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Modern Chinese Medicine Group Co. Ltd. (HK:1643)
:1643
Hong Kong Market
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Modern Chinese Medicine Group Co. Ltd. (1643) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:1643

Modern Chinese Medicine Group Co. Ltd.

(1643)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
HK$0.56
â–²(9.22% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/13/26
The score is primarily held back by sharply weakening financial performance (revenue decline, margin compression, and a move to losses) and pressured cash generation (negative free cash flow in the last two years). Technicals add further downside risk with a sustained downtrend (price below key moving averages and negative MACD), while the strong low-debt balance sheet provides some stability but does not fully offset the current earnings and cash-flow weakness.
Positive Factors
Low leverage
Extremely low leverage gives the company meaningful financial flexibility and keeps solvency risk limited even while earnings are under pressure. A strong equity-funded balance sheet can support product development, operations, or recovery investments without the added burden of substantial interest costs or refinancing exposure.
Negative Factors
Revenue contraction
A sharp revenue decline over multiple years points to a sustained weakening in demand, product mix, or distribution performance rather than a single isolated fluctuation. Lower sales reduce operating leverage and make it harder for the company to absorb fixed costs, rebuild margins, and restore earnings over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Low leverage
Extremely low leverage gives the company meaningful financial flexibility and keeps solvency risk limited even while earnings are under pressure. A strong equity-funded balance sheet can support product development, operations, or recovery investments without the added burden of substantial interest costs or refinancing exposure.
Read all positive factors

Modern Chinese Medicine Group Co. Ltd. (1643) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Modern Chinese Medicine Group Co. Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
As an investment holding company, Modern Chinese Medicine Group Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes traditional Chinese pharmaceutical products, primarily targeting the middle-aged and elderly populations across the People's Republic of China. ...
How the Company Makes Money
The company makes money mainly by selling traditional Chinese medicine products and related healthcare products through its distribution channels. Its revenue model is primarily product-driven: it generates revenue when it delivers finished TCM/pr...

Modern Chinese Medicine Group Co. Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are weakened by a sharp operating deterioration: revenue fell ~30% in 2025 vs 2024 and profitability swung to a net loss with meaningful gross margin compression. The balance sheet is a major offset (debt-to-equity effectively near zero), but cash generation has been pressured with negative free cash flow in 2024–2025, increasing execution risk despite positive operating cash flow in 2025.
Income Statement
33
Negative
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Cash Flow
40
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue197.74M141.42M214.07M344.07M399.66M360.69M
Gross Profit27.30M22.73M55.20M104.17M170.79M158.43M
EBITDA-12.59M-4.63M33.10M74.75M130.03M117.02M
Net Income-41.67M-13.21M9.67M48.80M87.83M81.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets499.10M543.63M540.31M528.53M501.53M395.94M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments119.66M229.81M229.67M286.27M282.26M176.09M
Total Debt1.20M69.03K135.00K72.00K393.00K410.00K
Total Liabilities30.79M45.43M56.08M55.64M78.60M58.58M
Stockholders Equity468.31M498.20M484.23M472.89M422.93M337.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-126.10M-16.58M-55.32M3.38M114.06M-12.87M
Operating Cash Flow-105.08M4.85M58.98M8.48M125.79M57.60M
Investing Cash Flow-84.87M-35.37M-115.49M-4.19M-11.05M-70.05M
Financing Cash Flow26.28M28.68M-144.00K-326.00K-8.73M115.76M

Modern Chinese Medicine Group Co. Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.51
Price Trends
50DMA
0.78
Negative
100DMA
1.12
Negative
200DMA
1.35
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Positive
RSI
31.27
Neutral
STOCH
26.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1643, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.51 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.71, below the 50-day MA of 0.78, and below the 200-day MA of 1.35, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:1643.

Modern Chinese Medicine Group Co. Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
HK$744.82M7.4713.59%7.74%10.63%39.44%
68
Neutral
HK$662.44M3.988.02%5.13%7.05%22.46%
64
Neutral
HK$3.91B11.084.19%6.77%-13.93%-25.30%
53
Neutral
HK$434.61M108.330.34%84.69%-8.30%-44.44%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
49
Neutral
HK$403.20M-7.92-8.62%2.98%2.06%-298.25%
43
Neutral
HK$128.92M-4.24-21.73%0.48%-6.71%43.14%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:1643
Modern Chinese Medicine Group Co. Ltd.
0.56
-0.17
-23.29%
HK:1666
Tong Ren Tang Technologies Co
3.06
-1.46
-32.28%
HK:0897
Wai Yuen Tong Medicine Holdings Limited
0.39
-0.05
-11.36%
HK:0950
Lee's Pharmaceutical Holdings Limited
1.13
-0.77
-40.79%
HK:1498
PuraPharm Corp. Ltd.
0.24
-0.20
-45.23%
HK:0239
Pak Fah Yeow International Limited
2.39
0.13
5.94%

Modern Chinese Medicine Group Co. Ltd. Corporate Events

Modern Chinese Medicine Swings to Interim Loss Despite Surge in Revenue
Aug 28, 2026
Modern Chinese Medicine Group Co. Ltd. reported an 82.9% jump in revenue to RMB118.5 million for the six months ended 30 June 2026, with gross profit rising 36.4% to RMB22.1 million compared with a year earlier. Despite this top-line growth, the c...
Modern Chinese Medicine Group Warns of Interim Loss Amid Expansion and R&D Push
Aug 21, 2026
Modern Chinese Medicine Group Co., Ltd. has issued a profit warning for the six months ended 30 June 2026, flagging an expected net loss of approximately RMB25.9 million versus a net profit of about RMB2.5 million a year earlier. The board attribu...
Modern Chinese Medicine Group Sets August Board Meeting for Interim Results and Dividend Review
Aug 13, 2026
Modern Chinese Medicine Group Co., Ltd. has scheduled a board meeting for 28 August 2026 to review and approve the interim financial results for the six months ended 30 June 2026. The board will also consider proposing an interim dividend, a decis...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 13, 2026