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New Century Healthcare Holding Co. Ltd. (1518) AI Stock Analysis

HK:1518

New Century Healthcare Holding Co. Ltd.

(HKEX:1518)

Select Model
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:HKD 0.17â–¼(-13.13% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/23/26

The overall score reflects a company with a fragile financial profile: recent revenue contraction, a return to losses in 2025, and ongoing capital erosion are the dominant negatives, even though leverage is moderate and the business has demonstrated strong cash generation in better years. Technicals are also weak, with the price entrenched in a downtrend and momentum indicators pointing to persistent selling pressure, which further weighs on the stock’s attractiveness. Valuation provides only a partial offset, as the combination of a negative P/E and a very high dividend yield suggests that the market prices in significant risk, leaving the stock looking more like a potential value trap than a clear opportunity.

Positive Factors
Manageable LeverageModerate leverage and positive equity provide a financial cushion while the company works through earnings volatility. This reduces balance-sheet pressure relative to a highly leveraged healthcare operator and preserves some capacity to fund operations or absorb weaker periods.
Negative Factors
Revenue and Earnings ReversalThe sharp 2025 revenue decline and return to substantial losses weaken confidence in near-term earnings durability. Lower activity or weaker mix can reduce operating leverage across medical facilities, making recovery dependent on restoring demand and improving the economics of care delivery.

New Century Healthcare Holding Co. Ltd. (1518) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-100%-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%HK:1518-75.56%EWH+8.19%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
HKD 96.61M
Dividend Yield
11.16%
Average Volume (3M)
36.71K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.6
Beta (1Y)
0.26
Revenue Growth
-23.52%
EPS Growth
-226.85%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
1,079
Sector
Healthcare
Sector Strength
51
Industry
Medical - Care Facilities

New Century Healthcare Holding Co. Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

New Century Healthcare Holding Co. Limited functions as an investment enterprise, providing medical services specifically designed for women and children throughout the People's Republic of China. Its principal activities include specialized care in...

How the Company Makes Money

The company generates revenue primarily by delivering healthcare services through its medical facilities (e.g., hospitals/clinics) and charging patients and/or payors for clinical services. Key revenue streams typically include fees from inpatient an...

New Century Healthcare Holding Co. Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is below average due to a sharp revenue drop and a return to sizeable losses in 2025, with margins turning clearly negative and equity eroding over time, despite a brief period of strong profitability and cash generation in 2022–2024 and a balance sheet that is not heavily leveraged.

Income Statement

35Negative

Balance Sheet

48Neutral

Cash Flow

57Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue544.80M600.10M846.50M933.07M636.46M632.57M
Gross Profit147.48M175.88M344.96M407.09M202.14M198.74M
EBITDA1.87M30.44M194.43M234.18M-209.54M41.78M
Net Income-135.13M-115.31M47.38M84.16M-297.73M-101.46M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets700.76M745.64M939.13M944.39M901.38M1.27B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments278.97M283.58M354.52M304.31M226.08M223.84M
Total Debt164.05M166.31M185.83M206.07M217.02M280.24M
Total Liabilities448.31M391.51M430.26M492.63M540.03M586.66M
Stockholders Equity343.73M428.97M553.83M522.28M438.26M737.46M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-207.32M8.29M114.10M148.21M66.16M9.10M
Operating Cash Flow-202.41M17.93M135.92M158.92M76.28M22.25M
Investing Cash Flow-4.56M-62.61M-21.03M-8.64M-23.07M-15.74M
Financing Cash Flow-61.02M-79.16M-65.18M-73.07M-57.26M-79.84M

New Century Healthcare Holding Co. Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.20

Price Trends

50DMA0.22Negative
100DMA0.29Negative
200DMA0.44Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.00Negative
RSI41.71Neutral
STOCH133.33Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1518, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.20 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.20, below the 50-day MA of 0.22, and below the 200-day MA of 0.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 133.33 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:1518.

New Century Healthcare Holding Co. Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)

Financial Indicators

HK:1518 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:1419HK:141964NeutralHKD 288.46M10.283.43%4.08%4.23%3.03%
HK:3689HK:368964NeutralHKD 581.85M5.276.35%10.92%-0.27%29.73%
HK:3869HK:386954NeutralHKD 467.79M-143.61-0.41%―3.16%-101.02%
Sector *51Neutral$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
HK:1518HK:151846NeutralHKD 96.64M-0.60-34.98%11.16%-23.52%-226.85%
HK:0722HK:072242NeutralHKD 292.35M-3.89-10.76%8.80%-1.37%-334.69%
HK:3886HK:388641NeutralHKD 1.10B73.810.48%1.16%-3.26%―

* Healthcare Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-80%-60%-40%-20%0%HK:1518HK:1419HK:3689HK:3869HK:3886HK:0722Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
HK:1518 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:1518New Century Healthcare Holding Co. Ltd.0.20-0.61-75.56%
HK:1419Human Health Holdings Ltd.0.73-0.06-6.96%
HK:3689Guangdong Kanghua Healthcare Co., Ltd. Class H1.740.042.17%
HK:3869Hospital Corporation of China Ltd3.28-2.71-45.24%
HK:3886Town Health International Medical Group Ltd.0.15-0.12-43.01%
HK:0722UMP Healthcare Holdings Limited0.38-0.07-15.35%

New Century Healthcare Holding Co. Ltd. Corporate Events

New Century Healthcare Swings to Deeper Interim Loss on Falling Patient Volumes and Regulatory Provision

Aug 31, 2026

New Century Healthcare reported interim revenue of RMB249.0 million for the six months ended June 30, 2026, down from RMB304.5 million a year earlier, as both outpatient and inpatient medical service income declined. Outpatient revenue fell 16.5% to...

New Century Healthcare flags wider interim loss on provision for frozen bank accounts

Aug 28, 2026

New Century Healthcare Holding Co. Ltd. warned that it expects to post a loss attributable to owners of about RMB85 million for the six months ended June 30, 2026, widening from a loss of roughly RMB65.2 million a year earlier. The interim figures ar...

New Century Healthcare Sets Board Meeting to Approve Interim Results

Aug 18, 2026

New Century Healthcare Holding Co. Ltd. has scheduled a board meeting for August 31, 2026 to review and approve its interim results for the six months ended June 30, 2026. The session will also address other business matters, signaling routine govern...

New Century Healthcare Flags Bank Account Freeze Linked to Partner Probe

Aug 14, 2026

New Century Healthcare disclosed that in late April 2026 some, but not all, of its bank accounts were frozen in connection with an investigation by the Beijing Mentougou Supervisory Committee involving one of its cooperative partners. About RMB218 mi...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 25, 2026