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China Water Affairs Group (0855) AI Stock Analysis

HK:0855

China Water Affairs Group

(HKEX:0855)

Select Model
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:HKD 5.00â–²(28.37% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/01/25

The most significant factor is the company’s weakening financial performance driven by declining margins, rising leverage, and deteriorating cash flow. Valuation metrics support the score—low P/E and high dividend yield make the stock appear inexpensive and income-generating, but these are outweighed by core financial risks. Technical analysis indicates a lack of positive momentum, with recent price action and indicators failing to highlight a strong rebound or further downside.

Positive Factors
Regulated concessions & recurring revenueOperating under long-term municipal concessions creates predictable, tariff-guided revenue streams and stable demand for treated water. This durable business model supports visibility for cashflows and capital planning, making revenue and service obligations more resilient over 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
High leverageSignificant leverage raises interest and refinancing risk for a company facing revenue pressure. High debt limits financial flexibility to invest, handle tariff timing or absorb shocks; it increases covenant and liquidity vulnerability over the next several months.

China Water Affairs Group (0855) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%HK:0855-33.98%EWH+7.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
HKD 1.01B
Dividend Yield
6.67%
Average Volume (3M)
935.59K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
6.5
Beta (1Y)
0.57
Revenue Growth
-11.32%
EPS Growth
-8.06%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
9,800
Sector
Utilities
Sector Strength
66
Industry
Regulated Water

China Water Affairs Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

China Water Affairs Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the water supply, environmental protection, and property businesses in the People's Republic of China. It operates through City Water Supply, Pipeline Direct Drinking Water...

How the Company Makes Money

The company primarily makes money by operating water supply businesses and charging users for water delivered through its distribution networks. Key revenue streams generally include: (1) Water supply and distribution revenue: recurring income from s...

China Water Affairs Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary

The company shows weakening profitability, high and rising leverage (debt-to-equity 1.95), and eroding cash flow strength. Gross and net margins are in decline, revenue growth is negative, and free cash flow has dropped sharply. While core operational efficiency provides some stability, these negatives significantly pressure the company's overall financial standing.

Income Statement

53Neutral

Balance Sheet

45Neutral

Cash Flow

38Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.34B10.34B11.66B12.86B14.19B12.95B
Gross Profit3.56B3.56B4.40B4.78B5.35B4.96B
EBITDA3.94B3.83B4.72B5.15B5.51B5.03B
Net Income986.17M986.17M1.07B1.53B1.86B1.89B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets70.70B70.70B65.89B63.24B61.16B57.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.62B4.62B4.78B5.30B7.64B7.17B
Total Debt26.63B26.63B25.64B25.22B25.24B23.54B
Total Liabilities45.20B45.20B44.02B41.79B39.79B36.58B
Stockholders Equity15.07B15.07B13.17B12.79B12.99B12.97B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow390.61M0149.70M-2.36B-948.69M-166.82M
Operating Cash Flow390.61M03.39B2.78B3.68B3.88B
Investing Cash Flow-1.26B0-2.87B-5.43B-4.11B-4.21B
Financing Cash Flow112.31M0-438.20M605.35M1.87B2.58B

China Water Affairs Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price3.90

Price Trends

50DMA4.15Negative
100DMA4.28Negative
200DMA4.59Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.07Positive
RSI32.01Neutral
STOCH7.26Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0855, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.90 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.03, below the 50-day MA of 4.15, and below the 200-day MA of 4.59, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.26 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:0855.

China Water Affairs Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)

Financial Indicators

HK:0855 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:0270HK:027066NeutralHKD 52.66B10.7411.01%6.06%25.38%43.87%
Sector *66Neutral$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
HK:6136HK:613664NeutralHKD 1.61B4.235.09%0.71%3.75%94.39%
HK:2281HK:228163NeutralHKD 502.93M4.003.42%7.86%-6.72%-41.93%
HK:0855HK:085553NeutralHKD 6.36B6.496.84%6.67%-11.32%-8.06%
HK:0371HK:037152NeutralHKD 14.27B10.135.29%10.35%-5.30%-2.36%
HK:3768HK:376848NeutralHKD 303.59M2.362.00%―-6.02%-54.26%

