Events

China Sunshine Paper Secures RMB170 Million via Sale-and-Leaseback of Key Mill Assets

Sep 28, 2026

China Sunshine Paper’s wholly owned unit Numat Paper has entered into a finance lease arrangement with FEHX involving core production equipment for coated white top linerboard at its Shandong plant. Under the deal, Numat Paper will sell these assets...

China Sunshine Paper Unit Strikes RMB120m Finance Lease for Linerboard Equipment

Aug 31, 2026

China Sunshine Paper’s wholly owned unit Numat Paper has entered into a finance lease arrangement with Ping An International Financial Leasing involving key equipment used for coated white top linerboard production in Shandong. The leased assets incl...

China Sunshine Paper lifts revenue but profit drops on higher costs

Aug 28, 2026

China Sunshine Paper Holdings reported interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026, showing revenue of RMB4.30 billion, up 20.2% from a year earlier, while gross profit slipped 3.5% to RMB519.6 million. Profit attributable to shareholders f...

China Sunshine Paper Schedules Board Meeting to Review Interim Results and Dividend

Aug 17, 2026

China Sunshine Paper Holdings Company Limited has called a board meeting for 28 August 2026 to review and approve the unaudited interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026. The directors will also consider whether to declare an interim divi...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 24, 2026