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Q P Group Holdings Limited (1412) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:1412

Q P Group Holdings Limited

(HKEX:1412)

Select Model
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:HKD 1.00â–¼(-2.91% Downside)
Action:downgraded
Date:11/07/26

The score is supported primarily by a conservative balance sheet and attractive dividend yield, but is weighed down by declining revenue and profitability, sharply weaker cash generation with negative free cash flow, and bearish technical positioning.

Positive Factors
Conservative Balance SheetVery low leverage gives the company financial flexibility through weaker operating periods and reduces pressure from debt servicing. A stable equity base also supports resilience, allowing management to preserve investment capacity and withstand cyclical earnings volatility without relying heavily on additional borrowing.
Negative Factors
Revenue ContractionA renewed decline in revenue signals that demand or business momentum has not yet become consistent after the prior rebound. Prolonged top-line contraction would reduce operating leverage, limit reinvestment capacity, and make a sustained earnings recovery more difficult to achieve.

Q P Group Holdings Limited (1412) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%HK:1412-35.75%EWH+8.17%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
HKD 532.00M
Dividend Yield
6.00%
Average Volume (3M)
159.91K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
18.4
Beta (1Y)
0.45
Revenue Growth
-3.05%
EPS Growth
-74.60%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
3,302
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Paper, Lumber & Forest Products

Q P Group Holdings Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Q P Group Holdings Limited functions as an investment holding company primarily involved in the production and distribution of paper-based goods. The company's operations span diverse international markets, including the People's Republic of China, t...

Q P Group Holdings Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

The balance sheet is strong, supported by very low debt-to-equity of 0.07 and solid equity, but weaker revenue, profitability, operating cash flow, and negative free cash flow limit the score.

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

88Very Positive

Cash Flow

65Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.17B1.13B1.21B1.04B1.28B1.39B
Gross Profit358.47M390.34M436.18M356.09M416.76M430.11M
EBITDA108.21M149.73M215.12M156.93M205.93M191.09M
Net Income28.89M59.40M129.12M80.10M126.84M119.04M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.20B1.17B1.17B1.09B1.18B1.22B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments119.40M110.99M254.21M164.26M306.42M158.78M
Total Debt99.75M64.13M54.13M50.83M119.18M88.92M
Total Liabilities308.75M275.00M288.65M255.94M336.39M373.70M
Stockholders Equity898.02M897.87M882.99M833.65M842.84M846.31M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-30.03M-66.74M129.18M-9.09M201.10M-5.98M
Operating Cash Flow80.33M81.47M204.95M112.14M268.99M116.23M
Investing Cash Flow-78.55M-88.14M-67.04M-194.99M-82.00M-112.58M
Financing Cash Flow-106.46M-81.03M-43.45M-143.60M-47.86M-82.93M

Q P Group Holdings Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1.03

Price Trends

50DMA1.03Negative
100DMA1.04Negative
200DMA1.06Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.01Negative
RSI46.11Neutral
STOCH52.38Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1412, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.03 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.01, above the 50-day MA of 1.03, and below the 200-day MA of 1.06, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.38 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:1412.

Q P Group Holdings Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

HK:1412 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:1412HK:141266NeutralHKD 532.00M18.423.22%6.00%-3.05%-74.60%
HK:2002HK:200265NeutralHKD 1.77B11.102.76%3.01%14.95%-15.17%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
HK:2314HK:231461NeutralHKD 13.92B5.587.88%6.33%13.69%83.56%
HK:2689HK:268949NeutralHKD 21.44B4.997.96%―22.31%109.79%
HK:0731HK:073141NeutralHKD 323.94M-3.30-55.61%―27.73%-478.69%
HK:1812HK:181241NeutralHKD 4.16B-1.77-814.38%―4.20%52.87%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%150%HK:1412HK:2314HK:2689HK:1812HK:2002HK:0731Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
HK:1412 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:1412Q P Group Holdings Limited1.03-0.57-35.75%
HK:2314Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing 3.140.3713.15%
HK:2689Nine Dragons Paper Holdings Ltd.4.25-1.79-29.67%
HK:1812Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Co., Ltd. Class H0.36-0.43-53.80%
HK:2002China Sunshine Paper Holdings Co. Ltd.1.700.021.19%
HK:0731C&D Newin Paper & Pulp Corporation Limited0.220.013.32%

Q P Group Holdings Limited Corporate Events

Q P Group’s Profit Slides Despite Revenue Growth in 2026 Interim Results

Aug 31, 2026

Q P Group Holdings Limited reported interim revenue of HK$575.0 million for the six months ended 30 June 2026, up 8.0% year on year, with OEM sales contributing 78.3% and web sales 21.7% of the total. Despite the topline growth, profit attributable t...

Q P Group Declares Interim Cash Dividend for First Half of 2026

Aug 31, 2026

Q P Group Holdings Limited has declared an interim ordinary cash dividend of HKD 0.01 per share for the six months ended 30 June 2026, for the financial year ending 31 December 2026. The ex-dividend date is set for 14 September 2026, with the record...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026