* Utilities Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%HK:0855HK:0371HK:0270HK:6136HK:2281HK:3768Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HK:0855 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:0855China Water Affairs Group 3.90-2.13-35.33%
HK:0371Beijing Enterprises Water Group 1.43-0.93-39.49%
HK:0270Guangdong Investment 8.051.0414.83%
HK:6136Kangda International Environmental Co Ltd0.700.2451.84%
HK:2281Luzhou Xinglu Water (Group) Co., Ltd. Class H0.58-0.15-20.52%
HK:3768Kunming Dianchi Water Treatment Co., Ltd. Class H0.29-0.51-63.13%

China Water Affairs Group Corporate Events

China Water Affairs Shifts Bermuda Registered Office, Keeps Hong Kong Registrar

Jul 24, 2026

China Water Affairs Group has announced that, effective 3 August 2026, its registered office, principal share registrar and transfer agent in Bermuda will relocate to Richmond House on Par-la-Ville Road in Hamilton. The move reflects an administrativ...

China Water Affairs grants major share options to chairman Duan

Jun 30, 2026

China Water Affairs Group has proposed a significant equity-based incentive for its chairman and executive director, Mr. Duan, under its existing share option scheme. The board approved the conditional grant of 78,800,000 share options at an exercise...

China Water Affairs Extends Deadline for Non-Listed Warrant Placing

Jun 30, 2026

China Water Affairs Group Limited has announced a change to the timetable for a proposed placing of non-listed warrants under a specific mandate, a transaction intended to raise capital through the issuance of derivative securities. The move reflects...

China Water Affairs Declares HKD 0.13 Final Dividend for FY2026

Jun 29, 2026

China Water Affairs Group Limited has proposed a final ordinary dividend of HKD 0.13 per share for the financial year ended 31 March 2026, underlining its continued commitment to returning cash to shareholders. The dividend, subject to shareholder ap...

China Water Affairs Profit Slips as Construction Revenue Falls, Dividend Trimmed

Jun 29, 2026

China Water Affairs Group reported a decline in annual revenue to HK$10.34 billion for the year ended 31 March 2026, down 11.3% amid weaker construction activity in its city water and pipeline direct drinking water businesses. Profit attributable to...

China Water Affairs Wins Strong Shareholder Backing for Warrant Issue

Jun 18, 2026

China Water Affairs Group Limited secured strong shareholder backing at its special general meeting, where investors approved a warrant placing agreement, the issuance of warrants and the granting of a specific mandate. The ordinary resolution passed...

China Water Affairs Sets June Board Meeting to Approve Annual Results

Jun 8, 2026

China Water Affairs Group has scheduled a board meeting for 29 June 2026 to review and approve the annual results for the year ended 31 March 2026, along with the related public announcement. The board will also consider recommending a final dividend...

China Water Affairs Fully Repays US$219.6 Million Senior Notes at Maturity

May 18, 2026

China Water Affairs Group Limited has fully repaid its 4.85% senior notes, which carried an outstanding principal of US$219.57 million and matured on 18 May 2026. The repayment covered both principal and accrued interest, reflecting the company&#8217...

China Water Affairs Group Seeks Shareholder Approval for Warrant Placing to Fund Growth

May 12, 2026

China Water Affairs Group has called a special general meeting in Hong Kong on 18 June 2026 to seek shareholder approval for a warrant placing agreement with First Shanghai Securities, under which up to 130 million warrants will be issued at HK$0.10...

China Water Affairs settles cash tender for 2026 notes under strict regulatory disclosure

May 12, 2026

China Water Affairs Group has announced the settlement of its offer to purchase for cash its 4.85% senior notes due 2026, a move that forms part of its ongoing management of offshore debt securities. The company emphasized that the posting of the rel...

China Water Affairs posts offering memo for additional notes as regulatory disclosure only

May 11, 2026

China Water Affairs Group has issued an overseas regulatory announcement regarding the publication of an offering memorandum for an additional notes issue, in line with Hong Kong listing rules on equal information dissemination. The memorandum is pos...

China Water Affairs Discloses Results of Cash Offer for 2026 Senior Notes

May 7, 2026

China Water Affairs Group has announced the results of its cash tender offer for its 4.85% senior notes due 2026, identified by ISIN XS2320779213 and Common Code 232077921, as part of an overseas regulatory communication. The company posted the relat...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 01, 2025