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KWG Group Holdings (1813) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:1813

KWG Group Holdings

(HKEX:1813)

Select Model
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:HKD 0.08â–¼(-2.38% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/14/26

The score is primarily held back by weak financial performance—especially extreme leverage and ongoing losses alongside declining revenue. Technicals show some short-term improvement (price above 20/50-day averages and positive MACD), but the longer-term trend remains weak. Valuation provides little support because earnings are negative and no dividend yield is available.

Positive Factors
Positive Cash GenerationSustained positive operating cash flow and improving free cash flow provide an internal source of funding despite reported losses. This can support ongoing operations and reduce reliance on external financing, although the benefit remains constrained by the company’s very high leverage and historical cash-flow volatility.
Negative Factors
Extreme LeverageThe sharp increase in debt relative to a shrinking equity base leaves KWG with a very thin financial buffer. Such leverage heightens refinancing and solvency risk, limits flexibility to invest or absorb weaker operating conditions, and makes future performance highly dependent on continued funding access.

KWG Group Holdings (1813) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%HK:1813-63.64%EWH+8.17%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
HKD 40.07M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
1.24M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.1
Beta (1Y)
1.24
Revenue Growth
-48.10%
EPS Growth
-106.59%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
1,600
Sector
Real Estate
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Real Estate - Development

KWG Group Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

KWG Group Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the property development and investment, and hotel operation businesses in Mainland China and Hong Kong. The company's property portfolio consists of mid- to high-end residential...

KWG Group Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Overall fundamentals are weak: revenue has fallen sharply (about -31% YoY in 2025) and the company remains deeply loss-making with negative margins. The balance sheet is the biggest risk, with extremely high leverage (debt-to-equity rising to ~43x in 2025) and a thin equity buffer. Positive operating and free cash flow in 2022–2025 provides some support, but does not offset solvency/refinancing risk.

Income Statement

12Very Negative

Balance Sheet

9Very Negative

Cash Flow

38Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.85B6.76B11.06B15.81B13.45B23.84B
Gross Profit-997.31M-1.45B1.89B-2.64B-2.10B5.05B
EBITDA-2.31B-2.94B-4.53B-14.42B-10.18B1.36B
Net Income-3.78B-3.27B-8.09B-18.73B-9.24B2.42B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets144.98B147.63B153.34B167.47B199.88B232.25B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments719.17M634.66M787.45M10.78B21.48B38.37B
Total Debt72.22B73.69B73.01B73.91B76.29B78.16B
Total Liabilities139.49B140.98B144.20B149.39B159.68B172.55B
Stockholders Equity584.92M1.70B4.00B12.73B31.50B44.32B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.14B2.20B1.66B985.27M10.04B-1.93B
Operating Cash Flow1.15B2.22B1.93B1.07B11.23B-21.82M
Investing Cash Flow-553.04M-600.16M-55.02M1.81B-2.81B-34.09B
Financing Cash Flow-629.48M-1.59B-2.51B-5.46B-12.83B1.23B

KWG Group Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.08

Price Trends

50DMA0.09Negative
100DMA0.10Negative
200DMA0.13Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.00Positive
RSI39.80Neutral
STOCH8.64Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1813, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.09, below the 50-day MA of 0.09, and below the 200-day MA of 0.13, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.64 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:1813.

KWG Group Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

HK:1813 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *65Neutral$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
HK:1243HK:124348NeutralHKD 395.20M-0.43-32.31%―11.33%6.38%
HK:1628HK:162848NeutralHKD 141.37M0.00233.62%―25.99%―
HK:1813HK:181346NeutralHKD 286.98M-0.06-330.41%―-48.10%-106.59%
HK:2329HK:232945NeutralHKD 471.11M-0.21-24.20%―-58.34%-39.05%
HK:3688HK:368839UnderperformHKD 204.85M-0.08-83.92%―-38.81%-39.14%
HK:1777HK:177737UnderperformHKD 94.52M0.0040.42%―-15.90%-27.09%

* Real Estate Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%HK:1813HK:2329HK:1777HK:1243HK:1628HK:3688Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
HK:1813 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:1813KWG Group Holdings0.08-0.15-64.56%
HK:2329Guorui Properties Ltd0.110.016.00%
HK:1777Fantasia Holdings Group Co. Ltd.0.03-0.37-93.48%
HK:1243Wang On Properties Ltd.0.03-0.01-31.58%
HK:1628Yuzhou Group Holdings Co., Ltd.0.10-0.05-34.69%
HK:3688Top Spring International Holdings Limited0.14-0.28-65.48%

KWG Group Holdings Corporate Events

KWG October Pre-Sales Plunge 72.5% Year on Year

Nov 9, 2026

KWG Group Holdings is a China-focused property developer involved primarily in residential and commercial real estate development. Its reported operating performance covers the Group together with its joint ventures and associates.The group recorded...

KWG Group Hearing on Winding-Up Petition Deferred to December

Oct 14, 2026

KWG Group Holdings has disclosed that the High Court has rescheduled the hearing of a winding-up petition against the company to 14 December 2026, extending a legal process that has been ongoing through multiple prior announcements. The company pledg...

KWG Group’s September Pre-Sales Slump Highlights Ongoing Property Market Strain

Oct 13, 2026

KWG Group Holdings reported unaudited pre-sales value of RMB200 million for September 2026 from its subsidiaries, joint ventures and associates, marking a steep year-on-year decline of 73.2%. Over the same period, the group’s pre-sales area reached a...

KWG Group Wins Strong Creditor Backing as Consent Fee Window Closes in Offshore Debt Revamp

Sep 28, 2026

KWG Group Holdings has reported that consent fee deadlines under its offshore debt restructuring support agreement have expired, with about 76.33% of its in-scope offshore debt now represented by creditors who have acceded. This high participation ra...

KWG Group’s August Pre-Sales Slump Signals Mounting Pressure in China Property Market

Sep 8, 2026

KWG Group Holdings reported unaudited operating data for August 2026 showing pre-sales value of RMB161 million, a steep 73.6% decline from a year earlier, and pre-sales area of about 9,200 square meters, down 62.9% year-on-year. The company cautioned...

KWG Group Extends Consent Deadline as Offshore Debt Restructuring Gains Majority Support

Sep 7, 2026

KWG Group Holdings has secured the support of holders representing about 75.47% of the principal amount of its in-scope offshore debt for its restructuring support agreement, underscoring significant creditor participation in its ongoing debt workout...

KWG Group widens interim loss as property headwinds and debt costs persist

Aug 27, 2026

KWG Group Holdings reported unaudited interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026, showing revenue of RMB1.88 billion, down sharply from RMB3.79 billion a year earlier, but with gross profit improving to RMB295 million as cost of sales fell...

KWG Group Updates Auditor Name in Administrative Change

Aug 25, 2026

KWG Group Holdings Limited has announced a change in the English and Chinese names of its external auditor, with Prism Hong Kong Limited now operating as CLA Prism Hong Kong Limited in both language versions. The renaming, effective 21 August 2026, i...

KWG Group Extends Consent Deadline as Majority of Offshore Creditors Back Debt Restructuring

Aug 24, 2026

KWG Group Holdings has secured support from holders of approximately 75.33% of its in-scope offshore debt to accede to its restructuring support agreement, underscoring substantial creditor alignment around its ongoing offshore debt restructuring. Th...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 14, 2026