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China Merchants Land Limited (0978) AI Stock Analysis

HK:0978

China Merchants Land Limited

(HKEX:0978)

Select Model
Rating:38Underperform
Price Target:HKD 0.23â–¼(-7.00% Downside)
Action:downgraded
Date:08/08/26

The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance, especially collapsing margins, rising leverage, and negative operating cash flow. Technicals are also soft, while valuation offers little support because earnings are negative and no dividend yield is available.

Positive Factors
Revenue RecoveryA strong 25.9% revenue rebound in 2025 demonstrates the company’s ability to recover top-line momentum after downturns. For a developer, durable revenue recovery signals resumed project sales and presales execution that can underpin cash inflows and operational scale over the next 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Compressed MarginsMargins have deteriorated sharply, with gross margin compressed to ~6.3% and net margin negative at ~-8.4% in 2025. For a property developer, persistently thin or negative margins undermine sustainable profitability, reduce reinvestment capacity and increase sensitivity to cost or price shocks over coming quarters.

China Merchants Land Limited (0978) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%HK:0978-21.00%EWH+8.05%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
HKD 1.16B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
708.01K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.5
Beta (1Y)
0.64
Revenue Growth
25.82%
EPS Growth
-27.10%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
670
Sector
Real Estate
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Real Estate - Development

China Merchants Land Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

China Merchants Land Ltd. is an investment holding company, which engages in the development, selling, leasing, investment and management of properties. It operates through the following segments: Properties and Asset Management. The Properties segme...

How the Company Makes Money

China Merchants Land Limited primarily makes money through (1) revenue from property development and sales—selling completed residential and commercial units, where revenue is generally recognized upon meeting applicable delivery/transfer conditions;...

China Merchants Land Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Profitability has weakened sharply, with margins collapsing and net losses widening, while leverage rose to elevated levels and operating cash flow turned deeply negative in 2025. The revenue increase is not enough to offset the deterioration in earnings quality, balance sheet risk, and cash generation.

Income Statement

28Negative

Balance Sheet

42Neutral

Cash Flow

35Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue25.25B26.25B20.66B28.80B29.87B25.92B
Gross Profit1.83B1.66B985.42M3.87B4.00B4.79B
EBITDA892.66M744.71M-69.02M3.66B3.83B4.50B
Net Income-2.19B-2.20B-1.85B133.41M329.66M560.57M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets110.88B112.34B124.74B132.67B130.87B138.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.86B11.13B12.73B10.28B12.34B14.42B
Total Debt28.11B31.70B36.36B37.09B35.79B36.97B
Total Liabilities81.22B81.98B91.65B97.55B98.14B104.88B
Stockholders Equity5.39B5.74B8.02B9.91B9.86B9.74B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.33B-2.70B6.55B-566.56M6.12B-6.13B
Operating Cash Flow-4.32B-2.70B6.55B-551.79M6.15B-6.11B
Investing Cash Flow4.41B5.89B592.20M-4.35B-6.57B-997.67M
Financing Cash Flow-2.19B-4.73B-3.34B334.31M-1.76B11.82B

China Merchants Land Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.24

Price Trends

50DMA0.24Negative
100DMA0.24Negative
200DMA0.25Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.00Negative
RSI48.88Neutral
STOCH38.10Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0978, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.24, above the 50-day MA of 0.24, and below the 200-day MA of 0.25, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.10 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:0978.

China Merchants Land Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

HK:0978 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:0010HK:001071OutperformHKD 16.63B11.741.41%7.04%9.19%-0.21%
Sector *65Neutral$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
HK:0012HK:001252NeutralHKD 135.75B20.322.11%4.49%45.52%13.35%
HK:3377HK:337740UnderperformHKD 356.62M-0.03239.84%―-4.40%-61.12%
HK:0978HK:097838UnderperformHKD 1.16B-0.45-39.42%―25.82%-27.10%
HK:0017HK:001737UnderperformHKD 12.71B-0.65-16.35%―9.77%-72.68%
HK:0480HK:048030UnderperformHKD 1.40B-5.53-1.17%―68.10%66.63%

* Real Estate Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%HK:0978HK:0012HK:0010HK:0017HK:3377HK:0480Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HK:0978 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:0978China Merchants Land Limited0.24-0.06-21.00%
HK:0012Henderson Land Development Co 28.041.425.35%
HK:0010Hang Lung Group 12.21-2.02-14.18%
HK:0017New World Development Co. Ltd.5.05-2.09-29.27%
HK:3377Sino-Ocean Group Holding 0.03-0.09-75.22%
HK:0480HKR International Limited0.94-0.18-16.07%

China Merchants Land Limited Corporate Events

China Merchants Land Sets Board Meeting to Approve 2026 Interim Results

Aug 6, 2026

China Merchants Land Limited has scheduled a board meeting for 18 August 2026 to review and approve the unaudited interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026. The company also plans to publish these interim results following the meeting, si...

China Merchants Land Names Successful Tenderer and Delays Key Transaction Circular Again

Jul 31, 2026

China Merchants Land Limited has advanced a capital increase transaction at a project company following a public tender conducted through CBEX. Shenzhen Haichengjin Industrial Development, an affiliated company designated by Shenzhen Haiyuejin and ul...

China Merchants Land Shareholders Approve Equity Transfer Agreement

Jul 16, 2026

Shareholders of China Merchants Land Limited have approved an equity transfer agreement between Wuhan Merchants Real Estate Gutian Real Estate Co., Ltd. and Xi’an Mao On Property Development Company Limited at an extraordinary general meeting h...

China Merchants Land details tender process for capital injection and deemed disposal

Jul 10, 2026

China Merchants Land Limited has provided supplemental details on a previously announced deemed disposal of equity interest in a subsidiary via a capital increase at a project company. The transaction involves a public tender process on the China Bei...

China Merchants Land Delays Circular on Deemed Disposal Transaction

Jun 18, 2026

China Merchants Land Limited has announced a delay in sending to shareholders a circular relating to a previously disclosed cooperation development agreement and a deemed disposal of equity interest in a subsidiary. The circular will now be published...

China Merchants Land Calls EGM to Approve Equity Transfer Deal

Jun 18, 2026

China Merchants Land Limited has called an extraordinary general meeting in Hong Kong on 16 July 2026 to seek shareholder approval for an equity transfer agreement involving Wuhan Merchants Real Estate Gutian Real Estate Co., Ltd. and Xi’an Mao...

China Merchants Land Delays Shareholder Circular on Connected Acquisition

May 29, 2026

China Merchants Land Limited has announced a further delay in sending a shareholder circular related to a proposed acquisition of equity interests in a target company that constitutes a discloseable and connected transaction. The circular was origina...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 08, 2026