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TFG International Group Limited (0542) AI Stock Analysis

HK:0542

TFG International Group Limited

(HKEX:0542)

Select Model
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:HKD 0.93â–²(23.73% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/29/26

The overall score of 55 is driven mainly by a promising but fragile financial turnaround, where strong 2025 revenue growth, a return to net profitability, and robust operating and free cash flow are constrained by negative margins, heavy debt, and negative equity. Secondary influences are the mildly positive technical profile—with price above short-term averages but below longer-term ones and neutral momentum indicators—together with a middling valuation on a roughly 23x P/E and no dividend, which keeps the risk–reward balance cautious rather than clearly compelling.

Positive Factors
Improved Cash GenerationThe 2025 rebound in operating and free cash flow indicates improved cash conversion and provides more internally generated funding for project needs. If sustained, stronger cash generation could help support liquidity and reduce reliance on external financing over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
High Leverage and Negative EquityLarge debt combined with recurring negative equity leaves the capital structure fragile and restricts financial flexibility. This can constrain investment and refinancing options, while making the company more vulnerable to project delays, weaker property conditions, or higher funding demands.

TFG International Group Limited (0542) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-50%-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%HK:0542-6.25%EWH+7.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
HKD 1.14B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
431.12K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
9.8
Beta (1Y)
0.07
Revenue Growth
234.07%
EPS Growth
―
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
66
Sector
Real Estate
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Real Estate - Development

TFG International Group Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

TFG International Group Limited and its various subsidiaries conduct business in the People's Republic of China, concentrating primarily on real estate development and the hospitality sector. Its operations are organized into three principal division...

TFG International Group Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Score reflects a major 2025 turnaround with 220% revenue growth to HK$762M, a swing to HK$53M net profit, and strong operating cash flow of HK$513M and sharply improved free cash flow, offset by negative gross (-17%) and operating (-22%) margins plus a highly leveraged, negative-equity capital structure that makes the recovery fragile.

Income Statement

45Neutral

Balance Sheet

25Negative

Cash Flow

75Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue762.34M762.34M216.16M305.02M1.60B7.77M
Gross Profit-129.95M-129.95M92.47M117.77M654.59M-18.37M
EBITDA-156.33M-174.14M4.70M181.00K775.16M-180.98M
Net Income53.48M53.48M-203.48M-192.71M265.18M-326.26M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.39B2.39B3.08B3.39B3.33B4.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments353.63M353.63M8.66M13.37M16.13M46.67M
Total Debt1.09B1.09B1.80B1.61B1.50B1.88B
Total Liabilities2.43B2.43B3.10B3.30B3.18B4.71B
Stockholders Equity-28.33M-28.33M-145.95M56.08M102.64M-163.57M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow564.01M512.52M27.91M-257.49M-183.24M251.98M
Operating Cash Flow564.06M512.57M28.09M-257.27M-13.51M252.15M
Investing Cash Flow158.71M158.71M20.00K-38.61M85.00M1.63M
Financing Cash Flow-445.72M-445.72M-32.46M293.44M-458.69M-178.31M

TFG International Group Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.75

Price Trends

50DMA0.83Negative
100DMA0.77Negative
200DMA0.98Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.01Positive
RSI32.60Neutral
STOCH17.58Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0542, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.75 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.84, below the 50-day MA of 0.83, and below the 200-day MA of 0.98, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.58 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:0542.

TFG International Group Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

HK:0542 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *65Neutral$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
HK:0542HK:054255NeutralHKD 1.15B9.79861.24%―234.07%―
HK:0095HK:009544NeutralHKD 1.10B-0.12-81.01%―293.31%-29.87%
HK:2777HK:277742NeutralHKD 694.19M-0.03256.28%―38.77%7.00%
HK:0563HK:056341NeutralHKD 1.15B-1.30-6.95%―-72.43%-49.43%
HK:1238HK:123839UnderperformHKD 616.92M-0.14-14.48%―-22.15%32.63%

* Real Estate Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%HK:0542HK:2777HK:0095HK:1238HK:0563Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HK:0542 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:0542TFG International Group Limited0.75-0.13-14.77%
HK:2777Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Class H0.18-0.38-66.96%
HK:0095LVGEM (China) Real Estate Investment Company Limited0.17-0.05-20.64%
HK:1238Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd.0.15-0.12-43.77%
HK:0563Shanghai Industrial Urban Development Group Ltd0.24-0.10-29.41%

TFG International Group Limited Corporate Events

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Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 29, 2026