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Ajisen (China) Holdings Limited (0538) AI Stock Analysis

HK:0538

Ajisen (China) Holdings Limited

(HKEX:0538)

Select Model
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:HKD 0.86â–²(11.48% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/06/26

The score is driven primarily by stable fundamentals supported by low leverage and strong, consistently positive free cash flow, despite weak and volatile profitability (notably the sharp 2025 gross margin decline and thin net margin). Valuation is mixed (very high yield but a high P/E), and technical indicators point to neutral-to-soft momentum, limiting the overall score.

Positive Factors
Conservative LeverageConservative leverage gives Ajisen greater resilience against operating volatility and preserves financial flexibility for restaurant maintenance, selective expansion, and ongoing obligations without excessive debt-service pressure.
Negative Factors
Gross Margin PressureThe sharp margin deterioration indicates substantial pressure from food, labor, pricing, or operating costs. Unless reversed, it can limit the profitability of existing restaurants and reduce the benefit of revenue growth.

Ajisen (China) Holdings Limited (0538) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%HK:0538-8.07%EWH+7.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
HKD 845.94M
Dividend Yield
10.21%
Average Volume (3M)
702.30K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
34.0
Beta (1Y)
0.40
Revenue Growth
8.18%
EPS Growth
100.92%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
1,600
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Restaurants

Ajisen (China) Holdings Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Ajisen (China) Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates a chain of fast casual restaurants in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong Special Administrative Region. It operates through Operation of Restaurants; Manufacture and S...

How the Company Makes Money

Ajisen (China) Holdings Limited primarily makes money by operating its restaurant network and selling food and beverages to customers. Its core revenue stream is restaurant sales (e.g., ramen and other menu items) generated from customer traffic acro...

Ajisen (China) Holdings Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Balance sheet strength (low leverage; debt-to-equity ~0.23) and consistently positive/free cash flow (FCF 371M in 2025) support financial stability. Offsetting this, profitability is uneven: gross margin fell sharply in 2025 (~32% vs ~48–49% prior years) and net margin is thin (~1.6%) after a 2024 loss, indicating weak and volatile earnings power.

Income Statement

54Neutral

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

73Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.83B1.78B1.72B1.82B1.43B2.00B
Gross Profit744.79M568.07M829.10M892.30M626.05M911.23M
EBITDA407.32M404.79M336.64M583.75M216.74M403.84M
Net Income21.07M27.67M-20.22M181.19M-143.91M20.94M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.86B3.99B3.99B3.96B3.87B4.30B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.66B1.68B1.64B1.63B1.47B1.53B
Total Debt595.45M653.17M611.57M439.79M503.13M681.37M
Total Liabilities1.06B1.08B1.02B903.59M947.27M1.19B
Stockholders Equity2.74B2.85B2.91B3.00B2.87B3.06B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow327.98M371.04M319.48M432.86M244.87M296.46M
Operating Cash Flow400.40M453.15M429.94M503.18M299.92M417.72M
Investing Cash Flow-213.70M42.31M-392.44M-506.58M-47.91M-104.57M
Financing Cash Flow-353.15M-328.08M-333.31M-329.04M-347.82M-519.84M

Ajisen (China) Holdings Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.78

Price Trends

50DMA0.79Negative
100DMA0.81Negative
200DMA0.82Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.01Positive
RSI43.10Neutral
STOCH29.52Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0538, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.78 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.79, below the 50-day MA of 0.79, and below the 200-day MA of 0.82, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:0538.

Ajisen (China) Holdings Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

HK:0538 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:6811HK:681172OutperformHKD 1.52B10.6915.54%7.13%8.46%56.14%
HK:6862HK:686268NeutralHKD 52.53B10.9340.40%8.07%10.63%-5.49%
HK:0052HK:005263NeutralHKD 642.58M15.506.33%6.04%-0.04%16.95%
HK:0341HK:034162NeutralHKD 3.35B20.376.13%6.73%-4.50%-29.22%
HK:0538HK:053862NeutralHKD 845.94M34.000.75%10.21%8.18%100.92%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
HK:1314HK:131451NeutralHKD 223.33M23.141.95%―-2.56%-23.91%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%HK:0538HK:0052HK:6862HK:1314HK:0341HK:6811Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HK:0538 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:0538Ajisen (China) Holdings Limited0.78-0.08-9.04%
HK:0052Fairwood Holdings 4.960.163.23%
HK:6862Haidilao International Holding 9.43-2.67-22.08%
HK:1314Tsui Wah Holdings Ltd.0.16-0.02-10.50%
HK:0341Cafe de Coral Holdings Ltd.5.940.101.69%
HK:6811Tai Hing Group Holdings Ltd.1.560.5351.35%

Ajisen (China) Holdings Limited Corporate Events

Ajisen China Flags Lower Interim Profit on Rising Costs and Falling Rental Income

Aug 18, 2026

Ajisen (China) Holdings Limited has warned that profit attributable to shareholders for the six months ended 30 June 2026 is expected to fall to no more than RMB20.0 million, down from approximately RMB24.2 million a year earlier. The drop underscore...

Ajisen China Sets August Board Meeting to Approve Interim Results and Mull Dividend

Aug 13, 2026

Ajisen (China) Holdings Limited has scheduled a board meeting for 27 August 2026 to review and approve the group’s interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026, with subsequent publication of these figures. The board will also consider...

Ajisen China Renews Related-Party Leases for Shenzhen Offices

Jun 30, 2026

Ajisen (China) Holdings Limited has renewed lease agreements for its Shenzhen office premises, with its wholly owned subsidiaries Weiqian Noodle Food Service and Weiqian Noodle entering new leases with chairwoman and controlling shareholder Ms. Poon...

Ajisen (China) Shareholders Approve All AGM Resolutions, Back Dividends and Capital Mandates

Jun 23, 2026

Ajisen (China) Holdings reported that all resolutions proposed at its 23 June 2026 annual general meeting were approved by shareholders, covering financial statements for the year ended 31 December 2025, a final and special dividend, re-election of d...

Ajisen (China) Sets 2026 AGM to Approve Results, Dividends and New Share Mandate

May 29, 2026

Ajisen (China) Holdings Limited has called its annual general meeting for 23 June 2026 in Hong Kong, where shareholders will review and adopt the audited consolidated financial statements and directors’ and auditor’s reports for the year...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026